Result
1:2
19/03/2026 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Conference League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
- Referee: Martinez J. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Albania | SuperSport 3 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 7 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6 |
 Denmark | Disney+ |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | Canal+ Live 12 |
 Germany | RTL+ |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Hungary | RTL+ |
 Iceland | SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Uno |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 8 |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Mongolia | Premier Sports 5 |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1 |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 6 |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 7 |
 Sweden | Disney+ |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 10 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 8 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus, ON Sport, TV 360, VTVcab |
 World | VIX App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.68 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (321/398) | 80% (324/403) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.68 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.08 | 3.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (321/398) | 80% (324/403) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (26/51) | 37% (23/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (70/102) | 75% (103/138) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (6/17) | 18% (4/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 2.45 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.15 | 0.08 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.15 | -0.92 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 19', Tudor F. ↓, Mosor A. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', 1 - 0, Struski K. ⚽, Lopez I. (A),
- 61', Fazzini J. ↓, Gosens R. ↑,
- 61', Kean M. ↓, Piccoli R. ↑,
- 69', 1 - 1, Ndour C. ⚽,
- 70', Lopez I. ↓, Diaby-Fadiga L. ↑,
- 72', Dodo 🟨,
- 79', Makuch P. ↓, Rocha L. ↑,
- 79', Struski K. ↓, Bulat M. ↑,
- 80', Silva J. C. ↓, Adriano ↑,
- 85', Ndour C. 🟨,
- 87', Ameyaw M. 🟨,
- 87', Brunes J. 🟨,
- 88', Dodo ↓, Pongracic M. ↑,
- 90', Tomczyk L. 🟨,
- 90+1', Fagioli N. ↓, Mandragora R. ↑,
- 90+1', Harrison J. ↓, Gudmundsson A. ↑,
- 90+5', Pongracic M. 🟨,
- 90+7', 1 - 2, Pongracic M. ⚽, Gudmundsson A. (A),
Chances of winning
Raków Częstochowa
35.6% | Draw
28.4% | Fiorentina
36% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Raków Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Raków Częstochowa - Fiorentina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.65 ↑
(2.63) |
3.29 ↓
(3.52) |
2.59 ↑
(2.58) |
6.7%
(5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Raków Częstochowa - Fiorentina?
Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. Raków will win (votes: 11 - 39.3%). Fiorentina will win (votes: 10 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Raków: 21.2% – 57.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Raków (votes: 1 - 50%). Fiorentina (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- TQ, OT - Fiorentina (1.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Fiorentina (2.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Fiorentina (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Raków (votes: 1 - 20%). Fiorentina (votes: 4 - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 1-2. Second leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - ArcelorMittal Park.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Fiorentina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Raków has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Raków: Abraham O.
(Inactive)
Brusberg I.
(Inactive)
Dawidowicz P.
(Inactive)
Kochergin V.
(Knee Injury)
Otieno E.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Fiorentina: Brescianini M.
(Inactive)
Lamptey T.
(Knee Injury)
Rugani D.
(Inactive)
Solomon M.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Fiorentina: Lezzerini L.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Raków won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Raków Częstochowa won against Fiorentina?
Raków Częstochowa has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentina won against Raków Częstochowa?
Fiorentina has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Raków Częstochowa - Fiorentina were as follows:
12.03.2026
Fiorentina
-
Raków Częstochowa
2:1
Latest results of Raków Częstochowa
Latest results of Fiorentina
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | KuPS (21) | Lech Poznan (11) | 0 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Noah (19) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Sparta Prague (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Zrinjski (23) | Crystal Palace (10) | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | AEK Larnaca (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Jagiellonia (17) | Fiorentina (15) | 4 : 2, 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Rakow (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Shkendija (22) | Samsunspor (12) | 0 : 4, 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Drita (20) | Celje (13) | 2 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 12 | AEK Athens (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Lausanne (9) | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 14 | Mainz (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Omonia (18) | Rijeka (16) | 1 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Strasbourg (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Lech Poznan (11) | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | 2 : 1, 1 : 3 |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar (14) | Sparta Prague (4) | 4 : 0, 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Crystal Palace (10) | AEK Larnaca (8) | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | Fiorentina (15) | Rakow (2) | 2 : 1, 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Samsunspor (12) | Rayo Vallecano (5) | 1 : 0, 1 : 3 |
| 6 | Celje (13) | AEK Athens (3) | 2 : 0, 0 : 4 |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Mainz (7) | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Rijeka (16) | Strasbourg (1) | 1 : 1, 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | |
| 2 | Crystal Palace (10) | Fiorentina (15) | |
| 3 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | AEK Athens (3) | |
| 4 | Mainz (7) | Strasbourg (1) | |
Semi-finalsFinal
