Cagliari vs Fiorentina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

23/04/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Unipol Domus (Cagliari).

Serie A - Round 33
Referee: Marinelli L. (Ita)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Chile	Disney+
China	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
Hungary	Match 4, Net4+
India	GXR World
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Maldives	ICE Sports, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	Cignal Play, Premier Football
Poland	Eleven Sports 1, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-america	ESPN 2 South
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	K+, ON Plus, TV 360
World	Disney+, Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.29	0.74
Ball Possession
48%	52%
Total shots
8	8
Shots on target
2	4
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
4	4
Passes
80% (283/355)	84% (350/417)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.29	0.74
xG on target (xGOT)
0.37	1.03
Total shots
8	8
Shots on target
2	4
Shots off target
2	1
Blocked Shots
4	3
Shots inside the Box
5	5
Shots outside the Box
3	3
Hit the Woodwork
1	1
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
4	4
Touches in opposition box
24	13
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
15	15
Passes
80% (283/355)	84% (350/417)
Long passes
52% (31/60)	62% (44/71)
Passes in final third
58% (58/100)	56% (37/66)
Crosses
13% (4/31)	11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.33	0.39
Fouls
15	15
Tackles
63% (5/8)	79% (11/14)
Duels won
34	44
Clearances Total
10	53
Interceptions
7	4
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	1
xGOT faced
1.03	0.37
Goals prevented
-0.97	-0.63

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Piccoli R. ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, Gosens R. ⚽, Mandragora R. (A),
41', Mina Y. ↓, Palomino J. L. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 1 - 2, Beltran L. ⚽, Dodo (A),
59', Viola N. ↓, Gaetano G. ↑,
62', Gosens R. ↓, Parisi F. ↑,
63', Fagioli N. ↓, Richardson A. ↑,
65', Palomino J. L. 🟨,
67', Prati M. ↓, Makoumbou A. ↑,
67', Adopo M. ↓, Marin R. ↑,
67', Zortea N. ↓, Coman F. ↑,
79', Piccoli R. 🟨,
81', Ranieri L. ↓, Comuzzo P. ↑,
81', Mandragora R. ↓, Folorunsho M. ↑,
84', Parisi F. 🟨,
86', Beltran L. ↓, Zaniolo N. ↑,
90+6', Zaniolo N. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Cagliari
31.6%

Draw
31%

Fiorentina
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

29.9%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

29%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cagliari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Cagliari - Fiorentina Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↓ (3.29)	3.09 ↓ (3.2)	2.55 ↑ (2.34)	4.7% (4.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Cagliari - Fiorentina?

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Cagliari will win (votes: 7 - 29.2%). Fiorentina will win (votes: 9 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 18.1% – 56.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Cagliari (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Fiorentina (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 15 and 8).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Cagliari won 0.
Recent matches Cagliari is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Fiorentina is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Fiorentina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Cagliari: Deiola A. (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Fiorentina: Bove E. (Heart Problems)
There are questionable in Cagliari: Jankto J. (Illness)
There are questionable in Fiorentina: Colpani A. (Foot Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Cagliari won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 22:30 (average 1.1:1.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Cagliari won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16:18 (average 1.6:1.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Cagliari won against Fiorentina?

Cagliari has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentina won against Cagliari?

Fiorentina has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Cagliari - Fiorentina were as follows:

08.12.2024 Fiorentina - Cagliari 1:0

23.05.2024 Cagliari - Fiorentina 2:3

02.10.2023 Fiorentina - Cagliari 3:0

Latest results of Cagliari

12.04.2025 Inter Milan - Cagliari 3:1 ✺

06.04.2025 Empoli - Cagliari 0:0 ✺

30.03.2025 Cagliari - Monza 3:0 ✺

07.03.2025 Cagliari - Genoa 1:1 ✺

02.03.2025 Bologna - Cagliari 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Fiorentina

17.04.2025 Fiorentina - Celje 2:2 ✺

13.04.2025 Fiorentina - Parma 0:0 ✺

10.04.2025 Celje - Fiorentina 1:2 ✺

05.04.2025 Milan - Fiorentina 2:2 ✺

30.03.2025 Fiorentina - Atalanta 1:0 ✺

Italian Serie A Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lecce	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Bologna	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Pisa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Cremonese	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Genoa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Napoli	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Udinese	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Sassuolo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	AS Roma	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Inter	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Juventus	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Fiorentina	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	AC Milan	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Lazio	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Cagliari	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Torino	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Parma	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Verona	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Como	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
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      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B