Atlético Mineiro vs Flamengo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa do Brasil
Football Copa do Brasil Atlético Mineiro - Flamengo
Result
1:1 penalties
06/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/8-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilSporTV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.082.26
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1817
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
85% (335/396)86% (381/444)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.082.26
xG on target (xGOT)
1.141.05
Total shots
1817
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
106
Blocked Shots
27
Shots inside the Box
810
Shots outside the Box
107
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
2428
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1213
Passes
85% (335/396)86% (381/444)
Long passes
58% (35/60)46% (23/50)
Passes in final third
74% (73/99)73% (91/124)
Crosses
14% (2/14)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.180.48
Throw-ins
1715
Fouls
1312
Tackles
50% (4/8)47% (7/15)
Duels won
2940
Clearances
2410
Interceptions
89
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
36
xGOT faced
1.051.14
Goals prevented
0.051.14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 21', 0 - 1, Everton ⚽, Plata G. (A),
  • 30', Lyanco 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Natanael ↓, Renzo Saravia ↑,
  • 47', Pedro 🟨,
  • 58', Everton ↓, Samuel Lino ↑,
  • 63', Gabriel Menino ↓, Igor Gomes ↑,
  • 65', Cuello 🟨,
  • 65', Plata G. ↓, Niguez S. ↑,
  • 65', Pedro ↓, de Arrascaeta G. ↑,
  • 70', Rony ↓, Biel ↑,
  • 74', Guilherme Arana ↓, Dudu ↑,
  • 75', Cuello ↓, Alexsander ↑,
  • Penalties (4 - 3)
  • 1, de Arrascaeta G. (Pen),
  • 1, Hulk (Pen),
  • 2, Jorginho (Pen),
  • 2, Gustavo Scarpa (Pen),
  • 3, Niguez S. (Pen),
  • 3, Alonso J. (Pen),
  • 4, Samuel Lino (Pen),
  • 4, Igor Gomes (Pen),
  • 5, Wallace Yan (Pen),
  • 5, Everson (Pen),

Chances of winning


Atlético Mineiro
27.6%		Draw
31.7%		Flamengo
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.5% 32.3% 37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8% 33.7% 35.7%

Atlético Mineiro - Flamengo Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 3.37 ↑
(3.1)		 2.93 ↑
(2.92)		 2.29 ↓
(2.54)		 7.5%
(5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Atlético Mineiro - Flamengo?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Atlético MG will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Flamengo will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Flamengo: 9.6% – 70.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Flamengo (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 1.
    • Atlético MG has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Flamengo is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Flamengo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Atlético MG: Cadu (Knee Injury) Caio Maia (Knee Injury) Guilherme Arana (Muscle Injury) Patrick Silva (Broken tailbone)
    • There will not play in Flamengo: Danilo (Thigh Injury) Everton (Muscle Injury) Luiz Araujo (Injury) Matheus Cunha (Knee Injury) Michael (Ankle Injury) Pulgar E. (Foot Injury)
    • There are questionable in Atlético MG: Renzo Saravia (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Flamengo: Emerson Royal (Injury) de la Cruz N. (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 26:25. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlético MG won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Mineiro - Flamengo were as follows:
    31.07.2025 Flamengo - Atlético Mineiro 0:1
    27.07.2025 Flamengo - Atlético Mineiro 1:0
    13.11.2024 Flamengo - Atlético Mineiro 0:0
    10.11.2024 Atlético Mineiro - Flamengo 0:1
    03.11.2024 Flamengo - Atlético Mineiro 3:1
    Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
    03.08.2025 Atlético Mineiro - Red Bull Bragantino 2:1 ✺
    31.07.2025 Flamengo - Atlético Mineiro 0:1 ✺
    27.07.2025 Flamengo - Atlético Mineiro 1:0 ✺
    24.07.2025 Atlético Mineiro - Atlético Bucaramanga 1:1 ✺
    20.07.2025 Palmeiras - Atlético Mineiro 3:2 ✺
    Latest results of Flamengo
    03.08.2025 Ceará - Flamengo 1:1 ✺
    31.07.2025 Flamengo - Atlético Mineiro 0:1 ✺
    27.07.2025 Flamengo - Atlético Mineiro 1:0 ✺
    23.07.2025 Red Bull Bragantino - Flamengo 1:2 ✺
    20.07.2025 Flamengo - Fluminense 1:0 ✺
    Draw
    2025

    1/64-finals
    1SantosBye
    4ByeCRB
    5CruzeiroBye
    7Inter de LimeiraVila Nova FC0 : 1
    8Rio Branco-VNAmazonas1 : 0
    9Maringa FCJuventude1 : 0
    10Uniao CarmolandenseAmerica RN4 : 2
    11TocantinopolisAtletico-MG0 : 2
    12IndependenciaManaus1 : 2
    13ConcordiaPonte Preta2 : 1
    14PortuguesaBotafogo PB1 : 2
    16ByeFlamengo RJ
    17Operario VGSport Recife1 : 0
    18Rio Branco ESNovorizontino1 : 3
    20ByeCorinthians
    21SergipeCeara0 : 2
    22ParnahybaConfianca0 : 5
    24ByePalmeiras
    25Sao PauloBye
    27MaranhaoVitoria0 : 1
    28Santa Cruz de NatalNautico0 : 4
    29TremBrusque0 : 2
    30OlariaABC1 : 0
    31Pouso AlegreAthletico-PR0 : 2
    32Guarany de BageAE Altos2 : 1
    33Tuna LusoSampaio Correa1 : 0
    34BoavistaCSA0 : 2
    35Sao Raimundo RRGremio1 : 2
    36BarcelonaAthletic Club1 : 2
    37HumaitaOperario-PR0 : 1
    38CSETombense1 : 3
    39Uniao RondonopolisVasco0 : 3
    40Barcelona RONova Iguacu1 : 4
    41Botafogo RJBye
    43Porto VelhoCuiaba1 : 0
    44CapitalPortuguesa RJ1 : 0
    45Operario MSCriciuma0 : 1
    46GASRemo0 : 4
    47SousaBragantino1 : 2
    48OratorioEC Sao Jose1 : 3
    49Aguia De MarabaFluminense0 : 8
    50DouradosSER Caxias0 : 2
    51CascavelAmerica MG1 : 0
    52VotuporanguenseAparecidense2 : 3
    53InternacionalBye
    55CeilandiaCoritiba3 : 2
    56MaracanaFerroviario2 : 1
    57ASAAtletico GO1 : 2
    58JequieRetro1 : 2
    60ByeFortaleza
    61Paysandu PABye
    64ByeBahia

    1/32-finals
    1SantosBye
    2ByeCRB
    3CruzeiroBye
    4Vila Nova FCRio Branco-VN6 : 0
    5Maringa FCUniao Carmolandense4 : 2
    6Atletico-MGManaus4 : 1
    7ConcordiaBotafogo PB0 : 4
    8ByeFlamengo RJ
    9Operario VGNovorizontino0 : 1
    10ByeCorinthians
    11CearaConfianca3 : 2
    12ByePalmeiras
    13Sao PauloBye
    14VitoriaNautico0 : 2
    15BrusqueOlaria2 : 1
    16Athletico-PRGuarany de Bage3 : 1
    17Tuna LusoCSA0 : 5
    18GremioAthletic Club4 : 3
    19Operario-PRTombense1 : 0
    20VascoNova Iguacu3 : 0
    21Botafogo RJBye
    22Porto VelhoCapital1 : 3
    23CriciumaRemo2 : 1
    24BragantinoEC Sao Jose2 : 1
    25FluminenseSER Caxias2 : 1
    26CascavelAparecidense0 : 1
    27InternacionalBye
    28CeilandiaMaracana0 : 1
    29Atletico GORetro1 : 2
    30ByeFortaleza
    31Paysandu PABye
    32ByeBahia

    1/16-finals
    1SantosCRB0 : 1, 1 : 1
    2CruzeiroVila Nova FC3 : 0, 2 : 0
    3Maringa FCAtletico-MG0 : 4, 2 : 2
    4Botafogo PBFlamengo RJ2 : 4, 0 : 1
    5NovorizontinoCorinthians0 : 1, 0 : 1
    6CearaPalmeiras0 : 3, 0 : 1
    7Sao PauloNautico2 : 1, 2 : 1
    8BrusqueAthletico-PR0 : 1, 0 : 0
    9CSAGremio0 : 0, 3 : 2
    10Operario-PRVasco1 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Botafogo RJCapital0 : 1, 4 : 0
    12CriciumaBragantino0 : 6, 1 : 0
    13FluminenseAparecidense4 : 1, 1 : 0
    14InternacionalMaracana3 : 0, 1 : 0
    15RetroFortaleza2 : 1, 1 : 1
    16Paysandu PABahia0 : 4, 0 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1CRBCruzeiro0 : 2, 0 : 0
    2Atletico-MGFlamengo RJ1 : 1, 1 : 0
    3CorinthiansPalmeiras2 : 0, 1 : 0
    4Sao PauloAthletico-PR0 : 2, 2 : 1
    5CSAVasco1 : 3, 0 : 0
    6Botafogo RJBragantino1 : 0, 2 : 0
    7FluminenseInternacional1 : 1, 2 : 1
    8RetroBahia0 : 0, 2 : 3

    Quarter-finals
    1CruzeiroAtletico-MG2 : 0, 2 : 0
    2CorinthiansAthletico-PR2 : 0, 1 : 0
    3VascoBotafogo RJ2 : 1, 1 : 1
    4FluminenseBahia2 : 0, 0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1CruzeiroCorinthians
    2VascoFluminense

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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