Lazio vs Fiorentina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

26/01/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stadio Olimpico (Rome).

ITALY: Serie A - Round 22
Referee: Rapuano A. (Ita)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, SuperSport Football, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Angola	Z Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Asia	STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	CBC Sport
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2, Moja TV
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	TLN, VIVA
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
France	L'Equipe Live Foot
Georgia	Setanta Sport 3
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
Hungary	Match 4, Net4+
India	GXR World
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 1, ART Sport 1
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Maldives	ICE Sports
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	Cignal Play, Premier Football
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4
South-america	ESPN 2 South
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tanzania	Azam Sports 4
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	K+, ON Football, ON Plus
World	Disney+, Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.44	0.59
Ball Possession
70%	30%
Goal Attempts
22	7
Shots on Goal
3	3
Shots off Goal
11	3
Blocked Shots
8	1
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
14	2
Shots inside the Box
13	5
Shots outside the Box
9	2
Hit the Woodwork
1	1
Headed Goals
1	1
Goalkeeper Saves
1	2
Free Kicks
12	9
Offsides
0	2
Fouls
9	12
Yellow Cards
1	4
Red Cards
0	1
Throw-ins
28	11
Touches in the Opposition Box
47	11
Passes
89% (508/574)	77% (192/249)
Passes in the final third
76% (134/176)	52% (23/44)
Crosses
20% (7/35)	20% (2/10)
Tackles
50% (9/18)	67% (12/18)
Clearances Total
10	46
Interceptions
4	6

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Adli Y. ⚽, Gosens R. (A),
17', 0 - 2, Beltran L. ⚽, Dodo (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Isaksen G. ↓, Pedro ↑,
46', Dele-Bashiru F. ↓, Rovella N. ↑,
62', Palladino R. 🟨,
63', Adli Y. 🟨,
63', Adli Y. ↓, Comuzzo P. ↑,
64', Adli Y. 🟨,
66', Pellegrini Lu. ↓, Hysaj E. ↑,
70', Dodo 🟨,
71', Mandragora R. 🟨,
77', Dodo ↓, Parisi F. ↑,
77', Gudmundsson A. ↓, Sottil R. ↑,
80', Dia B. ↓, Noslin T. ↑,
86', Folorunsho M. ↓, Richardson A. ↑,
90', Pedro 🟨,
90', Baroni M. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 2, Marusic A. ⚽, Hysaj E. (A),
90+4', Baroni M. 🟨,
90+8', Palladino R. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Lazio
46.4%

Draw
27.4%

Fiorentina
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

27.3%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

22.2%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lazio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lazio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fiorentina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lazio - Fiorentina Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.08)	3.49 ↑ (3.49)	3.66 ↑ (3.54)	4.3% (5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Lazio - Fiorentina?

Users Predictions: 59 users predict this event. Lazio will win (votes: 31 - 52.5%). Fiorentina will win (votes: 15 - 25.4%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 22%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lazio: 39.8% – 65.2%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 7).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Lazio won 2.
Recent matches Lazio is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Fiorentina is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Lazio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Lazio will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Lazio: Lazzari M. (Knee Injury) Patric (Muscle Injury) Tavares N. (Muscle Injury) Vecino M. (Thigh Injury)
There will not play in Fiorentina: Biraghi C. (Coach's decision) Bove E. (Heart Problems) Ikone J. (Coach's decision)
There are questionable in Fiorentina: Cataldi D. (Thigh Injury) Colpani A. (Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Lazio won 12 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 36:24 (average 1.8:1.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Lazio won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15:9 (average 1.5:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Lazio won against Fiorentina?

Lazio has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentina won against Lazio?

Fiorentina has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Lazio - Fiorentina were as follows:

22.09.2024 Fiorentina - Lazio 2:1

26.02.2024 Fiorentina - Lazio 2:1

30.10.2023 Lazio - Fiorentina 1:0

29.01.2023 Lazio - Fiorentina 1:1

10.10.2022 Fiorentina - Lazio 0:4

Latest results of Lazio

23.01.2025 Lazio - Real Sociedad 3:1 ✺

19.01.2025 Verona - Lazio 0:3 ✺

10.01.2025 Lazio - Como 1:1 ✺

05.01.2025 Roma - Lazio 2:0 ✺

28.12.2024 Lazio - Atalanta 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Fiorentina

19.01.2025 Fiorentina - Torino 1:1 ✺

13.01.2025 Monza - Fiorentina 2:1 ✺

04.01.2025 Fiorentina - Napoli 0:3 ✺

29.12.2024 Juventus - Fiorentina 2:2 ✺

23.12.2024 Fiorentina - Udinese 1:2 ✺

Italian Serie A Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Napoli	4	4	0	0	9:3	6	12
2	Juventus	4	3	1	0	8:4	4	10
3	AC Milan	4	3	0	1	7:2	5	9
4	AS Roma	4	3	0	1	3:1	2	9
5	Cremonese	5	2	3	0	6:4	2	9
6	Atalanta	4	2	2	0	9:3	6	8
7	Como	5	2	2	1	6:4	2	8
8	Cagliari	4	2	1	1	5:3	2	7
9	Udinese	4	2	1	1	4:5	-1	7
10	Inter	4	2	0	2	11:7	4	6
11	Bologna	4	2	0	2	3:3	0	6
12	Torino	4	1	1	2	1:8	-7	4
13	Lazio	4	1	0	3	4:4	0	3
14	Sassuolo	4	1	0	3	4:7	-3	3
15	Verona	4	0	3	1	2:6	-4	3
16	Genoa	4	0	2	2	2:4	-2	2
17	Fiorentina	4	0	2	2	3:6	-3	2
18	Parma	4	0	2	2	1:5	-4	2
19	Pisa	4	0	1	3	3:6	-3	1
20	Lecce	4	0	1	3	2:8	-6	1

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B