Fleetwood Town vs Leeds United U21 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:0
07/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EFL Trophy
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.460.42
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
227
Shots on target
91
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
91
Passes
81% (318/392)88% (448/510)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
2.460.42
xG on target (xGOT)
2.670.08
Total shots
227
Shots on target
91
Shots off target
86
Blocked Shots
50
Shots inside the Box
163
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
91
Touches in opposition box
3013
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
59
Passes
81% (318/392)88% (448/510)
Long passes
59% (33/56)36% (16/44)
Passes in final third
65% (85/131)70% (59/84)
Crosses
18% (7/39)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.420.35
Throw-ins
2217
Fouls
95
Tackles
79% (19/24)75% (6/8)
Duels won
4928
Clearances
1939
Interceptions
43
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
0.082.67
Goals prevented
0.08-1.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Norwood J. , Roberts L. (A),
  • 30', 2 - 0, Davies W. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 52', 3 - 0, Norwood J. , Virtue-Thick M. (A),
  • 60', McDonald J. , Chambers S. ,
  • 60', Dudley L. , Philpott L. ,
  • 60', Virtue-Thick M. , McLean C. ,
  • 66', Davies W. , Coughlan R. ,
  • 67', McCann L. , Ennis E. ,
  • 68', Neal H. 🟨,
  • 70', Morrison G. 🟨,
  • 70', Neal H. , Helm M. ,
  • 78', Lopata-White R. , White L. ,
  • 87', 4 - 0, Norwood J. , Hughes K. (A),

Chances of winning


Fleetwood Town
54.2%
Draw
23%
Leeds United U21
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.6% 24.4% 27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2% 24.2% 27.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fleetwood Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fleetwood Town's performance.
  • Leeds United U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fleetwood Town that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leeds United U21 than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • Fleetwood Town - Leeds United U21 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.9)
    4.03
    (3.78)
    4.1
    (3.42)
    7.6%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Fleetwood Town - Leeds United U21?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Fleetwood (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Leeds U21 (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Fleetwood (1.84) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
  • Users Predictions: Fleetwood Town will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.12%100%.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Fleetwood (votes: 6 - 60%). Leeds U21 (votes: 3 - 30%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Fleetwood is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Leeds U21 is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Leeds U21 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Fleetwood is seen as the favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Fleetwood Town
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LincolnHuddersfield0 : 2
    2SalfordRotherham2 : 7
    3DoncasterChesterfield5 : 1
    4TranmereFleetwood0 : 3
    5BoltonBradford City3 : 0
    6Port ValeBarnsley5 : 0
    7CreweStockport County1 : 2
    8HarrogateBlackpool4 : 2
    9LutonExeter4 : 0
    10SwindonPeterborough1 : 0
    11Bristol RoversCambridge Utd3 : 2
    12Leyton OrientPlymouth0 : 1
    13CardiffAFC Wimbledon1 : 5
    14ColchesterWest Ham U210 : 1
    15NorthamptonWycombe2 : 0
    16StevenageWalsall1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1HuddersfieldRotherham3 : 0
    2DoncasterFleetwood3 : 1
    3BoltonPort Vale0 : 1
    4Stockport CountyHarrogate2 : 1
    5LutonSwindon1 : 2
    6Bristol RoversPlymouth3 : 4
    7AFC WimbledonWest Ham U214 : 2
    8NorthamptonWalsall4 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1HuddersfieldDoncaster1 : 2
    2Port ValeStockport County0 : 4
    3LutonPlymouth2 : 1
    4AFC WimbledonNorthampton1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1DoncasterStockport County
    2LutonNorthampton

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2