Flamengo vs Atlético Mineiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Flamengo - Atlético Mineiro
27/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 17
  • Referee: Abatti R. (Bra)

Chances of winning


Flamengo
64.6%
Draw
23.1%
Atlético Mineiro
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.9% 26.1% 18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8% 26.5% 17.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Flamengo's performance.
  • Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Mineiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Flamengo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Mineiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Flamengo - Atlético Mineiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.46
    (1.69)
    4.12
    (3.62)
    7.67
    (5.24)
    5.7%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 3.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Atlético MG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Flamengo is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:27. (average 1.3:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Flamengo won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Flamengo - Atlético Mineiro were as follows:
    13.11.2024 Flamengo - Atlético Mineiro 0:0
    10.11.2024 Atlético Mineiro - Flamengo 0:1
    03.11.2024 Flamengo - Atlético Mineiro 3:1
    03.07.2024 Atlético Mineiro - Flamengo 2:4
    29.11.2023 Flamengo - Atlético Mineiro 0:3
    Latest results of Flamengo
    20.07.2025 Flamengo - Fluminense 1:0
    16.07.2025 Santos - Flamengo 1:0
    12.07.2025 Flamengo - São Paulo 2:0
    29.06.2025 Flamengo - Bayern Munich 2:4
    Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cruzeiro16104227:91834
    2Flamengo RJ15103229:62333
    3Palmeiras15102319:12732
    4Bragantino1783620:20027
    5Botafogo RJ1575318:81026
    6Bahia1474317:13425
    7Mirassol1567224:141025
    8Corinthians1756616:20-421
    9Fluminense1462616:17-120
    10Atletico-MG1455416:15120
    11Internacional1555516:19-320
    12Sao Paulo1647515:18-319
    13Ceara1553714:15-118
    14Gremio1545614:21-717
    15Vitoria1738614:18-417
    16Santos1643915:21-615
    17Vasco1442815:19-414
    18Fortaleza1535716:21-514
    19Juventude1432910:29-1911
    20Sport Recife1505109:25-165

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet