Fortaleza vs Vasco da Gama – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

15/10/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Castelão (Fortaleza).

Serie A Betano - Round 28
Referee: Sampaio W. (Bra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	K-Ball
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz
World	TV Globo Internacional

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.25	0.49
Ball Possession
55%	45%
Total shots
27	6
Shots on target
9	3
Big Chances
4	2
Corner Kicks
10	2
Passes
84% (360/429)	82% (302/370)
Yellow Cards
5	2
Red Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.25	0.49
xG on target (xGOT)
2.55	0.95
Total shots
27	6
Shots on target
9	3
Shots off target
12	2
Blocked Shots
6	1
Shots inside the Box
19	5
Shots outside the Box
8	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
4	2
Corner Kicks
10	2
Touches in opposition box
40	15
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
9	16
Passes
84% (360/429)	82% (302/370)
Long passes
50% (26/52)	40% (19/47)
Passes in final third
77% (145/189)	70% (38/54)
Crosses
35% (14/40)	22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
2.14	0.22
Throw-ins
20	12
Fouls
16	9
Tackles
100% (12/12)	63% (5/8)
Duels won
46	44
Clearances
10	45
Interceptions
6	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	9
xGOT faced
0.95	2.55
Goals prevented
-1.05	2.55

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', Avila G. 🟨,
34', Coutinho 🟨,
40', Hugo Moura 🟥,
45+2', Britez E. 🟨,
45+4', 0 - 1, Rayan ⚽, Coutinho (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Rodrigo ↓, Matheus Rossetto ↑,
49', Kuscevic B. 🟨,
60', Lucero J. ↓, Bareiro A. ↑,
61', Moreira N. ↓, Matheus Franca ↑,
61', Gomez C. A. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
61', Coutinho ↓, David ↑,
70', Bareiro A. 🟨,
71', Avila G. ↓, Deyverson ↑,
72', Guzman Y. ↓, Moises ↑,
77', Lucas Piton ↓, Victor Luis ↑,
78', Deyverson 🟨,
79', Pochettino T. ↓, Yago Pikachu ↑,
82', 0 - 2, David ⚽,
88', Tche Tche ↓, Mateus Carvalho ↑,
90+5', Robert Renan 🟨,
90+5', Bareiro A. 🟥,
90+6', Victor Luis 🟥,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Fortaleza
40.7%

Draw
28.9%

Vasco da Gama
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

29.1%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

30.3%

26.5%

Fortaleza - Vasco da Gama Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.18)	3.3 ↑ (3.24)	3.15 ↓ (3.42)	4.9% (6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Fortaleza - Vasco da Gama?

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Vasco will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vasco: 21.7% – 78.3%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Vasco da Gama will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 1.
Fortaleza has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Vasco is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Fortaleza might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Fortaleza: Bruno Pacheco (Thigh Injury) Joao Ricardo (Shoulder Injury) Lucas Crispim (Muscle Injury) Lucca Prior (Pelvis Injury) Moises (Thigh Injury) Pereira M. (Yellow Cards) Weverson (Hamstring Injury)
There will not play in Vasco: Adson (Broken Leg) Jair (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Fortaleza: Allanzinho (Inactive) Benevenuto (Hamstring Injury) Tinga (Groin Injury)
There are questionable in Vasco: Cuesta C. (Thigh Injury) Thiago Mendes (Calf Injury)
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:1. (average 1.8:0.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza won against Vasco da Gama?

Fortaleza has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against Fortaleza?

Vasco da Gama has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza - Vasco da Gama were as follows:

17.05.2025 Vasco da Gama - Fortaleza 3:0

09.11.2024 Fortaleza - Vasco da Gama 3:0

03.07.2024 Vasco da Gama - Fortaleza 2:0

21.05.2024 Vasco da Gama - Fortaleza 4:3

01.05.2024 Fortaleza - Vasco da Gama 0:0

Latest results of Fortaleza

05.10.2025 Juventude - Fortaleza 1:2 ✺

02.10.2025 Fortaleza - São Paulo 0:2 ✺

27.09.2025 Fortaleza - Sport Recife 1:0 ✺

20.09.2025 Palmeiras - Fortaleza 4:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Fortaleza - Vitória Salvador 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Vasco da Gama

05.10.2025 Vasco da Gama - Vitória Salvador 4:3 ✺

01.10.2025 Palmeiras - Vasco da Gama 3:0 ✺

27.09.2025 Vasco da Gama - Cruzeiro 2:0 ✺

24.09.2025 Vasco da Gama - Bahia 3:1 ✺

21.09.2025 Flamengo - Vasco da Gama 1:1 ✺

Brazilian Serie A Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bragantino	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Internacional	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Vasco	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Gremio	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Botafogo RJ	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Santos	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Sao Paulo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Coritiba	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Cruzeiro	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Vitoria	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Atletico-MG	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Fluminense	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Flamengo RJ	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Palmeiras	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Athletico-PR	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Bahia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Corinthians	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Mirassol	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Remo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Chapecoense-SC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet