Boca Juniors vs Fortaleza – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Sudamericana Boca Juniors - Fortaleza
Result
1:1
15/05/2024 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 5
  • Referee: Valenzuela J. (Ven)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport
brazilBrazilESPN 4
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsESPN
portugalPortugalSport TV4
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.041.28
Ball Possession
59%41%
Goal Attempts
196
Shots on Goal
62
Shots off Goal
134
Free Kicks
1412
Corner Kicks
104
Offsides
44
Throw-ins
1421
Goalkeeper Saves
15
Fouls
1516
Yellow Cards
43
Attacks
10765
Dangerous Attacks
5321

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 5', Advincula L. 🟨,
  • 29', Cavani E. 🟨,
  • 35', Martinez D. 🟨,
  • 39', Kuscevic B. 🟨,
  • 45', Titi 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Figal J. , Di Lollo L. ,
  • 46', Britez E. , Tinga ,
  • 55', 1 - 0, Cavani E. , Blanco L. (A),
  • 60', Hercules , Matheus Rossetto ,
  • 60', Yago Pikachu , Marinho ,
  • 61', Machuca I. , Moises ,
  • 70', Fernandez G. 🟨,
  • 75', Pedro Augusto 🟨,
  • 75', Miguel Merentiel 🟨,
  • 76', Pedro Augusto , Andrade K. ,
  • 82', Medina C. , Benitez M. ,
  • 86', Fernandez G. , Delgado M. ,
  • 90', 1 - 1, Andrade K. , Moises (A),
  • 90+4', Fernandez I. , Langoni L. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Boca Juniors
50.4%
Draw
27.6%
Fortaleza
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.1% 28.2% 20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4% 28% 20.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Boca Juniors - Fortaleza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.86
    (1.82)
    3.39
    (3.3)
    4.25
    (4.5)
    6.7%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Boca Juniors - Fortaleza?
  • Users Predictions: Boca Juniors will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Boca Juniors could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Boca Juniors have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Boca Juniors is a favorite.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Boca Juniors won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-6.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Boca Juniors won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Boca Juniors - Fortaleza were as follows:
    25.04.2024 Fortaleza - Boca Juniors 4:2
    Latest results of Boca Juniors
    Latest results of Fortaleza
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Alianza LimaGremio1 : 1, 2 : 0
    2ByeU. Catolica
    3U. De ChileGuarani1 : 2, 5 : 0
    4ByeIndependiente
    5Central CordobaCerro Largo3 : 0, 0 : 0
    6ByeLanus
    7BahiaAmerica De Cali0 : 2, 0 : 0
    8ByeFluminense
    9BolivarPalestino3 : 0, 3 : 0
    10ByeCienciano
    11BucaramangaAtletico-MG1 : 1, 0 : 1
    12ByeGodoy Cruz
    13Ind. del ValleVasco1 : 1, 4 : 0
    14ByeMushuc Runa
    15SA Bulo BuloOnce Caldas0 : 4, 0 : 3
    16ByeHuracan

    1/8-finals
    1Alianza LimaU. Catolica
    2U. De ChileIndependiente
    3Central CordobaLanus
    4America De CaliFluminense
    5BolivarCienciano
    6Atletico-MGGodoy Cruz
    7Ind. del ValleMushuc Runa
    8Once CaldasHuracan

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2