Result
3:2
09/11/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 33
- Referee: Sampaio S. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.60 | 1.95 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (526/575) | 84% (256/303) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.60 | 1.95 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 2.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (526/575) | 84% (256/303) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 68% (21/31) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 86% (153/178) | 77% (63/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (4/27) | 38% (5/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 1.28 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 50% (8/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.41 | 1.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.41 | -1.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 30', Samuel Lino 🟨,
- 36', Neymar 🟨,
- 37', 1 - 0, Leo Pereira ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 51', 2 - 0, Carrascal J. ⚽, de Arrascaeta G. (A),
- 62', Luan Peres ↓, Gabriel Bontempo ↑,
- 67', Carrascal J. ↓, Luiz Araujo ↑,
- 67', de la Cruz N. ↓, Niguez S. ↑,
- 68', de Arrascaeta G. (Pen),
- 72', Ze Rafael ↓, Thaciano ↑,
- 72', Barreal A. ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
- 76', de Arrascaeta G. 🟨,
- 77', Ze Ivaldo 🟨,
- 80', Samuel Lino ↓, Everton ↑,
- 81', 3 - 0, Bruno Henrique ⚽,
- 85', de Arrascaeta G. ↓, Michael ↑,
- 85', Pulgar E. ↓, Evertton Araujo ↑,
- 86', Neymar ↓, Rollheiser B. ↑,
- 86', Guilherme ↓, Robson Junior ↑,
- 88', Ayrton Lucas ↓, Vina M. ↑,
- 89', 3 - 1, Gabriel Bontempo ⚽,
- 90+1', 3 - 2, Diaz L. ⚽, Rollheiser B. (A),
- 90+5', Souza ↓, Escobar G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Flamengo
70.6% | Draw
19% | Santos
10.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Flamengo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Flamengo - Santos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.35 ↑
(1.31) |
5.02 ↓
(5.2) |
9.01 ↓
(10.02) |
5%
(5.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Flamengo - Santos?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Flamengo (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 6.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Santos (7.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Flamengo (votes: 1 - 50%). Santos (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Flamengo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Flamengo is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Flamengo: Pedro
(Broken Hand)
Plata G.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Santos: Mayke
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Flamengo: Jorginho
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Santos: Neymar
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 30:24. (average 1.5:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Flamengo won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.7:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Flamengo won against Santos?
Flamengo has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Santos won against Flamengo?
Santos has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Flamengo - Santos were as follows:
16.07.2025
Santos
-
Flamengo
1:0
01.11.2023
Flamengo
-
Santos
1:2
25.06.2023
Santos
-
Flamengo
2:3
25.10.2022
Flamengo
-
Santos
3:2
Latest results of Flamengo
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sao Paulo | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 7 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Bahia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Athletico-PR | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Bragantino | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | Corinthians | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | Chapecoense-SC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8:6 | 2 | 5 |
| 9 | Mirassol | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 10 | Flamengo RJ | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Coritiba | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | Botafogo RJ | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Gremio | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | Vitoria | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 | Remo | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6:8 | -2 | 3 |
| 16 | Atletico-MG | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 2 |
| 17 | Internacional | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 2 |
| 18 | Vasco | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 19 | Santos | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 1 |
| 20 | Cruzeiro | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
