Result
1:1 penalties
06/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/8-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | SporTV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 2.26 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (335/396) | 86% (381/444) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 2.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 1.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (335/396) | 86% (381/444) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (35/60) | 46% (23/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (73/99) | 73% (91/124) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.48 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 47% (7/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 29 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.05 | 1.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | 1.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 21', 0 - 1, Everton ⚽, Plata G. (A),
- 30', Lyanco 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Natanael ↓, Renzo Saravia ↑,
- 47', Pedro 🟨,
- 58', Everton ↓, Samuel Lino ↑,
- 63', Gabriel Menino ↓, Igor Gomes ↑,
- 65', Cuello 🟨,
- 65', Plata G. ↓, Niguez S. ↑,
- 65', Pedro ↓, de Arrascaeta G. ↑,
- 70', Rony ↓, Biel ↑,
- 74', Guilherme Arana ↓, Dudu ↑,
- 75', Cuello ↓, Alexsander ↑,
- Penalties (4 - 3)
- 1, de Arrascaeta G. (Pen),
- 1, Hulk (Pen),
- 2, Jorginho (Pen),
- 2, Gustavo Scarpa (Pen),
- 3, Niguez S. (Pen),
- 3, Alonso J. (Pen),
- 4, Samuel Lino (Pen),
- 4, Igor Gomes (Pen),
- 5, Wallace Yan (Pen),
- 5, Everson (Pen),
Chances of winning
Atlético Mineiro
27.6% | Draw
31.7% | Flamengo
40.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Atlético Mineiro - Flamengo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.37 ↑
(3.1) |
2.93 ↑
(2.92) |
2.29 ↓
(2.54) |
7.5%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Atlético Mineiro - Flamengo?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Atlético MG will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Flamengo will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Flamengo: 9.6% – 70.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Flamengo (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 1.
- Atlético MG has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Flamengo is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Flamengo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Atlético MG: Cadu
(Knee Injury)
Caio Maia
(Knee Injury)
Guilherme Arana
(Muscle Injury)
Patrick Silva
(Broken tailbone)
- There will not play in Flamengo: Danilo
(Thigh Injury)
Everton
(Muscle Injury)
Luiz Araujo
(Injury)
Matheus Cunha
(Knee Injury)
Michael
(Ankle Injury)
Pulgar E.
(Foot Injury)
- There are questionable in Atlético MG: Renzo Saravia
(Calf Injury)
- There are questionable in Flamengo: Emerson Royal
(Injury)
de la Cruz N.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 26:25. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético MG won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against Flamengo?
Atlético Mineiro has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Flamengo won against Atlético Mineiro?
Flamengo has won 6 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Mineiro - Flamengo were as follows:
31.07.2025
Flamengo
-
Atlético Mineiro
0:1
27.07.2025
Flamengo
-
Atlético Mineiro
1:0
13.11.2024
Flamengo
-
Atlético Mineiro
0:0
10.11.2024
Atlético Mineiro
-
Flamengo
0:1
03.11.2024
Flamengo
-
Atlético Mineiro
3:1
Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
Latest results of Flamengo
Draw
20251/64-finals| 1 | Santos | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | CRB | |
| 5 | Cruzeiro | Bye | |
| 7 | Inter de Limeira | Vila Nova FC | 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Rio Branco-VN | Amazonas | 1 : 0 |
| 9 | Maringa FC | Juventude | 1 : 0 |
| 10 | Uniao Carmolandense | America RN | 4 : 2 |
| 11 | Tocantinopolis | Atletico-MG | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Independencia | Manaus | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Concordia | Ponte Preta | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Portuguesa | Botafogo PB | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Flamengo RJ | |
| 17 | Operario VG | Sport Recife | 1 : 0 |
| 18 | Rio Branco ES | Novorizontino | 1 : 3 |
| 20 | Bye | Corinthians | |
| 21 | Sergipe | Ceara | 0 : 2 |
| 22 | Parnahyba | Confianca | 0 : 5 |
| 24 | Bye | Palmeiras | |
| 25 | Sao Paulo | Bye | |
| 27 | Maranhao | Vitoria | 0 : 1 |
| 28 | Santa Cruz de Natal | Nautico | 0 : 4 |
| 29 | Trem | Brusque | 0 : 2 |
| 30 | Olaria | ABC | 1 : 0 |
| 31 | Pouso Alegre | Athletico-PR | 0 : 2 |
| 32 | Guarany de Bage | AE Altos | 2 : 1 |
| 33 | Tuna Luso | Sampaio Correa | 1 : 0 |
| 34 | Boavista | CSA | 0 : 2 |
| 35 | Sao Raimundo RR | Gremio | 1 : 2 |
| 36 | Barcelona | Athletic Club | 1 : 2 |
| 37 | Humaita | Operario-PR | 0 : 1 |
| 38 | CSE | Tombense | 1 : 3 |
| 39 | Uniao Rondonopolis | Vasco | 0 : 3 |
| 40 | Barcelona RO | Nova Iguacu | 1 : 4 |
| 41 | Botafogo RJ | Bye | |
| 43 | Porto Velho | Cuiaba | 1 : 0 |
| 44 | Capital | Portuguesa RJ | 1 : 0 |
| 45 | Operario MS | Criciuma | 0 : 1 |
| 46 | GAS | Remo | 0 : 4 |
| 47 | Sousa | Bragantino | 1 : 2 |
| 48 | Oratorio | EC Sao Jose | 1 : 3 |
| 49 | Aguia De Maraba | Fluminense | 0 : 8 |
| 50 | Dourados | SER Caxias | 0 : 2 |
| 51 | Cascavel | America MG | 1 : 0 |
| 52 | Votuporanguense | Aparecidense | 2 : 3 |
| 53 | Internacional | Bye | |
| 55 | Ceilandia | Coritiba | 3 : 2 |
| 56 | Maracana | Ferroviario | 2 : 1 |
| 57 | ASA | Atletico GO | 1 : 2 |
| 58 | Jequie | Retro | 1 : 2 |
| 60 | Bye | Fortaleza | |
| 61 | Paysandu PA | Bye | |
| 64 | Bye | Bahia | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Santos | Bye | |
| 2 | Bye | CRB | |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | Bye | |
| 4 | Vila Nova FC | Rio Branco-VN | 6 : 0 |
| 5 | Maringa FC | Uniao Carmolandense | 4 : 2 |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | Manaus | 4 : 1 |
| 7 | Concordia | Botafogo PB | 0 : 4 |
| 8 | Bye | Flamengo RJ | |
| 9 | Operario VG | Novorizontino | 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Bye | Corinthians | |
| 11 | Ceara | Confianca | 3 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Palmeiras | |
| 13 | Sao Paulo | Bye | |
| 14 | Vitoria | Nautico | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Brusque | Olaria | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Athletico-PR | Guarany de Bage | 3 : 1 |
| 17 | Tuna Luso | CSA | 0 : 5 |
| 18 | Gremio | Athletic Club | 4 : 3 |
| 19 | Operario-PR | Tombense | 1 : 0 |
| 20 | Vasco | Nova Iguacu | 3 : 0 |
| 21 | Botafogo RJ | Bye | |
| 22 | Porto Velho | Capital | 1 : 3 |
| 23 | Criciuma | Remo | 2 : 1 |
| 24 | Bragantino | EC Sao Jose | 2 : 1 |
| 25 | Fluminense | SER Caxias | 2 : 1 |
| 26 | Cascavel | Aparecidense | 0 : 1 |
| 27 | Internacional | Bye | |
| 28 | Ceilandia | Maracana | 0 : 1 |
| 29 | Atletico GO | Retro | 1 : 2 |
| 30 | Bye | Fortaleza | |
| 31 | Paysandu PA | Bye | |
| 32 | Bye | Bahia | |
1/16-finals| 1 | Santos | CRB | 0 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | Vila Nova FC | 3 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Maringa FC | Atletico-MG | 0 : 4, 2 : 2 |
| 4 | Botafogo PB | Flamengo RJ | 2 : 4, 0 : 1 |
| 5 | Novorizontino | Corinthians | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Ceara | Palmeiras | 0 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | Nautico | 2 : 1, 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Brusque | Athletico-PR | 0 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 9 | CSA | Gremio | 0 : 0, 3 : 2 |
| 10 | Operario-PR | Vasco | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 11 | Botafogo RJ | Capital | 0 : 1, 4 : 0 |
| 12 | Criciuma | Bragantino | 0 : 6, 1 : 0 |
| 13 | Fluminense | Aparecidense | 4 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 14 | Internacional | Maracana | 3 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 15 | Retro | Fortaleza | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 16 | Paysandu PA | Bahia | 0 : 4, 0 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | CRB | Cruzeiro | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Atletico-MG | Flamengo RJ | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Corinthians | Palmeiras | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Sao Paulo | Athletico-PR | 0 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 5 | CSA | Vasco | 1 : 3, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | Bragantino | 1 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Fluminense | Internacional | 1 : 1, 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Retro | Bahia | 0 : 0, 2 : 3 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Cruzeiro | Atletico-MG | |
| 2 | Corinthians | Athletico-PR | |
| 3 | Vasco | Botafogo RJ | |
| 4 | Fluminense | Bahia | |
Semi-finalsFinal
