Parma vs Fiorentina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

27/12/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stadio Ennio Tardini (Parma).

Serie A - Round 17
Referee: Guida M. (Ita)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, SuperSport Football, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Angola	Z Sports 1
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4
Indonesia	Vidio
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Kuwait	Shasha
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	ESPN Norte
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 1, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 4
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+, ON Football, ON Plus, ON Sport, TV 360, VTVcab

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.95	1.23
Ball Possession
42%	58%
Total shots
13	23
Shots on target
2	4
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
5	6
Passes
80% (260/325)	86% (393/455)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95	1.23
xG on target (xGOT)
0.85	1.14
Total shots
13	23
Shots on target
2	4
Shots off target
8	12
Blocked Shots
3	7
Shots inside the Box
9	14
Shots outside the Box
4	9
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
5	6
Touches in opposition box
24	37
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	3
Free Kicks
15	10
Passes
80% (260/325)	86% (393/455)
Long passes
54% (34/63)	48% (24/50)
Passes in final third
75% (76/102)	77% (113/146)
Crosses
24% (5/21)	26% (9/34)
Expected assists (xA)
0.33	1.08
Throw-ins
18	21
Fouls
10	15
Tackles
50% (8/16)	88% (14/16)
Duels won
50	48
Clearances
31	20
Interceptions
7	6
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	1
xGOT faced
1.14	0.85
Goals prevented
1.14	-0.15

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Circati A. 🟨,
22', Mandragora R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Viti M. ↓, Fortini N. ↑,
48', 1 - 0, Sorensen O. ⚽, Pellegrino M. (A),
63', Mandragora R. ↓, Piccoli R. ↑,
68', Ondrejka J. ↓, Estevez N. ↑,
68', Benedyczak A. ↓, Oristanio G. ↑,
76', Ndour C. ↓, Sohm S. ↑,
76', Parisi F. ↓, Gosens R. ↑,
81', Bernabe A. ↓, Ordonez C. ↑,
86', Comuzzo P. ↓, Kouadio E. ↑,
86', Corvi E. 🟨,
90+3', Pongracic M. 🟨,
90+4', Keita M. ↓, Cremaschi B. ↑,
90+4', Pellegrino M. ↓, Djuric M. ↑,

Chances of winning

Parma
26.2%

Draw
29%

Fiorentina
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

31.3%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

31%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parma than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Parma - Fiorentina Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.62 ↑ (3.36)	3.27 ↑ (3.03)	2.15 ↓ (2.35)	4.8% (5.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Parma - Fiorentina?

Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. Parma will win (votes: 6 - 12.5%). Fiorentina will win (votes: 20 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 22 - 45.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 31.7% – 59.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Fiorentina (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Fiorentina (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Parma (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Fiorentina (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Parma (votes: 1 - 10%). Fiorentina (votes: 3 - 30%). Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Parma won 0.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Parma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Fiorentina will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Parma: Frigan M. (Knee Injury) Ndiaye A. (Groin Injury) Suzuki Z. (Finger Injury)
There will not play in Fiorentina: Gosens R. (Thigh Injury) Lamptey T. (Knee Injury) Mari P. (Calf Injury) Ranieri L. (Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Parma: Circati A. (Leg Injury)
There are questionable in Fiorentina: Fazzini J. (Ankle Injury) Mandragora R. (Injury)
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Parma won 4 matches, drew 11 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:23. (average 1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Parma won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:8. (average 1:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Parma won against Fiorentina?

Parma has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentina won against Parma?

Fiorentina has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Parma - Fiorentina were as follows:

13.04.2025 Fiorentina - Parma 0:0

17.08.2024 Parma - Fiorentina 1:1

06.12.2023 Fiorentina - Parma 3:2

20.07.2023 Fiorentina - Parma 1:1

Latest results of Parma

13.12.2025 Parma - Lazio 0:1 ✺

08.12.2025 Pisa - Parma 0:1 ✺

04.12.2025 Bologna - Parma 2:1 ✺

29.11.2025 Parma - Udinese 0:2 ✺

23.11.2025 Verona - Parma 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Fiorentina

21.12.2025 Fiorentina - Udinese 5:1 ✺

18.12.2025 Lausanne-Sport - Fiorentina 1:0 ✺

14.12.2025 Fiorentina - Verona 1:2 ✺

11.12.2025 Fiorentina - Dynamo Kyiv 2:1 ✺

06.12.2025 Sassuolo - Fiorentina 3:1 ✺

Italian Serie A Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Inter	26	21	1	4	62:21	41	64
2	AC Milan	26	15	9	2	41:20	21	54
3	Napoli	26	15	5	6	39:27	12	50
4	AS Roma	26	16	2	8	34:16	18	50
5	Juventus	26	13	7	6	43:25	18	46
6	Como	26	12	9	5	41:19	22	45
7	Atalanta	26	12	9	5	36:22	14	45
8	Bologna	26	10	6	10	35:32	3	36
9	Sassuolo	26	10	5	11	32:35	-3	35
10	Lazio	26	8	10	8	26:25	1	34
11	Udinese	26	9	5	12	28:39	-11	32
12	Parma	26	8	8	10	19:31	-12	32
13	Cagliari	26	7	8	11	28:35	-7	29
14	Genoa	26	6	9	11	32:37	-5	27
15	Torino	26	7	6	13	25:47	-22	27
16	Fiorentina	26	5	9	12	30:39	-9	24
17	Cremonese	26	5	9	12	21:36	-15	24
18	Lecce	26	6	6	14	17:33	-16	24
19	Pisa	26	1	12	13	20:43	-23	15
20	Verona	26	2	9	15	19:46	-27	15

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B