Result
0:1
27/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - First stage - Main - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Malta | TVM Sport+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 23', 0 - 1, Grech J. ⚽,
- 41', Leo Fernandes 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Leo Fernandes ↓, Brincat Z. ↑,
- 46', Daniel GTA ↓, Hurtado Q. ↑,
- 46', Agius A. ↓, Joao Victor ↑,
- 58', Chico Teixeira ↓, Jah M. ↑,
- 59', Gamarra G. ↓, Mabea K. ↑,
- 71', Areias R. ↓, Lopez L. ↑,
- 73', Bolanos M. 🟨,
- 75', Grech J. (Pen),
- 78', Agius ↓, Almamy S. K. ↑,
- 78', Giancarlo ↓, Sciberras G. ↑,
- 88', Vella D. ↓, Piscopo E. ↑,
- 89', Eke C. 🟨,
- 90+3', Sciberras G. 🟨,
- 90+3', M'Mombwa C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mosta 12.9% | Draw 22% | Floriana 65.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mosta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Floriana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mosta than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Floriana than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Mosta - Floriana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
6.38 ↑ (5.77) |
3.73 ↓ (4.43) |
1.26 ↓ (1.45) |
22% (8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 in the zone Premier League (First stage ~ Play Out: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (First stage ~ Top 6: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mosta won 0.
- Mosta is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Floriana is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Mosta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Mosta has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Floriana is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mosta won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 15:43. (average 0.8:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mosta won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:18. (average 1.1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Mosta won against Floriana?
Mosta has won 1 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Floriana won against Mosta?
Floriana has won 7 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mosta - Floriana were as follows:
27.04.2025
Floriana
-
Mosta
3:0
05.03.2025
Floriana
-
Mosta
2:0
02.03.2025
Floriana
-
Mosta
2:2
23.11.2024
Floriana
-
Mosta
1:0
11.10.2024
Mosta
-
Floriana
1:2
Latest results of Floriana
Maltese Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Floriana | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 14:6 | 8 | 22 |
| 2 | Valletta | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 15:5 | 10 | 21 |
| 3 | Hamrun | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 15 |
| 4 | Sliema | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 15 |
| 5 | Hibernians | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16:13 | 3 | 14 |
| 6 | Marsaxlokk | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 14 |
| 7 | Birkirkara | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Gzira | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11:16 | -5 | 9 |
| 9 | Zabbar | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
| 10 | Tarxien | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8:16 | -8 | 5 |
| 11 | Mosta | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9:19 | -10 | 5 |
| 12 | Naxxar | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8:12 | -4 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (First stage ~ Top 6: )
Premier League (First stage ~ Play Out: )