Result
0:0
13/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A - Round 32
- Referee: Manganiello G. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football |
Albania | Tring Sport 1 |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Asia | STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic |
Austria | DAZN |
Belgium | DAZN 1 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2 |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
Czech-republic | Sport 2 |
Denmark | TV2 Play |
Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max |
Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
Hong-kong | HOY TV, M Plus Live |
Hungary | Net4+ |
India | GXR World |
Indonesia | Vidio |
Israel | ONE Sport 2 |
Italy | 214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kosovo | ART Sport 4 |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 3 |
Mexico | Disney+ |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
Norway | VG+ |
Peru | Disney+ |
Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
Portugal | Sport TV3 |
Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1 |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Saudi-arabia | STC TV |
Serbia | Arena Sport 6, Arena Sport 8 |
South-africa | SuperSport Football |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 2 |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Turkey | Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+ |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2 |
United-arab-emirates | Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1 |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | Paramount+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Vietnam | ON Plus, TV 360 |
World | Disney+, Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.80 | 0.55 |
Ball Possession |
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57% | 43% |
Total shots |
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9 | 7 |
Shots on target |
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3 | 3 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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2 | 2 |
Passes |
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87% (450/517) | 79% (305/388) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 5 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.80 | 0.55 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.25 | 0.71 |
Total shots |
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9 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 3 |
Shots off target |
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4 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
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2 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
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4 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
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5 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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2 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
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12 | 15 |
Offsides |
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2 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
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19 | 10 |
Passes |
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87% (450/517) | 79% (305/388) |
Long passes |
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51% (23/45) | 38% (22/58) |
Passes in final third |
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69% (62/90) | 47% (44/93) |
Crosses |
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13% (3/23) | 14% (2/14) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.61 | 0.52 |
Fouls |
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10 | 19 |
Tackles |
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63% (5/8) | 29% (2/7) |
Duels won |
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46 | 29 |
Clearances Total |
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24 | 23 |
Interceptions |
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10 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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3 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
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0.71 | 0.25 |
Goals prevented |
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0.71 | 0.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 12', Pellegrino M. 🟨,
- 35', Valeri E. 🟨,
- 41', Leoni G. 🟨,
- 43', Sohm S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 57', Sohm S. ↓, Hernani ↑,
- 57', Leoni G. ↓, Balogh B. ↑,
- 68', Bernabe A. ↓, Ondrejka J. ↑,
- 70', Mandragora R. ↓, Richardson A. ↑,
- 70', Fagioli N. ↓, Adli Y. ↑,
- 77', Gudmundsson A. ↓, Folorunsho M. ↑,
- 77', Folorunsho M. ↓, Beltran L. ↑,
- 82', Pellegrino M. ↓, Djuric M. ↑,
- 82', Bonny A. ↓, Man D. ↑,
- 89', Valenti L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fiorentina 54.9% | Draw 25.9% | Parma 19.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Parma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parma than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Fiorentina - Parma Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.74 ↑ (1.73) |
3.69 ↓ (3.78) |
4.95 ↓ (4.99) |
4.7% (4.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Fiorentina - Parma?
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 19 - 76%). Parma will win (votes: 3 - 12%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 59.3% – 92.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fiorentina will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 16).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Fiorentina won 1.
- Fiorentina in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches Parma is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Fiorentina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Fiorentina is a favorite.
- There will not play in Fiorentina: Bove E.
(Heart Problems)
Gosens R.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Parma: Almqvist P.
(Yellow Cards)
Benedyczak A.
(Ankle Injury)
Charpentier G.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Circati A.
(Knee Injury)
Kowalski M.
(Knee Injury)
Osorio Y.
(Surgery)
- There are questionable in Fiorentina: Colpani A.
(Foot Injury)
- There are questionable in Parma: Cancellieri M.
(Thigh Injury)
Mihaila V.
(Thigh Injury)
- Our prediction for today's Fiorentina to win the game is with odds 1.72.
- Last 18 head-to-head matches Fiorentina won 4 matches, drawn 10 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 23:19 (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Fiorentina won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15:10 (average 1.7:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentina won against Parma?
Fiorentina has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Parma won against Fiorentina?
Parma has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentina - Parma were as follows:
17.08.2024
Parma
-
Fiorentina
1:1
06.12.2023
Fiorentina
-
Parma
3:2
20.07.2023
Fiorentina
-
Parma
1:1
Latest results of Fiorentina
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Lecce | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Bologna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Pisa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Cremonese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Genoa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Napoli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Udinese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Sassuolo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | AS Roma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Inter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Juventus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Fiorentina | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | AC Milan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Atalanta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Lazio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Cagliari | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Torino | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Parma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Verona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Como | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B