Result
0:0
26/09/2024 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Referee: Tello F. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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|---|
 Africa | StarTimes App |
 Argentina | Fox Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1, Moja TV |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, FuboTV |
 Chile | ESPN Premium |
 Colombia | ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 8 |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Mexico | ESPN 2 |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 1 |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Nigeria | Sporty TV |
 Peru | ESPN |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Slovenia | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 Premium |
 South-america | ESPN South |
 Spain | beIN Sports, LaLiga+ |
 Turkey | S Sport, S Sport+ |
 United-kingdom | beIN Sports MENA English 1 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, FuboTV |
 Venezuela | ESPN, Inter |
 World | Disney+, Fanatiz, LaLiga+ app |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 27% | 73% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 26 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Plata G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 59', Plata G. ↓, Gabriel Barbosa ↑,
- 59', Varela G. ↓, Wesley ↑,
- 63', Leo Ortiz 🟨,
- 67', Baez J. ↓, Sequeira L. ↑,
- 67', Cabrera J. ↓, Lucas Hernandez ↑,
- 74', Alex Sandro ↓, Ayrton Lucas ↑,
- 77', Silvera M. ↓, Batista F. ↑,
- 83', Leo Ortiz ↓, Matheus Goncalves ↑,
- 83', Fabricio Bruno ↓, David Luiz ↑,
- 90', Darias E. ↓, Ramirez G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Peñarol de Montevideo
25.2% | Draw
29.9% | Flamengo
44.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Peñarol de Montevideo's form might have worsened.Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Flamengo's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+11.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Peñarol de Montevideo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-11%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Flamengo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Peñarol de Montevideo - Flamengo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.75 ↑
(2.57) |
3.15 ↓
(3.22) |
2.1 ↓
(2.86) |
6%
(5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Peñarol de Montevideo - Flamengo?
Users Predictions:
Flamengo will win
(58 of 64 users predict this - 90.63%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.49% – 97.77%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-0.
- Peñarol is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Flamengo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Flamengo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently Peñarol have a series of guest games.
- Flamengo will have a mini benefit in this match.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Peñarol won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.
- Including matches at home between the teams Peñarol won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.
How many head-to-head matches has Peñarol de Montevideo won against Flamengo?
Peñarol de Montevideo has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Flamengo won against Peñarol de Montevideo?
Flamengo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Peñarol de Montevideo - Flamengo were as follows:
19.09.2024
Flamengo
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
0:1
Latest results of Peñarol de Montevideo
Latest results of Flamengo
Copa Libertadores Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | Botafogo RJ | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 12 |
| 3 | U. De Chile | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Carabobo | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:13 | -11 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | River Plate | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13:7 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | U. de Deportes | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 8 |
| 3 | Ind. del Valle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | LDU Quito | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 11 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 11 |
| 3 | Central Cordoba | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 11 |
| 4 | Dep. Tachira | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:11 | -7 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sao Paulo | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 14 |
| 2 | Libertad Asuncion | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Alianza Lima | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 5 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Club | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:3 | 11 | 13 |
| 2 | Fortaleza | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 8 |
| 3 | Bucaramanga | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 4 | Colo Colo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:15 | -10 | 5 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Internacional | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 11 |
| 2 | Atl. Nacional | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Bahia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 7 |
| 4 | Nacional | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17:4 | 13 | 18 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
| 3 | Bolivar | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12:11 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:16 | -10 | 4 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 11 |
| 2 | Penarol | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | SA Bulo Bulo | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:15 | -10 | 6 |
| 4 | Olimpia Asuncion | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
