Fiorentina vs Verona – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie A
Result
1:2
14/12/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 15
  • Referee: Colombo A. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 8
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polandPolandEleven Sports 3
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serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.730.97
Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
2013
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
94
Passes
86% (408/477)71% (180/255)
Yellow Cards
15
Expected Goals (xG)
1.730.97
xG on target (xGOT)
0.871.01
Total shots
2013
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
97
Blocked Shots
73
Shots inside the Box
157
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
94
Touches in opposition box
2719
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
2210
Passes
86% (408/477)71% (180/255)
Long passes
52% (25/48)28% (17/60)
Passes in final third
72% (102/141)51% (41/80)
Crosses
19% (7/37)33% (3/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.970.98
Throw-ins
2013
Fouls
1022
Tackles
70% (7/10)73% (19/26)
Duels won
5357
Clearances
2444
Interceptions
413
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
1.010.87
Goals prevented
-0.990.87

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 25', Niasse C. 🟨,
  • 32', Frese M. 🟨,
  • 35', Giovane ↓, Orban G. ↑,
  • 36', Gudmundsson A. 🟨,
  • 39', Al Musrati 🟨,
  • 42', 0 - 1, Orban G. ⚽, Al Musrati (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Niasse C. ↓, Gagliardini R. ↑,
  • 61', Ranieri L. ↓, Fortini N. ↑,
  • 62', Mandragora R. ↓, Richardson A. ↑,
  • 63', Mosquera D. ↓, Sarr A. ↑,
  • 69', Sohm S. ↓, Dzeko E. ↑,
  • 69', 1 - 1, Nunez U. (Own goal),
  • 75', Al Musrati ↓, Serdar S. ↑,
  • 75', Frese M. ↓, Valentini N. ↑,
  • 85', Belghali R. 🟨,
  • 87', Dodo ↓, Viti M. ↑,
  • 90+3', 1 - 2, Orban G. ⚽, Bernede A. (A),
  • 90+5', Nunez U. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Fiorentina
47.6%		Draw
30.2%		Verona
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54% 25.7% 20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6% 23.6% 22.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fiorentina's form might have worsened.
  • Verona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Verona than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
    •

    Fiorentina - Verona Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.01 ↑
    (1.76)    		 3.15 ↓
    (3.7)    		 4.28 ↓
    (4.69)    		 4.9%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Fiorentina - Verona?
  • Users Predictions: 47 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 34 - 72.3%). Verona will win (votes: 5 - 10.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 17%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 59.5% – 85.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • AH -0.5 - Fiorentina (2.01) (votes: 3 - 60%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fiorentina will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Fiorentina (votes: 11 - 84.6%). Verona (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 3.
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • Fiorentina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Fiorentina is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Fiorentina: Lamptey T. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Verona: Bradaric D. (Muscle Injury) Suslov T. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Fiorentina: Fagioli N. (Inactive) Fazzini J. (Ankle Injury) Gosens R. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Verona: Akpa Akpro J. (Ankle Injury) Serdar S. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:21. (average 1.7:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fiorentina won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.3:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentina - Verona were as follows:
    23.02.2025 Verona - Fiorentina 1:0
    10.11.2024 Fiorentina - Verona 3:1
    05.05.2024 Verona - Fiorentina 2:1
    17.12.2023 Fiorentina - Verona 1:0
    27.02.2023 Verona - Fiorentina 0:3
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    11.12.2025 Fiorentina - Dynamo Kyiv 2:1 ✺
    06.12.2025 Sassuolo - Fiorentina 3:1 ✺
    30.11.2025 Atalanta - Fiorentina 2:0 ✺
    27.11.2025 Fiorentina - AEK Athens 0:1 ✺
    22.11.2025 Fiorentina - Juventus 1:1 ✺
    Latest results of Verona
    06.12.2025 Verona - Atalanta 3:1 ✺
    29.11.2025 Genoa - Verona 2:1 ✺
    23.11.2025 Verona - Parma 1:2 ✺
    08.11.2025 Lecce - Verona 0:0 ✺
    02.11.2025 Verona - Inter Milan 1:2 ✺
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter26211462:214164
    2AC Milan26159241:202154
    3Napoli26155639:271250
    4AS Roma26162834:161850
    5Juventus26137643:251846
    6Como26129541:192245
    7Atalanta26129536:221445
    8Bologna261061035:32336
    9Sassuolo261051132:35-335
    10Lazio26810826:25134
    11Udinese26951228:39-1132
    12Parma26881019:31-1232
    13Cagliari26781128:35-729
    14Genoa26691132:37-527
    15Torino26761325:47-2227
    16Fiorentina26591230:39-924
    17Cremonese26591221:36-1524
    18Lecce26661417:33-1624
    19Pisa261121320:43-2315
    20Verona26291519:46-2715

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

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