Estudiantes de Mérida vs Fortaleza – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Sudamericana Estudiantes de Mérida - Fortaleza
Result
1:0
06/06/2023 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 5
  • Referee: Hinestroza Romana J. A. (Col)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilESPN 4

Highlights

Chances of winning


Estudiantes de Mérida
8.7%
Draw
16%
Fortaleza
75.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18% 22.6% 59.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.6% 22% 60.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Estudiantes de Mérida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Estudiantes de Mérida's form might have worsened.
  • Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fortaleza's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes de Mérida than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Estudiantes de Mérida, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-14.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fortaleza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Estudiantes de Mérida - Fortaleza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    10.87
    (5.23)
    5.83
    (4.17)
    1.25
    (1.59)
    6.7%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Estudiantes de Mérida - Fortaleza?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Est de Mérida will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Fortaleza will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Estudiantes de Mérida is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Fortaleza is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Estudiantes de Mérida could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Fortaleza have a series of home games.
    • In this match Fortaleza is absolute favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Estudiantes de Mérida won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-6.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Estudiantes de Mérida - Fortaleza were as follows:
    04.05.2023 Fortaleza - Estudiantes de Mérida 6:1
    Latest results of Estudiantes de Mérida
    Latest results of Fortaleza
    03.06.2023 Fortaleza - Bahia 0:0
    31.05.2023 Fortaleza - Palmeiras 1:0
    27.05.2023 Fortaleza - Vasco da Gama 2:0
    24.05.2023 Fortaleza - San Lorenzo 3:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Alianza LimaGremio1 : 1, 2 : 0
    2ByeU. Catolica
    3U. De ChileGuarani1 : 2, 5 : 0
    4ByeIndependiente
    5Central CordobaCerro Largo3 : 0, 0 : 0
    6ByeLanus
    7BahiaAmerica De Cali0 : 2, 0 : 0
    8ByeFluminense
    9BolivarPalestino3 : 0, 3 : 0
    10ByeCienciano
    11BucaramangaAtletico-MG1 : 1, 0 : 1
    12ByeGodoy Cruz
    13Ind. del ValleVasco1 : 1, 4 : 0
    14ByeMushuc Runa
    15SA Bulo BuloOnce Caldas0 : 4, 0 : 3
    16ByeHuracan

    1/8-finals
    1Alianza LimaU. Catolica
    2U. De ChileIndependiente
    3Central CordobaLanus
    4America De CaliFluminense
    5BolivarCienciano
    6Atletico-MGGodoy Cruz
    7Ind. del ValleMushuc Runa
    8Once CaldasHuracan

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2