Result
1:1 penalties
25/09/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Libertadores - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Referee: Maza P. (Chi)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | StarTimes App, Startimes World Football |
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+, ESPN Premium |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Georgia | Silk Universal |
 Germany | Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+ |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 8 |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
 Malaysia | Mola |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2 |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 2 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
 South-america | ESPN South |
 Spain | LaLiga+ |
 Turkey | S Sport, S Sport+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.67 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (225/302) | 85% (461/541) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.16 | 0.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (225/302) | 85% (461/541) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (30/68) | 50% (23/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (46/79) | 67% (97/144) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (3/18) | 18% (5/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.67 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 93% (13/14) | 80% (16/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.24 | 0.16 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.24 | -0.84 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 28', Leo Pereira 🟨,
- 45+2', 1 - 0, Benedetti G. ⚽, Nunez S. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 58', Pedro ↓, Bruno Henrique ↑,
- 58', Plata G. ↓, Luiz Araujo ↑,
- 66', Medina C. ↓, Castro A. ↑,
- 66', Arzamendia S. ↓, Cetre E. ↑,
- 71', Nunez S. 🟨,
- 77', de Arrascaeta G. ↓, Carrascal J. ↑,
- 81', Palacios T. ↓, Perez Fabricio ↑,
- 90+2', Carrillo G. ↓, Alario L. ↑,
- 90+2', Amondarain M. ↓, Sosa J. ↑,
- Penalties (2 - 4)
- 1, Jorginho (Pen),
- 1, Sosa J. (Pen),
- 2, Luiz Araujo (Pen),
- 2, Benedetti G. (Pen),
- 3, Carrascal J. (Pen),
- 3, Cetre E. (Pen),
- 4, Leo Pereira (Pen),
- 4, Ascacibar S. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Estudiantes La Plata
25.5% | Draw
31.1% | Flamengo
43.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estudiantes La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Flamengo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Estudiantes La Plata - Flamengo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.7 ↓
(3.85) |
3.06 ↓
(3.35) |
2.21 ↑
(2.03) |
5%
(5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Estudiantes La Plata - Flamengo?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Estudiantes will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Flamengo will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 43.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Flamengo: 19.5% – 68.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Estudiantes (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Flamengo (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 1-2. 2nd leg.
- Estudiantes has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Flamengo is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Flamengo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Flamengo has had a series of home games.
- Flamengo might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Estudiantes: Burgos J.
(Pelvis Injury)
Cetre E.
(Hamstring Injury)
Gonzalez Pirez L.
(Muscle Injury)
Meza E.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Flamengo: Jorginho
(Hamstring Injury)
Plata G.
(Red Card)
Pulgar E.
(Foot Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Estudiantes won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Estudiantes La Plata won against Flamengo?
Estudiantes La Plata has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Flamengo won against Estudiantes La Plata?
Flamengo has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Estudiantes La Plata - Flamengo were as follows:
18.09.2025
Flamengo
-
Estudiantes La Plata
2:1
Latest results of Estudiantes La Plata
Latest results of Flamengo
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Atl. Nacional | Sao Paulo | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Botafogo RJ | LDU Quito | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Libertad Asuncion | River Plate | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | Palmeiras | 0 : 0, 0 : 4 |
| 5 | Cerro Porteno | Estudiantes L.P. | 0 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Flamengo RJ | Internacional | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Fortaleza | Velez Sarsfield | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Penarol | Racing Club | 1 : 3, 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sao Paulo | LDU Quito | 0 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | River Plate | Palmeiras | 1 : 3, 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Estudiantes L.P. | Flamengo RJ | 1 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Velez Sarsfield | Racing Club | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | LDU Quito | Palmeiras | |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | Racing Club | |
Final
