Fiorentina vs Parma – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

13/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadio Artemio Franchi (Florence).

Serie A - Round 32
Referee: Manganiello G. (Ita)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
Hungary	Net4+
India	GXR World
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport 2
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Sport 4
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 6, Arena Sport 8
South-africa	SuperSport Football
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 2
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus, TV 360
World	Disney+, Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.80	0.55
Ball Possession
57%	43%
Total shots
9	7
Shots on target
3	3
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
2	2
Passes
87% (450/517)	79% (305/388)
Yellow Cards
0	5
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80	0.55
xG on target (xGOT)
0.25	0.71
Total shots
9	7
Shots on target
3	3
Shots off target
4	2
Blocked Shots
2	2
Shots inside the Box
4	5
Shots outside the Box
5	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
2	2
Touches in opposition box
12	15
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
19	10
Passes
87% (450/517)	79% (305/388)
Long passes
51% (23/45)	38% (22/58)
Passes in final third
69% (62/90)	47% (44/93)
Crosses
13% (3/23)	14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.61	0.52
Fouls
10	19
Tackles
63% (5/8)	29% (2/7)
Duels won
46	29
Clearances Total
24	23
Interceptions
10	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	3
xGOT faced
0.71	0.25
Goals prevented
0.71	0.25

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Pellegrino M. 🟨,
35', Valeri E. 🟨,
41', Leoni G. 🟨,
43', Sohm S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Sohm S. ↓, Hernani ↑,
57', Leoni G. ↓, Balogh B. ↑,
68', Bernabe A. ↓, Ondrejka J. ↑,
70', Mandragora R. ↓, Richardson A. ↑,
70', Fagioli N. ↓, Adli Y. ↑,
77', Gudmundsson A. ↓, Folorunsho M. ↑,
77', Folorunsho M. ↓, Beltran L. ↑,
82', Pellegrino M. ↓, Djuric M. ↑,
82', Bonny A. ↓, Man D. ↑,
89', Valenti L. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Fiorentina
54.9%

Draw
25.9%

Parma
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

25.4%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

24.3%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Parma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parma than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Fiorentina - Parma Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.73)	3.69 ↓ (3.78)	4.95 ↓ (4.99)	4.7% (4.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Fiorentina - Parma?

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 19 - 76%). Parma will win (votes: 3 - 12%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 59.3% – 92.7%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fiorentina will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 16).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Fiorentina won 1.
Fiorentina in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Parma is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Fiorentina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Fiorentina is a favorite.
There will not play in Fiorentina: Bove E. (Heart Problems) Gosens R. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Parma: Almqvist P. (Yellow Cards) Benedyczak A. (Ankle Injury) Charpentier G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Circati A. (Knee Injury) Kowalski M. (Knee Injury) Osorio Y. (Surgery)
There are questionable in Fiorentina: Colpani A. (Foot Injury)
There are questionable in Parma: Cancellieri M. (Thigh Injury) Mihaila V. (Thigh Injury)
Our prediction for today's Fiorentina to win the game is with odds 1.72.
Last 18 head-to-head matches Fiorentina won 4 matches, drawn 10 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 23:19 (average 1.3:1.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Fiorentina won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15:10 (average 1.7:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentina won against Parma?

Fiorentina has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Parma won against Fiorentina?

Parma has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentina - Parma were as follows:

17.08.2024 Parma - Fiorentina 1:1

06.12.2023 Fiorentina - Parma 3:2

20.07.2023 Fiorentina - Parma 1:1

Latest results of Fiorentina

10.04.2025 Celje - Fiorentina 1:2 ✺

05.04.2025 Milan - Fiorentina 2:2 ✺

30.03.2025 Fiorentina - Atalanta 1:0 ✺

13.03.2025 Fiorentina - Panathinaikos 3:1 ✺

09.03.2025 Napoli - Fiorentina 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Parma

05.04.2025 Parma - Inter Milan 2:2 ✺

31.03.2025 Verona - Parma 0:0 ✺

15.03.2025 Monza - Parma 1:1 ✺

08.03.2025 Parma - Torino 2:2 ✺

01.03.2025 Udinese - Parma 1:0 ✺

Italian Serie A Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lecce	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Bologna	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Pisa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Cremonese	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Genoa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Napoli	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Udinese	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Sassuolo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	AS Roma	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Inter	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Juventus	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Fiorentina	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	AC Milan	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Lazio	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Cagliari	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Torino	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Parma	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Verona	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Como	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

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      Relegation ~ Serie B