Cagliari vs Fiorentina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie A
Football Italian Serie A Cagliari - Fiorentina
Result
1:1
24/08/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 1
  • Referee: Sozza S. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport Football, SuperSport Maximo 360, ZAP
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 2
angolaAngolaZ Sports 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
austriaAustriaDAZN
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brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 2
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
europeEuropeGo3 Sport 3 Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItaly214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2, ART Sport 2
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
mexicoMexicoDisney+
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 4
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalSport TV6
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1 Premium
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
thailandThailandTrue ID, True Premier Football 3
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN, DAZN UK
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaDAZN USA, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Football, ON Plus, VTVcab

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.931.04
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
144
Shots on target
61
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
83% (297/357)83% (365/439)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
0.931.04
xG on target (xGOT)
0.700.78
Total shots
144
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
72
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
102
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
2410
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
1417
Passes
83% (297/357)83% (365/439)
Long passes
65% (28/43)32% (15/47)
Passes in final third
74% (67/90)55% (51/92)
Crosses
38% (5/13)44% (4/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.890.85
Throw-ins
1815
Fouls
1814
Tackles
50% (6/12)67% (12/18)
Duels won
3953
Clearances
2716
Interceptions
36
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
05
xGOT faced
0.780.70
Goals prevented
-0.22-0.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 43', Obert A. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Borrelli G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Ranieri L. ↓, Viti M. ↑,
  • 46', Ndour C. ↓, Mandragora R. ↑,
  • 61', Esposito Se. ↓, Luvumbo Z. ↑,
  • 61', Prati M. ↓, Mazzitelli L. ↑,
  • 62', Comuzzo P. ↓, Mari P. ↑,
  • 68', 0 - 1, Mandragora R. ⚽, Gudmundsson A. (A),
  • 71', Pongracic M. 🟨,
  • 72', Gudmundsson A. ↓, Fazzini J. ↑,
  • 75', Obert A. ↓, Idrissi R. ↑,
  • 75', Deiola A. ↓, Gaetano G. ↑,
  • 77', Gosens R. ↓, Parisi F. ↑,
  • 79', Mari P. 🟨,
  • 81', Borrelli G. ↓, Kilicsoy S. ↑,
  • 82', Mazzitelli L. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 1 - 1, Luperto S. ⚽, Gaetano G. (A),
  • 90+7', Kilicsoy S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Cagliari
30.6%		Draw
30.6%		Fiorentina
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.7% 28.4% 40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8% 27.6% 42.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cagliari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
    •

    Cagliari - Fiorentina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.13 ↑
    (3.13)    		 3.13 ↓
    (3.38)    		 2.44 ↑
    (2.34)    		 5.1%
    (4.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    •
    What is the prediction for Cagliari - Fiorentina?
  • Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Cagliari will win (votes: 3 - 7.9%). Fiorentina will win (votes: 28 - 73.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 18.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 59.7% – 87.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fiorentina will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cagliari won 0.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Fiorentina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Fiorentina has had a series of away games.
    • Fiorentina could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Cagliari: Pavoletti L. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Fiorentina: Barak A. (Injury) Kouame C. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cagliari: Gaetano G. (Inactive) Pintus N. (Injury) Radunovic B. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cagliari won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:31. (average 1.1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cagliari won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 1.5:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cagliari - Fiorentina were as follows:
    23.04.2025 Cagliari - Fiorentina 1:2
    08.12.2024 Fiorentina - Cagliari 1:0
    23.05.2024 Cagliari - Fiorentina 2:3
    02.10.2023 Fiorentina - Cagliari 3:0
    Latest results of Cagliari
    16.08.2025 Cagliari - Virtus Entella 2:1
    09.08.2025 Racing Santander - Cagliari 1:1
    09.08.2025 Racing Santander - Cagliari 0:0
    02.08.2025 Cagliari - Saint-Étienne 1:0
    26.07.2025 Hannover - Cagliari 2:0
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    21.08.2025 Polissya Zhytomyr - Fiorentina 0:3 ✺
    09.08.2025 Manchester United - Fiorentina 1:1
    05.08.2025 Nottingham Forest - Fiorentina 0:0 ✺
    03.08.2025 Leicester City - Fiorentina 2:0 ✺
    25.07.2025 Fiorentina - Carrarese 2:0 ✺
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Napoli11002:023
    2Juventus11002:023
    3Como11002:023
    4Cremonese11002:113
    5AS Roma11001:013
    6Pisa10101:101
    7Fiorentina10101:101
    8Atalanta10101:101
    9Cagliari10101:101
    10Lecce10100:001
    11Genoa10100:001
    12Udinese00000:000
    13Inter00000:000
    14Torino00000:000
    15Verona00000:000
    16AC Milan10011:2-10
    17Bologna10010:1-10
    18Sassuolo10010:2-20
    19Lazio10010:2-20
    20Parma10010:2-20

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

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