Result
3:2
22/02/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Women - Round 15
- Referee: Dasso R. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 1.24 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (308/391) | 78% (261/336) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 1.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.40 | 1.57 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (308/391) | 78% (261/336) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (34/59) | 36% (13/36) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (89/133) | 67% (63/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 31% (5/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.69 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 34 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 89% (17/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.57 | 3.40 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.43 | 0.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 42', Skupien K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 2)
- 46', 1 - 0, Severini E. ⚽, Woldvik E. (A),
- 55', 1 - 1, Ndjoah Eto N. ⚽, Dhont E. (A),
- 60', 2 - 1, Bredgaard S. ⚽,
- 60', Philtjens D. 🟨,
- 63', Filangeri M. ↓, Johansen O. ↑,
- 63', Cherubini M. ↓, Omarsdottir I. ↑,
- 67', Durand S. 🟨,
- 68', 3 - 1, Severini E. (Penalty Awarded),
- 70', Eiriksdottir H. ↓, Catena M. ↑,
- 72', Bredgaard S. 🟨,
- 74', Fercocq H. ↓, Chaib L. ↑,
- 74', Skupien K. ↓, Galabadaarachchi J. ↑,
- 77', Doms M. 🟨,
- 80', Bredgaard S. ↓, Orsi B. ↑,
- 83', Dhont E. ↓, Sabatino D. ↑,
- 83', Venturelli C. ↓, Brustia M. ↑,
- 90+5', 3 - 2, Sabatino D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+5', Doms M. ↓, Hagemann M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Fiorentina
62.4% | Draw
22% | Sassuolo
15.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Sassuolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-12.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fiorentina that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Fiorentina - Sassuolo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.45 ↑
(1.42) |
4.13 ↓
(4.2) |
5.82 ↓
(6.6) |
10.1%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 2.
- Recent performances by Fiorentina have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Sassuolo has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Fiorentina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Fiorentina is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:24. (average 1.6:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fiorentina won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 1.9:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentina won against Sassuolo?
Fiorentina has won 7 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sassuolo won against Fiorentina?
Sassuolo has won 1 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentina - Sassuolo were as follows:
02.11.2025
Sassuolo
-
Fiorentina
0:1
19.01.2025
Fiorentina
-
Sassuolo
1:1
12.10.2024
Sassuolo
-
Fiorentina
1:3
27.04.2024
Fiorentina
-
Sassuolo
4:4
16.03.2024
Sassuolo
-
Fiorentina
1:0
Latest results of Fiorentina
Latest results of Sassuolo
Italian Serie A Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | AS Roma W | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 32:16 | 16 | 40 |
| 2 | Inter W | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 38:17 | 21 | 34 |
| 3 | Juventus W | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22:11 | 11 | 29 |
| 4 | Lazio W | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 23:19 | 4 | 27 |
| 5 | Napoli W | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 23:20 | 3 | 26 |
| 6 | Fiorentina W | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 24:23 | 1 | 26 |
| 7 | Como W | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 17:16 | 1 | 25 |
| 8 | AC Milan W | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25:23 | 2 | 25 |
| 9 | Ternana W | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 16:32 | -16 | 13 |
| 10 | Sassuolo W | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13:27 | -14 | 13 |
| 11 | Parma W | 17 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 10:21 | -11 | 12 |
| 12 | Genoa W | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14:32 | -18 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Women
