Lazio vs Fiorentina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie A
Result
2:2
07/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 19
  • Referee: Sozza S. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.741.64
Ball possession
49%51%
Total shots
178
Shots on target
95
Big chances
43
Corner kicks
82
Passes
86% (374/437)89% (423/475)
Yellow cards
35
Expected goals (xG)
2.741.64
xG on target (xGOT)
2.972.32
Total shots
178
Shots on target
95
Shots off target
21
Blocked shots
62
Shots inside the box
126
Shots outside the box
52
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
43
Corner kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
3717
Accurate through passes
31
Offsides
01
Free kicks
1511
Passes
86% (374/437)89% (423/475)
Long passes
56% (20/36)58% (29/50)
Passes in final third
73% (90/124)68% (72/106)
Crosses
23% (5/22)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.370.47
Throw ins
1511
Fouls
1115
Tackles
73% (8/11)71% (12/17)
Duels won
3540
Clearances
1333
Interceptions
64
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
36
xGOT faced
2.322.97
Goals prevented
0.320.97

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 20', Pongracic M. 🟨,
  • 21', Gosens R. 🟨,
  • 26', Cancellieri M. 🟨,
  • 29', Basic T. ↓, Vecino M. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 52', 1 - 0, Cataldi D. ⚽, Vecino M. (A),
  • 55', Parisi F. 🟨,
  • 56', 1 - 1, Gosens R. ⚽, Fagioli N. (A),
  • 60', Piccoli R. ↓, Kean M. ↑,
  • 68', Gosens R. ↓, Ranieri L. ↑,
  • 69', Ndour C. ↓, Solomon M. ↑,
  • 71', Fagioli N. 🟨,
  • 72', Isaksen G. ↓, Pedro ↑,
  • 80', Lazzari M. ↓, Hysaj E. ↑,
  • 83', Zaccagni M. 🟨,
  • 89', 1 - 2, Gudmundsson A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 90', Pellegrini Lu. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Gudmundsson A. ↓, Mari P. ↑,
  • 90+2', Parisi F. ↓, Nicolussi Caviglia H. ↑,
  • 90+5', 2 - 2, Pedro (Penalty Awarded),
  • 90+8', Nicolussi Caviglia H. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Lazio
38%		Draw
31.4%		Fiorentina
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.2% 29.4% 26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6% 29.8% 26.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lazio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lazio's form might have worsened.
  • Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lazio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
    •

    Lazio - Fiorentina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.49 ↑
    (2.15)    		 3.05 ↓
    (3.23)    		 3.12 ↓
    (3.59)    		 5%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Lazio - Fiorentina?
  • Users Predictions: 53 users predict this event. Lazio will win (votes: 31 - 58.5%). Fiorentina will win (votes: 5 - 9.4%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 32.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lazio: 45.2% – 71.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 16 high ROI users predict this event. Lazio (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Fiorentina (votes: 1 - 6.3%). Tie (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Fiorentina (2.24) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Fiorentina (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 20 high ROI users predict this event. Lazio (votes: 9 - 45%). Fiorentina (votes: 5 - 25%). Tie (votes: 6 - 30%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lazio won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Lazio: Dele-Bashiru F. (International duty) Dia B. (International duty) Gigot S. (Ankle Injury) Marusic A. (Red Card) Noslin T. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Fiorentina: Dzeko E. (Foot Injury) Fazzini J. (Ankle Injury) Lamptey T. (Knee Injury) Richardson A. (Inactive) Viti M. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Lazio: Patric (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lazio won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 34:25. (average 1.7:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lazio won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lazio - Fiorentina were as follows:
    26.01.2025 Lazio - Fiorentina 1:2
    22.09.2024 Fiorentina - Lazio 2:1
    26.02.2024 Fiorentina - Lazio 2:1
    30.10.2023 Lazio - Fiorentina 1:0
    29.01.2023 Lazio - Fiorentina 1:1
    Latest results of Lazio
    04.01.2026 Lazio - Napoli 0:2 ✺
    27.12.2025 Udinese - Lazio 1:1 ✺
    20.12.2025 Lazio - Cremonese 0:0 ✺
    13.12.2025 Parma - Lazio 0:1 ✺
    07.12.2025 Lazio - Bologna 1:1 ✺
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    04.01.2026 Fiorentina - Cremonese 1:0 ✺
    27.12.2025 Parma - Fiorentina 1:0 ✺
    21.12.2025 Fiorentina - Udinese 5:1 ✺
    18.12.2025 Lausanne-Sport - Fiorentina 1:0 ✺
    14.12.2025 Fiorentina - Verona 1:2 ✺
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter26211462:214164
    2AC Milan26159241:202154
    3Napoli26155639:271250
    4AS Roma26162834:161850
    5Juventus26137643:251846
    6Como26129541:192245
    7Atalanta26129536:221445
    8Bologna261061035:32336
    9Sassuolo261051132:35-335
    10Lazio26810826:25134
    11Udinese26951228:39-1132
    12Parma26881019:31-1232
    13Cagliari26781128:35-729
    14Genoa26691132:37-527
    15Torino26761325:47-2227
    16Fiorentina26591230:39-924
    17Cremonese26591221:36-1524
    18Lecce26661417:33-1624
    19Pisa261121320:43-2315
    20Verona26291519:46-2715

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

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