Result
3:3
12/11/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 16
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 2.14 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (432/492) | 80% (274/341) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 2.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.69 | 3.44 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (432/492) | 80% (274/341) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 66% (46/70) | 47% (26/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (114/148) | 69% (62/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 37% (10/27) | 22% (4/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.06 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (13/18) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.44 | 2.69 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.44 | -0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Hulk ⚽, Rony (A),
- 32', Dudu 🟨,
- 45+2', 2 - 0, Vitor Hugo ⚽, Bernard (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 47', 2 - 1, Deyverson ⚽, Herrera J. (A),
- 61', 3 - 1, Dudu ⚽,
- 65', Ruan Tressoldi 🟨,
- 67', 3 - 2, Deyverson (Pen),
- 68', Rony ↓, Gustavo Scarpa ↑,
- 72', Herrera J. ↓, Allanzinho ↑,
- 72', Lucas Crispim ↓, Moises ↑,
- 76', Lucas Sasha 🟨,
- 78', Alexsander ↓, Fausto Vera ↑,
- 85', Hulk ↓, Reinier ↑,
- 86', Bernard ↓, Gabriel Menino ↑,
- 86', Dudu ↓, Natanael ↑,
- 86', Pierre ↓, Guzman Y. ↑,
- 86', Breno Lopes ↓, Matheus Rossetto ↑,
- 90+3', 3 - 3, Deyverson ⚽, Mancuso E. (A),
- 90+6', Deyverson ↓, Lucero J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Atlético Mineiro
59.3% | Draw
24.5% | Fortaleza
16.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Atlético Mineiro - Fortaleza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↓
(1.69) |
3.87 ↑
(3.62) |
5.79 ↑
(5.39) |
4.9%
(5.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Atlético Mineiro - Fortaleza?
Users Predictions:
42 users predict this event. Atlético MG will win (votes: 33 - 78.6%). Fortaleza will win (votes: 7 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 4.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético MG: 66.2% – 91%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atlético Mineiro will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 1.
- Atlético MG has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Fortaleza has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Atlético MG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Atlético MG has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Atlético MG is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Atlético MG: Cadu
(Knee Injury)
Caio Maia
(Knee Injury)
Cuello
(Inactive)
Fausto Vera
(Inactive)
Gabriel Menino
(Injury)
Guilherme Arana
(Injury)
Lyanco
(Yellow Cards)
Patrick Silva
(Broken tailbone)
Rubens
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Fortaleza: Brenno
(Inactive)
Bruninho
(Inactive)
Bruno Pacheco
(Tendon Injury)
David Luiz
(Thigh Injury)
Emmanuel Martinez
(Yellow Cards)
Gustavo Mancha
(Injury)
Joao Ricardo
(Inactive)
Lucero J.
(Yellow Cards)
Marinho
(Injury)
Moises
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:16. (average 1.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético MG won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:8. (average 2.3:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against Fortaleza?
Atlético Mineiro has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza won against Atlético Mineiro?
Fortaleza has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Mineiro - Fortaleza were as follows:
16.10.2024
Fortaleza
-
Atlético Mineiro
1:1
23.06.2024
Atlético Mineiro
-
Fortaleza
1:1
01.11.2023
Atlético Mineiro
-
Fortaleza
3:1
24.06.2023
Fortaleza
-
Atlético Mineiro
2:1
24.10.2022
Fortaleza
-
Atlético Mineiro
0:0
Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
Latest results of Fortaleza
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ ✔ | 33 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 69:21 | 48 | 71 |
| 2 | Palmeiras ✔ | 32 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 58:28 | 30 | 68 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 46:22 | 24 | 64 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 33 | 16 | 11 | 6 | 54:33 | 21 | 59 |
| 5 | Bahia | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 44:40 | 4 | 53 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 44:28 | 16 | 52 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 33 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 38:37 | 1 | 51 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 37:36 | 1 | 45 |
| 9 | Atletico-MG | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 37:37 | 0 | 44 |
| 10 | Vasco | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 50:49 | 1 | 42 |
| 11 | Bragantino | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 38:50 | -12 | 42 |
| 12 | Ceara | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 31:30 | 1 | 42 |
| 13 | Corinthians | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 35:38 | -3 | 42 |
| 14 | Gremio | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 35:43 | -8 | 40 |
| 15 | Internacional | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37:46 | -9 | 37 |
| 16 | Vitoria | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 29:47 | -18 | 35 |
| 17 | Santos | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 33 |
| 18 | Juventude | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 29:59 | -30 | 32 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 34:51 | -17 | 31 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 33 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 25:60 | -35 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
Clinched Spots for Teams
Flamengo RJ is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
Palmeiras is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
