Result
2:1
03/12/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 37
- Referee: Sampaio S. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.96 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 30% | 70% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (186/250) | 92% (505/550) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 2.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (186/250) | 92% (505/550) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (31/59) | 73% (35/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 49% (31/63) | 82% (129/158) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/2) | 34% (10/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 1.47 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (20/26) | 86% (6/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.03 | 1.17 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.03 | -0.83 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Pochettino T. ⚽, Herrera J. (A),
- 19', Bareiro A. 🟨,
- 38', Herrera J. 🟨,
- 45+2', Pereira M. 🟨,
- 45+4', Britez E. 🟨,
- 45+4', Gustavo Henrique 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Bareiro A. ↓, Deyverson ↑,
- 46', Breno Lopes ↓, Matheus Rossetto ↑,
- 58', 2 - 0, Herrera J. ⚽,
- 63', Deyverson 🟨,
- 67', Gui Negao ↓, Angel Romero ↑,
- 67', Caca ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
- 67', Breno Bidon ↓, Talles Magno ↑,
- 70', 2 - 1, Andre ⚽, Vitinho (A),
- 73', Andre Ramalho ↓, Raniele ↑,
- 76', Pochettino T. ↓, Moises ↑,
- 80', Herrera J. ↓, Yago Pikachu ↑,
- 81', Pereira M. ↓, Pierre ↑,
- 82', Vitinho ↓, Kayke ↑,
Chances of winning
Fortaleza
50.2% | Draw
28.6% | Corinthians
21.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fortaleza's performance.Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Corinthians might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-7.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fortaleza that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+8.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Corinthians could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Fortaleza - Corinthians Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↓
(2.18) |
3.31 ↓
(3.49) |
4.49 ↑
(3.2) |
5.2%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Fortaleza - Corinthians?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Fortaleza (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Fortaleza (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Fortaleza will win
(23 of 27 users predict this - 85.19%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.79% – 98.59%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fortaleza will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Fortaleza (votes: 14 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 1.
- Fortaleza is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Corinthians has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Fortaleza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Fortaleza is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Fortaleza: Bruno Pacheco
(Injury)
Joao Ricardo
(Shoulder Injury)
Lucca Prior
(Overload)
Marinho
(Ankle Injury)
Rodrigo
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Corinthians: Depay M.
(Knee Injury)
Matheuzinho
(Yellow Cards)
- We predict that Fortaleza will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 0.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza won against Corinthians?
Fortaleza has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against Fortaleza?
Corinthians has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza - Corinthians were as follows:
03.08.2025
Corinthians
-
Fortaleza
1:1
24.09.2024
Corinthians
-
Fortaleza
3:0
17.09.2024
Fortaleza
-
Corinthians
0:2
25.08.2024
Fortaleza
-
Corinthians
1:0
04.05.2024
Corinthians
-
Fortaleza
0:0
Latest results of Fortaleza
Latest results of Corinthians
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Sao Paulo | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:13 | 5 | 20 |
| 5 | Bahia | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 20 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Atletico-MG | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14:13 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11:12 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Vitoria | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 14 |
| 11 | Botafogo RJ | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | Gremio | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | Vasco | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 13 |
| 14 | Internacional | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 13 |
| 15 | Santos | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 11 |
| 17 | Cruzeiro | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14:21 | -7 | 10 |
| 18 | Remo | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11:18 | -7 | 8 |
| 19 | Chapecoense-SC | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10:18 | -8 | 8 |
| 20 | Mirassol | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
