Fleetwood Town vs Crewe Alexandra – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Fleetwood Town - Crewe Alexandra
Result
1:4
19/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 4
  • Referee: Kirk T. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.161.36
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
917
Shots on target
310
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
23
Passes
71% (253/358)69% (222/324)
Yellow Cards
64
Expected Goals (xG)
1.161.36
xG on target (xGOT)
0.822.43
Total shots
917
Shots on target
310
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
612
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
2321
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
1118
Passes
71% (253/358)69% (222/324)
Long passes
50% (36/72)28% (21/74)
Passes in final third
64% (110/171)55% (71/128)
Crosses
16% (4/25)31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.710.70
Throw-ins
3620
Fouls
1811
Tackles
46% (6/13)65% (13/20)
Duels won
6378
Clearances
2638
Interceptions
75
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
62
xGOT faced
2.430.82
Goals prevented
-0.57-0.18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 1', 0 - 1, Mullarkey T. (Own goal),
  • 22', 0 - 2, March J. , Lunt O. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Mullarkey T. , Potter F. ,
  • 50', 0 - 3, Agius C. , Lunt O. (A),
  • 56', 0 - 4, Hutchinson R. , Powell J. (A),
  • 56', Davies W. 🟨,
  • 57', Rooney S. 🟨,
  • 61', Graydon R. , Norwood J. ,
  • 61', Davies W. , Evans C. ,
  • 67', Lunt O. 🟨,
  • 67', Lynch J. 🟨,
  • 67', Powell J. 🟨,
  • 68', Powell J. , Golding J. ,
  • 68', Virtue-Thick M. , Morrison G. ,
  • 69', Rooney S. , Johnson W. ,
  • 73', March J. , Tezgel E. ,
  • 73', O'Reilly T. , Finney C. ,
  • 77', Demetriou M. 🟨,
  • 77', Evans C. 🟨,
  • 77', 1 - 4, Norwood J. (Pen),
  • 82', Booth T. 🟨,
  • 83', Norwood J. 🟨,
  • 84', Lunt O. , Thibaut A. ,
  • 90+4', Morrison G. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Fleetwood Town
22.4%
Draw
28.9%
Crewe Alexandra
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.9% 29.5% 30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4% 29.1% 30.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fleetwood Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fleetwood Town's form might have worsened.
  • Crewe Alexandra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Crewe Alexandra's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (+18%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fleetwood Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (-18.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Crewe Alexandra, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Fleetwood Town - Crewe Alexandra Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.71
    (2.36)
    4.21
    (3.19)
    2.39
    (3.07)
    -16.8%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Fleetwood Town - Crewe Alexandra?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Fleetwood will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Crewe will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Crewe: 30.4%86.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Fleetwood (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Crewe (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fleetwood won 3.
    • Fleetwood is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Crewe has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Fleetwood won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:11. (average 1.8:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fleetwood won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 1.8:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fleetwood Town - Crewe Alexandra were as follows:
    04.03.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Fleetwood Town 1:4
    22.10.2024 Fleetwood Town - Crewe Alexandra 0:1
    Latest results of Fleetwood Town
    Latest results of Crewe Alexandra
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Crewe440010:2812
    2Grimsby43109:4510
    3Chesterfield43017:529
    4Salford43016:519
    5MK Dons42208:178
    6Gillingham42207:348
    7Bromley42206:338
    8Harrogate42206:428
    9Cambridge Utd42116:517
    10Fleetwood42117:707
    11Walsall42024:406
    12Swindon42026:7-16
    13Tranmere31206:245
    14Colchester41215:415
    15Notts Co41127:614
    16Newport41124:5-14
    17Oldham40312:3-13
    18Barnet41033:6-33
    19Barrow41032:5-33
    20Accrington30122:5-31
    21Bristol Rovers40132:6-41
    22Crawley40132:7-51
    23Shrewsbury40131:10-91
    24Cheltenham40041:10-90

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League