Result
2:2
07/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A - Round 19
- Referee: Sozza S. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Albania | Tring Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Austria | DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Sport 2 |
 Denmark | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X |
 Europe | Go3 Sport 3 Baltic |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3 |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Italy | 214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kuwait | Shasha |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 3 |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV6 |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Saudi-arabia | STC TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 7 |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2 |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 4 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Thailand | True ID, True Premier Football 4 |
 Tunisia | Diwan Sport |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | DAZN |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | DAZN USA, Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | TV 360, VTVcab |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.74 | 1.64 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (374/437) | 89% (423/475) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.74 | 1.64 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.97 | 2.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (374/437) | 89% (423/475) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (20/36) | 58% (29/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (90/124) | 68% (72/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (5/22) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.47 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.32 | 2.97 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.97 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Pongracic M. 🟨,
- 21', Gosens R. 🟨,
- 26', Cancellieri M. 🟨,
- 29', Basic T. ↓, Vecino M. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 52', 1 - 0, Cataldi D. ⚽, Vecino M. (A),
- 55', Parisi F. 🟨,
- 56', 1 - 1, Gosens R. ⚽, Fagioli N. (A),
- 60', Piccoli R. ↓, Kean M. ↑,
- 68', Gosens R. ↓, Ranieri L. ↑,
- 69', Ndour C. ↓, Solomon M. ↑,
- 71', Fagioli N. 🟨,
- 72', Isaksen G. ↓, Pedro ↑,
- 80', Lazzari M. ↓, Hysaj E. ↑,
- 83', Zaccagni M. 🟨,
- 89', 1 - 2, Gudmundsson A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90', Pellegrini Lu. 🟨,
- 90+2', Gudmundsson A. ↓, Mari P. ↑,
- 90+2', Parisi F. ↓, Nicolussi Caviglia H. ↑,
- 90+5', 2 - 2, Pedro (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+8', Nicolussi Caviglia H. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lazio
38% | Draw
31.4% | Fiorentina
30.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lazio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lazio's form might have worsened.Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lazio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Lazio - Fiorentina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.49 ↑
(2.15) |
3.05 ↓
(3.23) |
3.12 ↓
(3.59) |
5%
(5.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Lazio - Fiorentina?
Users Predictions:
53 users predict this event. Lazio will win (votes: 31 - 58.5%). Fiorentina will win (votes: 5 - 9.4%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 32.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lazio: 45.2% – 71.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 16 high ROI users predict this event. Lazio (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Fiorentina (votes: 1 - 6.3%). Tie (votes: 6 - 37.5%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Fiorentina (2.24) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Fiorentina (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 20 high ROI users predict this event. Lazio (votes: 9 - 45%). Fiorentina (votes: 5 - 25%). Tie (votes: 6 - 30%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lazio won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Lazio: Dele-Bashiru F.
(International duty)
Dia B.
(International duty)
Gigot S.
(Ankle Injury)
Marusic A.
(Red Card)
Noslin T.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Fiorentina: Dzeko E.
(Foot Injury)
Fazzini J.
(Ankle Injury)
Lamptey T.
(Knee Injury)
Richardson A.
(Inactive)
Viti M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Lazio: Patric
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lazio won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 34:25. (average 1.7:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lazio won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Lazio won against Fiorentina?
Lazio has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentina won against Lazio?
Fiorentina has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lazio - Fiorentina were as follows:
26.01.2025
Lazio
-
Fiorentina
1:2
22.09.2024
Fiorentina
-
Lazio
2:1
26.02.2024
Fiorentina
-
Lazio
2:1
30.10.2023
Lazio
-
Fiorentina
1:0
29.01.2023
Lazio
-
Fiorentina
1:1
Latest results of Fiorentina
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter | 29 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 65:23 | 42 | 68 |
| 2 | AC Milan | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 44:21 | 23 | 60 |
| 3 | Napoli | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 45:30 | 15 | 59 |
| 4 | Como | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 48:22 | 26 | 54 |
| 5 | Juventus | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 51:28 | 23 | 53 |
| 6 | AS Roma | 29 | 16 | 3 | 10 | 39:23 | 16 | 51 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 40:27 | 13 | 47 |
| 8 | Bologna | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 38:34 | 4 | 42 |
| 9 | Lazio | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 29:28 | 1 | 40 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 35:39 | -4 | 38 |
| 11 | Udinese | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 33:42 | -9 | 36 |
| 12 | Parma | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 21:36 | -15 | 34 |
| 13 | Genoa | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 36:40 | -4 | 33 |
| 14 | Torino | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 32:50 | -18 | 33 |
| 15 | Cagliari | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 31:41 | -10 | 30 |
| 16 | Fiorentina | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 34:43 | -9 | 28 |
| 17 | Lecce | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 21:39 | -18 | 27 |
| 18 | Cremonese | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 23:44 | -21 | 24 |
| 19 | Pisa | 29 | 2 | 12 | 15 | 23:49 | -26 | 18 |
| 20 | Verona | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 22:51 | -29 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
