Parma vs Fiorentina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
27/12/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 17
  • Referee: Guida M. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 3, SuperSport Football, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
angolaAngolaZ Sports 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
austriaAustriaDAZN, Sky Go Austria
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
europeEuropeGo3 Sport 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
franceFranceDAZN France
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 1
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryArena 4
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
italyItaly214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
kuwaitKuwaitShasha
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 1, Eleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalSport TV1
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
slovakiaSlovakiaSport 1
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
thailandThailandTrue ID, True Premier Football 4
tunisiaTunisiaDiwan Sport
turkeyTurkeyS Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaDAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Football, ON Plus, ON Sport, TV 360, VTVcab

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.951.23
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
1323
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
80% (260/325)86% (393/455)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.951.23
xG on target (xGOT)
0.851.14
Total shots
1323
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
812
Blocked Shots
37
Shots inside the Box
914
Shots outside the Box
49
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
2437
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1510
Passes
80% (260/325)86% (393/455)
Long passes
54% (34/63)48% (24/50)
Passes in final third
75% (76/102)77% (113/146)
Crosses
24% (5/21)26% (9/34)
Expected assists (xA)
0.331.08
Throw-ins
1821
Fouls
1015
Tackles
50% (8/16)88% (14/16)
Duels won
5048
Clearances
3120
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
1.140.85
Goals prevented
1.14-0.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 20', Circati A. 🟨,
  • 22', Mandragora R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Viti M. , Fortini N. ,
  • 48', 1 - 0, Sorensen O. , Pellegrino M. (A),
  • 63', Mandragora R. , Piccoli R. ,
  • 68', Ondrejka J. , Estevez N. ,
  • 68', Benedyczak A. , Oristanio G. ,
  • 76', Ndour C. , Sohm S. ,
  • 76', Parisi F. , Gosens R. ,
  • 81', Bernabe A. , Ordonez C. ,
  • 86', Comuzzo P. , Kouadio E. ,
  • 86', Corvi E. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Pongracic M. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Keita M. , Cremaschi B. ,
  • 90+4', Pellegrino M. , Djuric M. ,

Chances of winning


Parma
26.2%
Draw
29%
Fiorentina
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.3% 31.3% 40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28% 31% 40.8%

Parma - Fiorentina Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.62
(3.36)
3.27
(3.03)
2.15
(2.35)
4.8%
(5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Parma - Fiorentina?
  • Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. Parma will win (votes: 6 - 12.5%). Fiorentina will win (votes: 20 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 22 - 45.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 31.7%59.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Parma won 0.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Parma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Fiorentina will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Parma: Frigan M. (Knee Injury) Ndiaye A. (Groin Injury) Suzuki Z. (Finger Injury)
    • There will not play in Fiorentina: Gosens R. (Thigh Injury) Lamptey T. (Knee Injury) Mari P. (Calf Injury) Ranieri L. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Parma: Circati A. (Leg Injury)
    • There are questionable in Fiorentina: Fazzini J. (Ankle Injury) Mandragora R. (Injury)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Parma won 4 matches, drew 11 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:23. (average 1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Parma won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:8. (average 1:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Parma - Fiorentina were as follows:
    13.04.2025 Fiorentina - Parma 0:0
    17.08.2024 Parma - Fiorentina 1:1
    06.12.2023 Fiorentina - Parma 3:2
    20.07.2023 Fiorentina - Parma 1:1
    Latest results of Parma
    13.12.2025 Parma - Lazio 0:1
    08.12.2025 Pisa - Parma 0:1
    04.12.2025 Bologna - Parma 2:1
    29.11.2025 Parma - Udinese 0:2
    23.11.2025 Verona - Parma 1:2
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    21.12.2025 Fiorentina - Udinese 5:1
    14.12.2025 Fiorentina - Verona 1:2
    11.12.2025 Fiorentina - Dynamo Kyiv 2:1
    06.12.2025 Sassuolo - Fiorentina 3:1
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter19141442:172543
    2AC Milan19117130:151540
    3Napoli19123430:171339
    4Juventus20116332:161639
    5AS Roma20130724:121239
    6Como1997327:131434
    7Atalanta2087525:19631
    8Lazio2077621:16528
    9Bologna1976626:20627
    10Udinese2075822:32-1026
    11Sassuolo2065923:27-423
    12Torino2065921:32-1123
    13Cremonese2057820:28-822
    14Parma1956814:22-821
    15Genoa2047922:29-719
    16Cagliari2047921:30-919
    17Lecce19451013:27-1417
    18Fiorentina20281021:31-1014
    19Verona19271015:31-1613
    20Pisa20110915:30-1513

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
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          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B