Result
1:3
03/05/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Women - Championship Group - Round 9
- Referee: Migliorini A. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DSports 1 |
 Belgium | DAZN 1 |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 France | DAZN France |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 United-kingdom | DAZN 1 UK |
 Uruguay | DSports 1 |
 Usa | Fox Soccer Plus |
 Venezuela | DSports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 1.18 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (406/488) | 80% (288/359) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 1.18 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.70 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (406/488) | 80% (288/359) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (22/41) | 42% (22/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (113/159) | 76% (82/108) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 39% (9/23) | 10% (1/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.99 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 90% (19/21) | 50% (11/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.70 | 0.94 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.59 | -0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 8', 1 - 0, Santi I. ⚽, Pavan M. (A),
- 34', 1 - 1, Boquete V. ⚽, Bonfantini A. (A),
- 42', 1 - 2, Snerle E. ⚽, Bonfantini A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Robustellini C. ↓, Merlo B. ↑,
- 52', Milinkovic M. 🟨,
- 57', 1 - 3, Boquete V. ⚽, Severini E. (A),
- 57', Detruyer M. ↓, Polli E. ↑,
- 58', Santi I. ↓, Csiszar H. ↑,
- 64', Janogy M. ↓, Curmark F. ↑,
- 66', Bonfantini A. 🟨,
- 70', Bonfantini A. 🟨,
- 73', Pavan M. ↓, Tomaselli M. ↑,
- 73', Bartoli E. ↓, Serturini A. ↑,
- 76', Bredgaard S. ↓, Georgieva M. ↑,
- 76', Catena M. ↓, Pastrenge L. ↑,
- 87', Boquete V. ↓, DellaPeruta V. ↑,
- 90', Curmark F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Inter Milan
43.5% | Draw
25.7% | Fiorentina
30.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Inter Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Inter Milan's form might have worsened.Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fiorentina's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (+14.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Inter Milan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-10.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fiorentina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Inter Milan - Fiorentina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.13 ↑
(1.66) |
3.61 ↓
(3.87) |
3.01 ↓
(4.31) |
7.8%
(9.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- Inter Milan is Qualified for Champions League Women (Group Stage )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inter Milan won 2.
- Inter Milan is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Fiorentina's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Inter Milan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Inter Milan is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Inter Milan won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 30:30. (average 1.5:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Inter Milan won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:9. (average 2.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Inter Milan won against Fiorentina?
Inter Milan has won 4 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentina won against Inter Milan?
Fiorentina has won 5 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Inter Milan - Fiorentina were as follows:
23.03.2025
Fiorentina
-
Inter Milan
1:0
01.02.2025
Inter Milan
-
Fiorentina
2:0
03.11.2024
Fiorentina
-
Inter Milan
2:1
01.05.2024
Inter Milan
-
Fiorentina
2:2
24.03.2024
Fiorentina
-
Inter Milan
0:3
Latest results of Inter Milan
Latest results of Fiorentina
Italian Serie A Women Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Juventus W ✔ | 26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 64:31 | 33 | 55 |
| 2 | Inter W ✔ | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 50:26 | 24 | 51 |
| 3 | AS Roma W ✔ | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 49:36 | 13 | 45 |
| 4 | Fiorentina W | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 36:34 | 2 | 41 |
| 5 | AC Milan W | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 42:46 | -4 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Juventus W is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League Women (League phase )
Inter W is Qualified for Champions League Women (League phase )
AS Roma W is Qualified for Champions League Women (League phase )
