Fortaleza vs Atlético Mineiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

30/11/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Castelão (Fortaleza).

Serie A Betano - Round 35
Referee: Lacerda D. (Bra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	K-Ball
Israel	Sport 1
Mexico	Fanatiz
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.26	0.60
Ball Possession
34%	66%
Total shots
15	9
Shots on target
4	4
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
9	2
Passes
77% (240/311)	86% (547/634)
Yellow Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26	0.60
xG on target (xGOT)
1.09	0.75
Total shots
15	9
Shots on target
4	4
Shots off target
7	2
Blocked Shots
4	3
Shots inside the Box
9	4
Shots outside the Box
6	5
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
9	2
Touches in opposition box
30	26
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
10	9
Passes
77% (240/311)	86% (547/634)
Long passes
38% (21/56)	46% (17/37)
Passes in final third
70% (76/108)	74% (146/198)
Crosses
17% (4/24)	25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.31	0.76
Throw-ins
11	14
Fouls
9	10
Tackles
52% (12/23)	43% (3/7)
Duels won
57	44
Clearances
24	24
Interceptions
16	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	3
xGOT faced
0.75	1.09
Goals prevented
0.75	0.09

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Pochettino T. ⚽, Bareiro A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
66', Hulk ↓, Biel ↑,
67', Herrera J. ↓, Yago Pikachu ↑,
67', Bareiro A. ↓, Deyverson ↑,
67', Breno Lopes ↓, Lucas Crispim ↑,
70', Alexsander ↓, Gustavo Scarpa ↑,
70', Ruan Tressoldi ↓, Renzo Saravia ↑,
77', Pierre ↓, Pereira M. ↑,
77', Pochettino T. ↓, Moises ↑,
82', Alonso J. 🟨,
84', Guilherme Arana ↓, Cadu ↑,
84', Bernard ↓, Gabriel Menino ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Fortaleza
40.1%

Draw
29.9%

Atlético Mineiro
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

31.8%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

31.9%

31.4%

Fortaleza - Atlético Mineiro Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.55)	3.17 ↑ (2.95)	3.16 ↑ (3)	5% (6.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Fortaleza - Atlético Mineiro?

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fortaleza: 46.4% – 99%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 13 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 1.
Fortaleza is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
In recent matches, Atlético MG has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Atlético MG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Fortaleza has had a series of away games.
Fortaleza might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Fortaleza: Bruno Pacheco (Inactive) Joao Ricardo (Shoulder Injury) Lucca Prior (Inactive) Marinho (Ankle Injury) Rodrigo (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Atlético MG: Caio Maia (Knee Injury) Cuello (Ankle Injury) Junior Santos (Hip Injury) Lyanco (Achilles Tendon Injury) Patrick Silva (Inactive) Rony (Red Card)
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:28. (average 1.3:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.1:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza won against Atlético Mineiro?

Fortaleza has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against Fortaleza?

Atlético Mineiro has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza - Atlético Mineiro were as follows:

12.11.2025 Atlético Mineiro - Fortaleza 3:3

16.10.2024 Fortaleza - Atlético Mineiro 1:1

23.06.2024 Atlético Mineiro - Fortaleza 1:1

01.11.2023 Atlético Mineiro - Fortaleza 3:1

24.06.2023 Fortaleza - Atlético Mineiro 2:1

Latest results of Fortaleza

26.11.2025 Red Bull Bragantino - Fortaleza 0:1 ✺

20.11.2025 Bahia - Fortaleza 2:3 ✺

12.11.2025 Atlético Mineiro - Fortaleza 3:3 ✺

09.11.2025 Fortaleza - Grêmio 2:2 ✺

06.11.2025 Ceará - Fortaleza 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Atlético Mineiro

25.11.2025 Atlético Mineiro - Flamengo 1:1 ✺

22.11.2025 Lanús - Atlético Mineiro 1:0 ✺

16.11.2025 Red Bull Bragantino - Atlético Mineiro 2:0 ✺

12.11.2025 Atlético Mineiro - Fortaleza 3:3 ✺

08.11.2025 Sport Recife - Atlético Mineiro 2:4 ✺

Brazilian Serie A Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bragantino	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Internacional	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Vasco	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Gremio	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Botafogo RJ	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Santos	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Sao Paulo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Coritiba	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Cruzeiro	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Vitoria	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Atletico-MG	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Fluminense	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Flamengo RJ	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Palmeiras	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Athletico-PR	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Bahia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Corinthians	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Mirassol	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Remo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Chapecoense-SC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet