Result
1:1
25/11/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 36
- Referee: Klein R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Colombia | Win Sports |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Russia | Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Spain | Movistar Plus+ |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 World | TV Globo Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 2.15 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 28% | 72% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (219/284) | 92% (669/731) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 2.15 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 0.98 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (219/284) | 92% (669/731) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (19/56) | 57% (20/35) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (31/49) | 81% (179/220) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 75% (3/4) | 31% (8/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.98 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 9 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 3 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.98 | 1.59 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.02 | 0.59 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 34', 1 - 0, Bernard ⚽, Dudu (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Wallace Yan ↓, Bruno Henrique ↑,
- 46', Vitor Hugo ↓, Ruan Tressoldi ↑,
- 53', Carrascal J. ↓, de Arrascaeta G. ↑,
- 53', Evertton Araujo ↓, Jorginho ↑,
- 54', Natanael 🟨,
- 56', Hulk ↓, Rony ↑,
- 56', Natanael ↓, Roman I. ↑,
- 67', Samuel Lino ↓, Everton ↑,
- 67', Dudu ↓, Caio Paulista ↑,
- 68', Everson 🟨,
- 74', Pulgar E. 🟨,
- 74', Luiz Araujo ↓, Plata G. ↑,
- 78', Bernard 🟨,
- 83', Bernard ↓, Reinier ↑,
- 86', Bruno Henrique 🟨,
- 90+2', 1 - 1, Bruno Henrique ⚽, Danilo (A),
- 90+6', Rony 🟥,
Chances of winning
Atlético Mineiro
24.2% | Draw
29.4% | Flamengo
46.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Flamengo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Atlético Mineiro - Flamengo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.95 ↑
(3.75) |
3.26 ↓
(3.46) |
2.07 ↑
(1.99) |
4.4%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Atlético Mineiro - Flamengo?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Flamengo (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Flamengo will win
(15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.11% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Flamengo will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Flamengo (votes: 7 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- Flamengo is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 1.
- Atlético MG has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Flamengo is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Flamengo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Flamengo is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Atlético MG: Caio Maia
(Knee Injury)
Cuello
(Ankle Injury)
Igor Gomes
(Red Card)
Junior Santos
(Hip Injury)
Lyanco
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Flamengo: Pedro
(Broken Hand)
- There are questionable in Atlético MG: Franco A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Flamengo: Leo Ortiz
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 26:24. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético MG won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 1.9:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against Flamengo?
Atlético Mineiro has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Flamengo won against Atlético Mineiro?
Flamengo has won 6 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Mineiro - Flamengo were as follows:
06.08.2025
Atlético Mineiro
-
Flamengo
1:1
31.07.2025
Flamengo
-
Atlético Mineiro
0:1
27.07.2025
Flamengo
-
Atlético Mineiro
1:0
13.11.2024
Flamengo
-
Atlético Mineiro
0:0
10.11.2024
Atlético Mineiro
-
Flamengo
0:1
Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
Latest results of Flamengo
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Bahia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Corinthians | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Bragantino | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Chapecoense-SC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8:6 | 2 | 5 |
| 9 | Mirassol | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 10 | Coritiba | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Flamengo RJ | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Botafogo RJ | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Gremio | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | Vitoria | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 | Atletico-MG | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 2 |
| 16 | Remo | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 2 |
| 17 | Vasco | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 18 | Santos | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 1 |
| 19 | Internacional | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
| 20 | Cruzeiro | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
