Result
1:1
03/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 1.04 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (545/624) | 78% (236/302) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 1.04 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 0.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (545/624) | 78% (236/302) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 70% (28/40) | 49% (35/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (123/168) | 65% (46/71) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (13/40) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.33 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (18/21) | 50% (9/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 66 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.36 | 1.88 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.64 | 0.88 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Breno Lopes ⚽, Pereira M. (A),
- 25', Lucca Prior 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Talles Magno ↓, Yuri Alberto ↑,
- 46', Angel Romero ↓, Depay M. ↑,
- 46', Ryan ↓, Garro R. ↑,
- 46', Torres F. ↓, Matheuzinho ↑,
- 57', Deyverson ↓, Lucero J. ↑,
- 64', Dieguinho ↓, Carrillo A. ↑,
- 65', Lucca Prior ↓, Emmanuel Martinez ↑,
- 65', Mancuso E. ↓, Tinga ↑,
- 77', Marinho ↓, Herrera J. ↑,
- 77', Breno Lopes ↓, Ze Welison ↑,
- 83', Ze Welison 🟨,
- 90+4', 1 - 1, Carrillo A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Corinthians
43.5% | Draw
31% | Fortaleza
25.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Corinthians's form might have worsened.Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fortaleza's recent form is better than expected.
Corinthians - Fortaleza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.31 ↑
(1.74) |
3.2 ↓
(3.41) |
3.8 ↓
(5.24) |
0.9%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Corinthians - Fortaleza?
Users Predictions:
Corinthians will win
(61 of 66 users predict this - 92.42%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.03% – 98.81%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Corinthians will win (21 of 23 users predict this - 91.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 2.
- Corinthians has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Fortaleza has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Fortaleza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Corinthians could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Corinthians: Hugo
(Hernia)
Joao Pedro
(Yellow Cards)
Maycon
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Fortaleza: Brenno
(Finger Injury)
Britez E.
(Inactive)
David Luiz
(Thigh Injury)
Joao Ricardo
(Finger Injury)
Moises
(Thigh Injury)
Pochettino T.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Fortaleza: Bruninho
(Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Corinthians won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 1.4:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against Fortaleza?
Corinthians has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza won against Corinthians?
Fortaleza has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Corinthians - Fortaleza were as follows:
24.09.2024
Corinthians
-
Fortaleza
3:0
17.09.2024
Fortaleza
-
Corinthians
0:2
25.08.2024
Fortaleza
-
Corinthians
1:0
04.05.2024
Corinthians
-
Fortaleza
0:0
03.10.2023
Fortaleza
-
Corinthians
2:0
Latest results of Corinthians
Latest results of Fortaleza
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 28 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 53:26 | 27 | 61 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 29 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 56:16 | 40 | 61 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 42:21 | 21 | 56 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 52:31 | 21 | 55 |
| 5 | Bahia | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 40:34 | 6 | 49 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 39:26 | 13 | 46 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 44 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:33 | 0 | 41 |
| 9 | Vasco | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 46:41 | 5 | 39 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 39 |
| 11 | Bragantino | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 34:44 | -10 | 36 |
| 12 | Atletico-MG | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 27:32 | -5 | 36 |
| 13 | Gremio | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 30:37 | -7 | 36 |
| 14 | Ceara | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 27:28 | -1 | 35 |
| 15 | Internacional | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35:43 | -8 | 35 |
| 16 | Santos | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 28:40 | -12 | 31 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 27:44 | -17 | 31 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 27:44 | -17 | 27 |
| 19 | Juventude | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 23:53 | -30 | 26 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 29 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 22:46 | -24 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
