Result
1:0
16/07/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 14
- Referee: Fernandes de Lima F. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.45 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 26% | 74% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (189/244) | 90% (635/704) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.53 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (189/244) | 90% (635/704) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (12/41) | 53% (18/34) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (27/44) | 82% (193/236) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 11% (2/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 1.10 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 48% (10/21) | 86% (12/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 9 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.53 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.53 | -0.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 23', Jorginho 🟨,
- 41', Joao Basso 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Leo Ortiz ↓, Leo Pereira ↑,
- 63', Luiz Araujo ↓, Everton ↑,
- 63', Allan ↓, de la Cruz N. ↑,
- 66', Ze Rafael ↓, Diego Pituca ↑,
- 66', Barreal A. ↓, Robson Junior ↑,
- 72', Luan Peres 🟨,
- 74', de Arrascaeta G. 🟨,
- 75', Deivid Washington ↓, Gabriel Bontempo ↑,
- 76', Bruno Henrique 🟨,
- 80', Bruno Henrique ↓, Wallace Yan ↑,
- 84', 1 - 0, Neymar ⚽, Guilherme (A),
- 87', de Arrascaeta G. ↓, Juninho ↑,
- 89', Guilherme ↓, Arao W. ↑,
Chances of winning
Santos
22.4% | Draw
28.5% | Flamengo
49.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Santos - Flamengo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.21 ↑
(3.93) |
3.32 ↓
(3.51) |
1.93 ↑
(1.92) |
5.8%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Santos - Flamengo?
Users Predictions:
41 users predict this event. Santos will win (votes: 6 - 14.6%). Flamengo will win (votes: 32 - 78%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 7.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Flamengo: 65.3% – 90.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Flamengo will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos won 2.
- In recent matches, Santos has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Flamengo is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Flamengo has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Flamengo is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Santos: Rollheiser B.
(Suspended)
- There will not play in Flamengo: Pulgar E.
(Foot Injury)
- There are questionable in Santos: Igor Vinicius
(Back Injury)
- There are questionable in Flamengo: Alex Sandro
(Injury)
Ayrton Lucas
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santos won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 25:32. (average 1.3:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santos won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Santos won against Flamengo?
Santos has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Flamengo won against Santos?
Flamengo has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santos - Flamengo were as follows:
01.11.2023
Flamengo
-
Santos
1:2
25.06.2023
Santos
-
Flamengo
2:3
25.10.2022
Flamengo
-
Santos
3:2
Latest results of Flamengo
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 28 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 53:26 | 27 | 61 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 56:15 | 41 | 61 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 42:21 | 21 | 56 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 47:30 | 17 | 49 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 37:26 | 11 | 43 |
| 6 | Bahia | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 35:32 | 3 | 43 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 41 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 31:30 | 1 | 38 |
| 9 | Vasco | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 44:41 | 3 | 36 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 34:43 | -9 | 36 |
| 11 | Gremio | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 30:33 | -3 | 36 |
| 12 | Corinthians | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 31:35 | -4 | 36 |
| 13 | Ceara | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 27:25 | 2 | 35 |
| 14 | Atletico-MG | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 26:32 | -6 | 33 |
| 15 | Internacional | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 33:41 | -8 | 32 |
| 16 | Santos | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 28:39 | -11 | 31 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 26:43 | -17 | 28 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 26:44 | -18 | 24 |
| 19 | Juventude | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 22:53 | -31 | 23 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 27 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 21:42 | -21 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
