Result
1:0
30/11/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 35
- Referee: Lacerda D. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.60 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (240/311) | 86% (547/634) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.60 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.75 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (240/311) | 86% (547/634) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (21/56) | 46% (17/37) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (76/108) | 74% (146/198) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/24) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.76 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 52% (12/23) | 43% (3/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 41', 1 - 0, Pochettino T. ⚽, Bareiro A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 66', Hulk ↓, Biel ↑,
- 67', Herrera J. ↓, Yago Pikachu ↑,
- 67', Bareiro A. ↓, Deyverson ↑,
- 67', Breno Lopes ↓, Lucas Crispim ↑,
- 70', Alexsander ↓, Gustavo Scarpa ↑,
- 70', Ruan Tressoldi ↓, Renzo Saravia ↑,
- 77', Pierre ↓, Pereira M. ↑,
- 77', Pochettino T. ↓, Moises ↑,
- 82', Alonso J. 🟨,
- 84', Guilherme Arana ↓, Cadu ↑,
- 84', Bernard ↓, Gabriel Menino ↑,
Chances of winning
Fortaleza
40.1% | Draw
29.9% | Atlético Mineiro
30% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Fortaleza - Atlético Mineiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.39 ↓
(2.55) |
3.17 ↑
(2.95) |
3.16 ↑
(3) |
5%
(6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Fortaleza - Atlético Mineiro?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fortaleza: 46.4% – 99%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.25 - Fortaleza (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Atlético MG (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Fortaleza (votes: 1 - 25%). Atlético MG (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 13 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 1.
- Fortaleza is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- In recent matches, Atlético MG has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Atlético MG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Fortaleza has had a series of away games.
- Fortaleza might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Fortaleza: Bruno Pacheco
(Inactive)
Joao Ricardo
(Shoulder Injury)
Lucca Prior
(Inactive)
Marinho
(Ankle Injury)
Rodrigo
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Atlético MG: Caio Maia
(Knee Injury)
Cuello
(Ankle Injury)
Junior Santos
(Hip Injury)
Lyanco
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Patrick Silva
(Inactive)
Rony
(Red Card)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:28. (average 1.3:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza won against Atlético Mineiro?
Fortaleza has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against Fortaleza?
Atlético Mineiro has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza - Atlético Mineiro were as follows:
12.11.2025
Atlético Mineiro
-
Fortaleza
3:3
16.10.2024
Fortaleza
-
Atlético Mineiro
1:1
23.06.2024
Atlético Mineiro
-
Fortaleza
1:1
01.11.2023
Atlético Mineiro
-
Fortaleza
3:1
24.06.2023
Fortaleza
-
Atlético Mineiro
2:1
Latest results of Fortaleza
Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Corinthians | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Bahia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 | Bragantino | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | Gremio | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Chapecoense-SC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8:6 | 2 | 5 |
| 10 | Mirassol | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 11 | Flamengo RJ | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
| 13 | Santos | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | Botafogo RJ | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 3 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 | Remo | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6:8 | -2 | 3 |
| 17 | Atletico-MG | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 2 |
| 18 | Internacional | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 | Cruzeiro | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:9 | -5 | 2 |
| 20 | Vasco | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
