Result
1:0
06/07/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Meistriliiga - Round 19
- Referee: Koppel K. (Est)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Estonia | ETV 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 27', Kask K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 50', Patrikejevs I. 🟨,
- 57', Roivassepp G. ↓, Alliku R. ↑,
- 58', Ivanov N. ↓, Musolitin O. ↑,
- 68', Kuraksin D. ↓, Kaares A. ↑,
- 73', Kask K. ↓, Marin P. ↑,
- 84', Mihhailov N. 🟨,
- 84', Patrikejevs I. ↓, Lotar Eyang E. E. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 0, Kaares A. ⚽, Sappinen R. (A),
- 90+5', Tougjas E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Flora Tallinn
46.9% | Draw
25.9% | Nõmme Kalju
27.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Flora Tallinn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Nõmme Kalju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flora Tallinn than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nõmme Kalju than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Flora Tallinn - Nõmme Kalju Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↑
(1.95) |
3.54 ↑
(3.35) |
3.36 ↓
(3.42) |
9.2%
(10.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Flora Tallinn - Nõmme Kalju?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Flora (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Flora Tallinn will win
(17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.67% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flora won 3.
- Recent performances by Flora have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Nõmme Kalju is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Nõmme Kalju may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Flora could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Flora won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 30:17. (average 1.5:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Flora won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:8. (average 1.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Flora Tallinn won against Nõmme Kalju?
Flora Tallinn has won 5 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nõmme Kalju won against Flora Tallinn?
Nõmme Kalju has won 3 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Flora Tallinn - Nõmme Kalju were as follows:
27.04.2025
Flora Tallinn
-
Nõmme Kalju
2:3
05.04.2025
Nõmme Kalju
-
Flora Tallinn
1:2
01.02.2025
Flora Tallinn
-
Nõmme Kalju
1:0
23.10.2024
Flora Tallinn
-
Nõmme Kalju
3:2
25.09.2024
Nõmme Kalju
-
Flora Tallinn
3:0
Latest results of Flora Tallinn
Latest results of Nõmme Kalju
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levadia | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 51:16 | 35 | 50 |
| 2 | Flora | 21 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 45:18 | 27 | 47 |
| 3 | Paide | 21 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 33:18 | 15 | 41 |
| 4 | Kalju | 21 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 43:24 | 19 | 41 |
| 5 | Narva | 21 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 36:27 | 9 | 35 |
| 6 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 29:31 | -2 | 24 |
| 7 | Tammeka | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 27:44 | -17 | 19 |
| 8 | Kuressaare | 21 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 22:41 | -19 | 17 |
| 9 | Harju JK Laagri | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 23:44 | -21 | 16 |
| 10 | Tallinna Kalev | 21 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 21:67 | -46 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga
