Fiorentina vs AEK Athens – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
27/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - League phase - Round 4
  • Referee: Jones R. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
chinaChinaZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 11
germanyGermanyRTL+
greeceGreeceANT 1+, ANT 1 Greece, COSMOTE Sport 5
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Calcio
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 2
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN 4, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 5
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 11
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 21, Blue Sport 21
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 7
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 6, TNT Sports Extra
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamOn Golf, ON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.051.76
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
87% (409/468)83% (364/438)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.051.76
xG on target (xGOT)
1.011.06
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
28
Blocked Shots
60
Shots inside the Box
710
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
2620
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1612
Passes
87% (409/468)83% (364/438)
Long passes
59% (20/34)33% (16/48)
Passes in final third
68% (63/92)70% (79/113)
Crosses
26% (6/23)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.361.55
Throw-ins
2114
Fouls
1216
Tackles
50% (8/16)65% (15/23)
Duels won
6146
Clearances
1920
Interceptions
910
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
1.061.01
Goals prevented
0.060.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 35', 0 - 1, Gacinovic M. , Pilios S. (A),
  • 44', Gudmundsson A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 63', Pereyra R. 🟨,
  • 63', Parisi F. , Kouadio E. ,
  • 64', Ndour C. , Kean M. ,
  • 64', Pilios S. 🟨,
  • 67', Pereyra R. , Mantalos P. ,
  • 67', Koita A. , Zini ,
  • 69', Pongracic M. 🟨,
  • 79', Nicolussi Caviglia H. , Fagioli N. ,
  • 80', Fortini N. , Fazzini J. ,
  • 80', Ranieri L. , Viti M. ,
  • 82', Gacinovic M. , Grujic M. ,
  • 90', Zini , Penrice J. ,
  • 90+8', Mandragora R. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Fiorentina
49.5%
Draw
27.5%
AEK Athens
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.6% 25.1% 19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6% 27.4% 17.7%

Fiorentina - AEK Athens Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.91
(1.69)
3.46
(3.75)
4.17
(4.87)
5.2%
(6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Fiorentina - AEK Athens?
  • Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 27 - 71.1%). AEK will win (votes: 7 - 18.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 10.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 56.7%85.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fiorentina will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Fiorentina is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • AEK is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In this match, Fiorentina is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Fiorentina: Gosens R. (Thigh Injury) Kouame C. (Knee Injury) Lamptey T. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in AEK: Callens A. (Heart Problems) Eliasson N. (Injury) Jonsson J. (Inactive) Kaloskamis D. (Inactive) Kolimatsis C. (Inactive) Kutesa D. (Inactive) Mitoglou G. (Inactive) Odubajo M. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in AEK: Pierrot F. (Injury)
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    22.11.2025 Fiorentina - Juventus 1:1
    09.11.2025 Genoa - Fiorentina 2:2
    06.11.2025 Mainz - Fiorentina 2:1
    02.11.2025 Fiorentina - Lecce 0:1
    29.10.2025 Inter Milan - Fiorentina 3:0
    Latest results of AEK Athens
    23.11.2025 AEK Athens - Aris 1:0
    09.11.2025 OFI - AEK Athens 0:1
    02.11.2025 AEK Athens - Panetolikos 1:0
    29.10.2025 Ilioupolis - AEK Athens 0:1
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Strasbourg54108:4413
    2Shakhtar Donetsk540110:5512
    3Rakow53208:2611
    4AEK Athens531111:5610
    5Samsunspor531110:4610
    6Sparta Prague53117:3410
    7Rayo Vallecano531110:7310
    8Mainz53115:3210
    9Crystal Palace53029:459
    10AEK Larnaca52306:159
    11Fiorentina53028:449
    12Celje53028:719
    13AZ Alkmaar53027:709
    14Rijeka52215:238
    15Omonia52215:328
    16Lausanne52215:328
    17Noah52216:518
    18Jagiellonia52215:418
    19Drita52214:5-18
    20Lech Poznan521210:737
    21Shkendija52124:407
    22Sigma Olomouc52126:7-17
    23Univ. Craiova52124:5-17
    24Lincoln Red Imps52126:11-57
    25KuPS51314:316
    26Zrinjski52037:9-26
    27Breidablik51225:8-35
    28Dyn. Kyiv51047:9-23
    29Hacken50325:7-23
    30Legia51044:7-33
    31Slovan Bratislava51044:9-53
    32Hamrun51043:8-53
    33Aberdeen50233:11-82
    34Shelbourne50140:7-71
    35Shamrock Rovers50144:12-81
    36SK Rapid50052:13-110

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