Result
3:1
28/09/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Meistriliiga - Round 30
- Referee: Tohver K. (Est)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Estonia | ETV 2, Soccernet TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 17', Podholjuzin M. ↓, Korre U. ↑,
- 25', 0 - 1, Alamaa S. ⚽, Sappinen R. (A),
- 28', 1 - 1, Musolitin O. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 57', Kask K. ↓, Ivanov N. ↑,
- 57', Jabir I. ↓, Lotar Eyang E. E. ↑,
- 61', Alamaa S. ↓, Alliku R. ↑,
- 70', Kuraksin D. ↓, Zenjov S. ↑,
- 70', Poom M. ↓, Andreas D. ↑,
- 75', Alliku R. 🟨,
- 83', 2 - 1, Musolitin O. ⚽, Patrikejevs I. (A),
- 85', Teevali T. ↓, Kreida V. ↑,
- 85', Mihhailov N. ↓, Lepik M. ↑,
- 87', Tambedou M. 🟨,
- 89', 3 - 1, Mannilaan M. ⚽,
- 90+2', Musolitin O. 🟨,
- 90+6', Mannilaan M. ↓, Orlov M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Nõmme Kalju
34.7% | Draw
25.7% | Flora Tallinn
39.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nõmme Kalju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Flora Tallinn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nõmme Kalju than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flora Tallinn than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Nõmme Kalju - Flora Tallinn Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.66 ↑
(2.49) |
3.58 ↓
(3.66) |
2.33 ↓
(2.41) |
8.4%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Nõmme Kalju - Flora Tallinn?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Flora (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nõmme Kalju won 1.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Flora may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nõmme Kalju won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 17:28. (average 0.9:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nõmme Kalju won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Nõmme Kalju won against Flora Tallinn?
Nõmme Kalju has won 3 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Flora Tallinn won against Nõmme Kalju?
Flora Tallinn has won 6 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nõmme Kalju - Flora Tallinn were as follows:
06.07.2025
Flora Tallinn
-
Nõmme Kalju
1:0
27.04.2025
Flora Tallinn
-
Nõmme Kalju
2:3
05.04.2025
Nõmme Kalju
-
Flora Tallinn
1:2
01.02.2025
Flora Tallinn
-
Nõmme Kalju
1:0
23.10.2024
Flora Tallinn
-
Nõmme Kalju
3:2
Latest results of Nõmme Kalju
Latest results of Flora Tallinn
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flora | 32 | 23 | 3 | 6 | 74:30 | 44 | 72 |
| 2 | Levadia | 32 | 23 | 3 | 6 | 79:31 | 48 | 72 |
| 3 | Kalju | 32 | 20 | 4 | 8 | 63:35 | 28 | 64 |
| 4 | Paide | 32 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 56:29 | 27 | 62 |
| 5 | Narva | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 53:41 | 12 | 51 |
| 6 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 53:41 | 12 | 49 |
| 7 | Harju JK Laagri | 32 | 8 | 4 | 20 | 40:65 | -25 | 28 |
| 8 | Kuressaare | 32 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 30:62 | -32 | 25 |
| 9 | Tammeka | 32 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 37:77 | -40 | 23 |
| 10 | Tallinna Kalev | 32 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 27:101 | -74 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga
