Result
3:2
21/02/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 34
- Referee: Bell E. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 1.12 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (313/436) | 55% (149/269) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 1.12 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 1.30 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (313/436) | 55% (149/269) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (31/74) | 34% (27/80) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (117/169) | 35% (36/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (8/32) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 0.72 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 44 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 42% (5/12) | 47% (7/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 54 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.06 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.70 | -0.94 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 11', Lynch J. 🟨,
- 12', 0 - 1, Gordon J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 34', 0 - 2, Canavan N. ⚽, McCann C. (A),
- 42', Newby E. ↓, Fletcher I. ↑,
- 45+2', Harper R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Devonport O. ↓, Evans C. ↑,
- 61', Davies W. ↓, Osong D. E. ↑,
- 64', 1 - 2, Osong D. E. ⚽,
- 73', Evans C. 🟨,
- 75', Rose D. ↓, Malcolm J. ↑,
- 79', Clark M. ↓, McLean C. ↑,
- 79', Virtue-Thick M. ↓, Powell J. ↑,
- 86', Gordon J. 🟨,
- 89', 2 - 2, McLean C. ⚽, Osong D. E. (A),
- 90+2', Jackson B. 🟨,
- 90+4', 3 - 2, Stanway W. (Own goal),
- 90+6', Helm M. ↓, Neal H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Fleetwood Town
46.8% | Draw
26.3% | Barrow
26.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fleetwood Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Barrow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (-7.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fleetwood Town that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barrow could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Fleetwood Town - Barrow Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2 ↓
(2.07) |
3.53 ↑
(3.35) |
3.46 ↑
(3.25) |
7.1%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Fleetwood Town - Barrow?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Fleetwood will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Barrow will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fleetwood: 16.1% – 74.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Fleetwood (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 15 and 20).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fleetwood won 2.
- Fleetwood has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Barrow has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Fleetwood may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Fleetwood is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Fleetwood: Coughlan R.
(Inactive)
Hume D.
(Inactive)
Johnson W.
(Inactive)
McCann L.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Barrow: Anderson F.
(Inactive)
Fletcher I.
(Inactive)
Foley S.
(Surgery)
Hemmings K.
(Injury)
Smith S.
(Inactive)
Williams M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Fleetwood: Bolton J.
(Inactive)
Morrison G.
(Inactive)
Norwood J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Fleetwood won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.3:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fleetwood won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Fleetwood Town won against Barrow?
Fleetwood Town has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barrow won against Fleetwood Town?
Barrow has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fleetwood Town - Barrow were as follows:
30.08.2025
Barrow
-
Fleetwood Town
0:1
18.04.2025
Fleetwood Town
-
Barrow
0:0
21.12.2024
Barrow
-
Fleetwood Town
2:0
08.10.2024
Fleetwood Town
-
Barrow
3:0
30.08.2022
Fleetwood Town
-
Barrow
1:2
Latest results of Fleetwood Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 35 | 19 | 12 | 4 | 58:35 | 23 | 69 |
| 2 | Cambridge Utd | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 64 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 63:34 | 29 | 62 |
| 4 | Swindon | 35 | 19 | 5 | 11 | 57:41 | 16 | 62 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:33 | 19 | 61 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 35 | 14 | 14 | 7 | 55:44 | 11 | 56 |
| 7 | Crewe | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 52:41 | 11 | 56 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 49:38 | 11 | 55 |
| 9 | Salford | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 47:46 | 1 | 55 |
| 10 | Barnet | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 44:37 | 7 | 53 |
| 11 | Walsall | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 42:37 | 5 | 53 |
| 12 | Colchester | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 48:38 | 10 | 49 |
| 13 | Fleetwood | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 44:42 | 2 | 48 |
| 14 | Oldham | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 36:30 | 6 | 46 |
| 15 | Accrington | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 37:36 | 1 | 46 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 41:41 | 0 | 44 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 34:54 | -20 | 38 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 34:55 | -21 | 36 |
| 19 | Tranmere | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 47:62 | -15 | 35 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 33:57 | -24 | 31 |
| 21 | Crawley | 35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33:56 | -23 | 28 |
| 22 | Newport | 35 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 35:61 | -26 | 28 |
| 23 | Barrow | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 33:51 | -18 | 27 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25:52 | -27 | 27 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
