Result
4:0
02/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group E - Round 30
Chances of winning
Poggibonsi 33.9% | Draw 30.7% | Orvietana 35.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Poggibonsi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Orvietana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poggibonsi than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orvietana than the current prediction. (+1%)
Poggibonsi - Orvietana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.68 ↑ (2.62) |
2.96 ↓ (3) |
2.57 ↑ (2.52) |
9.9% (11.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: ) and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Poggibonsi won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Poggibonsi won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Poggibonsi won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Poggibonsi won against Orvietana?
Poggibonsi has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Orvietana won against Poggibonsi?
Orvietana has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Poggibonsi - Orvietana were as follows:
23.11.2025
Orvietana
-
Poggibonsi
4:0
09.03.2025
Orvietana
-
Poggibonsi
0:1
17.03.2024
Orvietana
-
Poggibonsi
1:4
15.11.2023
Poggibonsi
-
Orvietana
Abandoned
29.01.2023
Orvietana
-
Poggibonsi
0:0
Latest results of Poggibonsi
Latest results of Orvietana
Italian Serie D - Group E Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Grosseto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 58:25 | 33 | 72 |
| 2 | Tau | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 53:33 | 20 | 63 |
| 3 | Prato | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 49:29 | 20 | 63 |
| 4 | Siena | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 57:35 | 22 | 60 |
| 5 | Seravezza Pozzi | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 42:29 | 13 | 57 |
| 6 | Terranuova Traiana | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 28:30 | -2 | 51 |
| 7 | Foligno | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45:37 | 8 | 51 |
| 8 | Scandicci | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 39:32 | 7 | 48 |
| 9 | Montevarchi | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 28:32 | -4 | 46 |
| 10 | Trestina | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 40:42 | -2 | 42 |
| 11 | San Donato | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 30:35 | -5 | 40 |
| 12 | Ghiviborgo | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:44 | -2 | 40 |
| 13 | Orvietana | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 33:37 | -4 | 38 |
| 14 | Follonica Gavorrano | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:49 | -13 | 37 |
| 15 | Camaiore | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 41:54 | -13 | 35 |
| 16 | Poggibonsi | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 29:46 | -17 | 31 |
| 17 | Cannara | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 24:59 | -35 | 26 |
| 18 | Vivi Altotevere | 34 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 20:46 | -26 | 22 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )
Relegation