Result
0:1
30/08/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 6
- Referee: Woods M. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 1.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 32% | 68% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (153/236) | 84% (447/534) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 1.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.07 | 1.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (153/236) | 84% (447/534) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (20/57) | 42% (28/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (49/95) | 70% (120/171) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (2/18) | 32% (10/31) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.45 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 50% (3/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.17 | 0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 10', Canavan N. 🟥,
- 21', Booty R. ↓, Newby E. ↑,
- 26', Barkhuizen T. 🟨,
- 37', 0 - 1, Graydon R. ⚽, Virtue-Thick M. (A),
- 45+3', Virtue-Thick M. ↓, Davies J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 49', Smith S. 🟨,
- 65', Smith S. ↓, Hemmings K. ↑,
- 66', Bonds E. 🟨,
- 68', Helm M. ↓, Neal H. ↑,
- 75', Davies W. ↓, Norwood J. ↑,
- 75', Graydon R. ↓, Evans C. ↑,
- 79', Walker T. ↓, Mahoney C. ↑,
- 90', Neal H. 🟨,
- 90+5', Norwood J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Barrow
36.2% | Draw
30.7% | Fleetwood Town
33.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barrow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barrow's form might have worsened.Fleetwood Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fleetwood Town's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barrow, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fleetwood Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Barrow - Fleetwood Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.82 ↑
(2.11) |
3.25
(3.25) |
2.97 ↓
(3.57) |
0%
(6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Barrow - Fleetwood Town?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Barrow will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Fleetwood will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fleetwood: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Fleetwood (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Barrow could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Barrow won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Barrow won against Fleetwood Town?
Barrow has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fleetwood Town won against Barrow?
Fleetwood Town has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Barrow - Fleetwood Town were as follows:
18.04.2025
Fleetwood Town
-
Barrow
0:0
21.12.2024
Barrow
-
Fleetwood Town
2:0
08.10.2024
Fleetwood Town
-
Barrow
3:0
30.08.2022
Fleetwood Town
-
Barrow
1:2
Latest results of Fleetwood Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gillingham | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | Swindon | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 15 |
| 3 | Walsall | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7:4 | 3 | 15 |
| 4 | Grimsby | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:8 | 5 | 14 |
| 5 | Bromley | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12:7 | 5 | 13 |
| 6 | Crewe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Salford | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 9 | MK Dons | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:6 | 6 | 11 |
| 10 | Notts Co | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 11 |
| 11 | Fleetwood | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Cambridge Utd | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
| 13 | Bristol Rovers | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 | Tranmere | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 8 |
| 15 | Harrogate | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
| 16 | Crawley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 8 |
| 17 | Oldham | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
| 18 | Colchester | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
| 19 | Barnet | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 7 |
| 20 | Accrington | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 6 |
| 21 | Barrow | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
| 22 | Shrewsbury | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:13 | -8 | 5 |
| 23 | Newport | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 4 |
| 24 | Cheltenham | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3:14 | -11 | 4 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
