Result
0:1
17/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 33
- Referee: Martin R. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 1.66 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (262/363) | 68% (238/349) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 1.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.11 | 0.89 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (262/363) | 68% (238/349) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (44/98) | 37% (28/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (68/105) | 64% (100/156) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (5/30) | 15% (3/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 1.29 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 50% (6/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.11 | 0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 21', 0 - 1, Helm M. ⚽,
- 32', Powell J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Powell J. ↓, Clark M. ↑,
- 46', Lunt O. ↓, March J. ↑,
- 57', Holicek M. ↓, Demetriou M. ↑,
- 67', Ennis E. 🟨,
- 68', O'Reilly T. ↓, Bogle O. ↑,
- 75', Davies W. ↓, Evans C. ↑,
- 82', Rooney S. 🟨,
- 83', Powell J. ↓, Moore L. ↑,
- 90+2', Bonds E. ↓, Virtue-Thick M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Crewe Alexandra
42.9% | Draw
27.5% | Fleetwood Town
29.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crewe Alexandra's form might have worsened.Fleetwood Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crewe Alexandra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Crewe Alexandra - Fleetwood Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.18 ↑
(1.91) |
3.4 ↓
(3.55) |
3.16 ↓
(3.69) |
7%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Crewe Alexandra - Fleetwood Town?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Crewe (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Fleetwood (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Crewe Alexandra will win
(10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Crewe (votes: 1 - 50%). Fleetwood (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 2.
- Crewe is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Fleetwood is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Fleetwood may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Crewe might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Crewe: Lankester J.
(Knee Injury)
Sanders M. H.
(Inactive)
Tabiner J.
(Knee Injury)
Tezgel E.
(Ankle Injury)
Tracey S.
(Broken Leg)
- There will not play in Fleetwood: Hume D.
(Inactive)
Johnson W.
(Inactive)
Potter F.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Fleetwood: Bolton J.
(Inactive)
McCann L.
(Inactive)
Norwood J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:23. (average 1.2:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Crewe won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1.2:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Crewe Alexandra won against Fleetwood Town?
Crewe Alexandra has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fleetwood Town won against Crewe Alexandra?
Fleetwood Town has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Crewe Alexandra - Fleetwood Town were as follows:
19.08.2025
Fleetwood Town
-
Crewe Alexandra
1:4
04.03.2025
Crewe Alexandra
-
Fleetwood Town
1:4
22.10.2024
Fleetwood Town
-
Crewe Alexandra
0:1
Latest results of Crewe Alexandra
Latest results of Fleetwood Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 39 | 22 | 13 | 4 | 62:36 | 26 | 79 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 39 | 21 | 11 | 7 | 76:40 | 36 | 74 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 56:28 | 28 | 72 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 39 | 21 | 7 | 11 | 65:42 | 23 | 70 |
| 5 | Swindon | 39 | 21 | 6 | 12 | 63:45 | 18 | 69 |
| 6 | Salford | 39 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 54:48 | 6 | 67 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 56:40 | 16 | 62 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 39 | 16 | 14 | 9 | 61:52 | 9 | 62 |
| 9 | Oldham | 38 | 16 | 13 | 9 | 47:31 | 16 | 61 |
| 10 | Crewe | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 58:47 | 11 | 60 |
| 11 | Walsall | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 48:41 | 7 | 60 |
| 12 | Barnet | 39 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 49:43 | 6 | 57 |
| 13 | Fleetwood | 39 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 48:46 | 2 | 54 |
| 14 | Colchester | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 50:41 | 9 | 53 |
| 15 | Accrington | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 38:42 | -4 | 48 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 44:56 | -12 | 45 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 39 | 13 | 4 | 22 | 40:60 | -20 | 43 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 43:65 | -22 | 42 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 39 | 11 | 8 | 20 | 37:63 | -26 | 41 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 39 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 48:69 | -21 | 36 |
| 21 | Crawley | 39 | 6 | 13 | 20 | 36:60 | -24 | 31 |
| 22 | Newport | 39 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 39:67 | -28 | 31 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 39 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 29:58 | -29 | 30 |
| 24 | Barrow | 38 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 36:63 | -27 | 29 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
