Result
1:2
26/01/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: Serie A - Round 22
- Referee: Rapuano A. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, SuperSport Football, ZAP |
 Albania | Tring Sport 1 |
 Angola | Z Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Asia | STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
 Belgium | DAZN 1 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2, Moja TV |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
 Canada | TLN, VIVA |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4 |
 Czech-republic | Sport 2 |
 Denmark | TV2 Play |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max |
 France | L'Equipe Live Foot |
 Georgia | Setanta Sport 3 |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV, M Plus Live |
 Hungary | Match 4, Net4+ |
 India | GXR World |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Italy | 214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports |
 Kosovo | ART Motion Sport 1, ART Sport 1 |
 Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
 Maldives | ICE Sports |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 3 |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 2 |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | Cignal Play, Premier Football |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 1 |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Saudi-arabia | STC TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 4 |
 South-america | ESPN 2 South |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Tanzania | Azam Sports 4 |
 Turkey | Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+ |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2 |
 United-arab-emirates | Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 2 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | CBS, Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 Vietnam | K+, ON Football, ON Plus |
 World | Disney+, Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.59 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 22 | 7 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 11 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 47 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (508/574) | 77% (192/249) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 76% (134/176) | 52% (23/44) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (7/35) | 20% (2/10) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (9/18) | 67% (12/18) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 10 | 46 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 11', 0 - 1, Adli Y. ⚽, Gosens R. (A),
- 17', 0 - 2, Beltran L. ⚽, Dodo (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Isaksen G. ↓, Pedro ↑,
- 46', Dele-Bashiru F. ↓, Rovella N. ↑,
- 62', Palladino R. 🟨,
- 63', Adli Y. 🟨,
- 63', Adli Y. ↓, Comuzzo P. ↑,
- 64', Adli Y. 🟨,
- 66', Pellegrini Lu. ↓, Hysaj E. ↑,
- 70', Dodo 🟨,
- 71', Mandragora R. 🟨,
- 77', Dodo ↓, Parisi F. ↑,
- 77', Gudmundsson A. ↓, Sottil R. ↑,
- 80', Dia B. ↓, Noslin T. ↑,
- 86', Folorunsho M. ↓, Richardson A. ↑,
- 90', Pedro 🟨,
- 90', Baroni M. 🟨,
- 90+2', 1 - 2, Marusic A. ⚽, Hysaj E. (A),
- 90+4', Baroni M. 🟨,
- 90+8', Palladino R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lazio
46.4% | Draw
27.4% | Fiorentina
26.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lazio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (-9.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lazio that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fiorentina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lazio - Fiorentina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.07 ↓
(2.08) |
3.49 ↑
(3.49) |
3.66 ↑
(3.54) |
4.3%
(5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lazio - Fiorentina?
Users Predictions:
59 users predict this event. Lazio will win (votes: 31 - 52.5%). Fiorentina will win (votes: 15 - 25.4%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 22%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lazio: 39.8% – 65.2%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 7).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Lazio won 2.
- Recent matches Lazio is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Fiorentina is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Lazio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Lazio will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Lazio: Lazzari M.
(Knee Injury)
Patric
(Muscle Injury)
Tavares N.
(Muscle Injury)
Vecino M.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Fiorentina: Biraghi C.
(Coach's decision)
Bove E.
(Heart Problems)
Ikone J.
(Coach's decision)
- There are questionable in Fiorentina: Cataldi D.
(Thigh Injury)
Colpani A.
(Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Lazio won 12 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 36:24 (average 1.8:1.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Lazio won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15:9 (average 1.5:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Lazio won against Fiorentina?
Lazio has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentina won against Lazio?
Fiorentina has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lazio - Fiorentina were as follows:
22.09.2024
Fiorentina
-
Lazio
2:1
26.02.2024
Fiorentina
-
Lazio
2:1
30.10.2023
Lazio
-
Fiorentina
1:0
29.01.2023
Lazio
-
Fiorentina
1:1
10.10.2022
Fiorentina
-
Lazio
0:4
Latest results of Fiorentina
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Napoli | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Juventus | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Cremonese | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | AS Roma | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Udinese | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Inter | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 3 |
| 7 | Lazio | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | AC Milan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Como | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Bologna | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Atalanta | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 12 | Fiorentina | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 13 | Pisa | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Cagliari | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | Genoa | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | Parma | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 17 | Lecce | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
| 18 | Verona | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
| 19 | Torino | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:5 | -5 | 1 |
| 20 | Sassuolo | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
