Lazio vs Fiorentina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
07/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 19
  • Referee: Sozza S. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 2
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
europeEuropeGo3 Sport 3 Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanyDAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
israelIsraelSport 1
italyItaly214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kuwaitKuwaitShasha
mexicoMexicoDisney+
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 3
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalSport TV6
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 7
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 4
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
thailandThailandTrue ID, True Premier Football 4
tunisiaTunisiaDiwan Sport
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaDAZN USA, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360, VTVcab

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.741.64
Ball possession
49%51%
Total shots
178
Shots on target
95
Big chances
43
Corner kicks
82
Passes
86% (374/437)89% (423/475)
Yellow cards
35
Expected goals (xG)
2.741.64
xG on target (xGOT)
2.972.32
Total shots
178
Shots on target
95
Shots off target
21
Blocked shots
62
Shots inside the box
126
Shots outside the box
52
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
43
Corner kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
3717
Accurate through passes
31
Offsides
01
Free kicks
1511
Passes
86% (374/437)89% (423/475)
Long passes
56% (20/36)58% (29/50)
Passes in final third
73% (90/124)68% (72/106)
Crosses
23% (5/22)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.370.47
Throw ins
1511
Fouls
1115
Tackles
73% (8/11)71% (12/17)
Duels won
3540
Clearances
1333
Interceptions
64
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
36
xGOT faced
2.322.97
Goals prevented
0.320.97

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 20', Pongracic M. 🟨,
  • 21', Gosens R. 🟨,
  • 26', Cancellieri M. 🟨,
  • 29', Basic T. , Vecino M. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 52', 1 - 0, Cataldi D. , Vecino M. (A),
  • 55', Parisi F. 🟨,
  • 56', 1 - 1, Gosens R. , Fagioli N. (A),
  • 60', Piccoli R. , Kean M. ,
  • 68', Gosens R. , Ranieri L. ,
  • 69', Ndour C. , Solomon M. ,
  • 71', Fagioli N. 🟨,
  • 72', Isaksen G. , Pedro ,
  • 80', Lazzari M. , Hysaj E. ,
  • 83', Zaccagni M. 🟨,
  • 89', 1 - 2, Gudmundsson A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 90', Pellegrini Lu. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Gudmundsson A. , Mari P. ,
  • 90+2', Parisi F. , Nicolussi Caviglia H. ,
  • 90+5', 2 - 2, Pedro (Penalty Awarded),
  • 90+8', Nicolussi Caviglia H. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Lazio
38%
Draw
31.4%
Fiorentina
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.2% 29.4% 26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6% 29.8% 26.8%

Lazio - Fiorentina Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.49
(2.15)
3.05
(3.23)
3.12
(3.59)
5%
(5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Lazio - Fiorentina?
  • Users Predictions: 53 users predict this event. Lazio will win (votes: 31 - 58.5%). Fiorentina will win (votes: 5 - 9.4%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 32.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lazio: 45.2%71.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 16 high ROI users predict this event. Lazio (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Fiorentina (votes: 1 - 6.3%). Tie (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Fiorentina (2.24) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Fiorentina (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 20 high ROI users predict this event. Lazio (votes: 9 - 45%). Fiorentina (votes: 5 - 25%). Tie (votes: 6 - 30%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lazio won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Lazio: Dele-Bashiru F. (International duty) Dia B. (International duty) Gigot S. (Ankle Injury) Marusic A. (Red Card) Noslin T. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Fiorentina: Dzeko E. (Foot Injury) Fazzini J. (Ankle Injury) Lamptey T. (Knee Injury) Richardson A. (Inactive) Viti M. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Lazio: Patric (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lazio won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 34:25. (average 1.7:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lazio won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lazio - Fiorentina were as follows:
    26.01.2025 Lazio - Fiorentina 1:2
    22.09.2024 Fiorentina - Lazio 2:1
    26.02.2024 Fiorentina - Lazio 2:1
    30.10.2023 Lazio - Fiorentina 1:0
    29.01.2023 Lazio - Fiorentina 1:1
    Latest results of Lazio
    04.01.2026 Lazio - Napoli 0:2
    27.12.2025 Udinese - Lazio 1:1
    20.12.2025 Lazio - Cremonese 0:0
    13.12.2025 Parma - Lazio 0:1
    07.12.2025 Lazio - Bologna 1:1
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    04.01.2026 Fiorentina - Cremonese 1:0
    27.12.2025 Parma - Fiorentina 1:0
    21.12.2025 Fiorentina - Udinese 5:1
    14.12.2025 Fiorentina - Verona 1:2
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter23181452:193355
    2AC Milan22138135:171847
    3Napoli23144533:211246
    4Juventus23136439:182145
    5AS Roma23141827:141343
    6Como23118437:162141
    7Atalanta2399530:201036
    8Lazio2388724:21332
    9Udinese2395926:34-832
    10Bologna2286832:27530
    11Sassuolo23851027:29-229
    12Cagliari2377928:31-328
    13Torino23751122:40-1826
    14Genoa23581027:34-723
    15Cremonese23581020:31-1123
    16Parma23581015:30-1523
    17Lecce23461313:30-1718
    18Fiorentina23381225:36-1117
    19Pisa231111119:40-2114
    20Verona23281318:41-2314

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B