Vasco da Gama vs Fortaleza – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Vasco da Gama - Fortaleza
Result
3:0
17/05/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 9
  • Referee: Daronco A. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, PlayPlus, Premiere, R7, Sky+, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.600.87
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
47
Passes
87% (355/410)83% (325/393)
Yellow Cards
21
Red Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.600.87
xG on target (xGOT)
2.440.42
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
74
Shots outside the Box
76
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
47
Touches in opposition box
2218
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1112
Passes
87% (355/410)83% (325/393)
Long passes
53% (23/43)47% (21/45)
Passes in final third
75% (75/100)68% (78/115)
Crosses
38% (5/13)7% (2/27)
Expected assists (xA)
1.880.88
Throw-ins
1818
Fouls
1211
Tackles
78% (7/9)72% (13/18)
Duels won
4343
Clearances
3818
Interceptions
25
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.422.44
Goals prevented
0.42-0.56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Moreira N. , Hugo Moura (A),
  • 39', Moreira N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Lucas Sasha , Fernandez P. ,
  • 46', Matheus Rossetto , Emmanuel Martinez ,
  • 46', 2 - 0, Vegetti P. , Paulo Henrique (A),
  • 51', Luiz Gustavo 🟨,
  • 57', Emmanuel Martinez 🟨,
  • 58', Mancuso E. , Marinho ,
  • 68', Marinho 🟥,
  • 68', Coutinho 🟥,
  • 77', Yago Pikachu , Deyverson ,
  • 80', 3 - 0, Vegetti P. , Lucas Piton (A),
  • 87', Rayan , Augusto L. ,
  • 87', Hugo Moura , Mateus Carvalho ,
  • 87', Moreira N. , Adson ,
  • 90', Breno Lopes , Andrade K. ,
  • 90+4', Luiz Gustavo , Paulinho Paula ,
  • 90+4', Tche Tche , Lemos M. ,

Chances of winning


Vasco da Gama
37.6%
Draw
32.1%
Fortaleza
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.4% 28.9% 30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1% 29.4% 30.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Fortaleza aligns with the current prediction.
  • Vasco da Gama - Fortaleza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.52
    (2.33)
    2.94
    (3.26)
    3.16
    (3.07)
    5.4%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Vasco da Gama - Fortaleza?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Vasco will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Vasco: 30.4%86.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Vasco (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 3.
    • Vasco has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Fortaleza is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Fortaleza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Vasco has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Vasco: David (Knee Injury) Guilherme Estrella (Knee Injury) Lemos M. (Injury) Lucas Freitas (Heel Injury) Payet D. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Fortaleza: Diogo Barbosa (Injury) Moises (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Fortaleza: Pedro Augusto (Inactive) Rodrigo (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 0.9:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Vasco won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 1.6:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vasco da Gama - Fortaleza were as follows:
    09.11.2024 Fortaleza - Vasco da Gama 3:0
    03.07.2024 Vasco da Gama - Fortaleza 2:0
    21.05.2024 Vasco da Gama - Fortaleza 4:3
    01.05.2024 Fortaleza - Vasco da Gama 0:0
    18.10.2023 Vasco da Gama - Fortaleza 1:0
    Latest results of Vasco da Gama
    Latest results of Fortaleza
    10.05.2025 Fortaleza - Juventude 5:0
    06.05.2025 Fortaleza - Colo-Colo 4:0
    02.05.2025 São Paulo - Fortaleza 0:0
    29.04.2025 Retrô Brasil - Fortaleza 1:1
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ16113230:62436
    2Cruzeiro17104328:111734
    3Palmeiras15102319:12732
    4Bahia1584320:13728
    5Bragantino1783620:20027
    6Botafogo RJ1575318:81026
    7Mirassol1567224:141025
    8Sao Paulo1757518:19-122
    9Ceara1663716:16021
    10Internacional1656517:20-321
    11Corinthians1756616:20-421
    12Fluminense1562717:20-320
    13Atletico-MG1555516:16020
    14Gremio1655616:22-620
    15Vitoria1738614:18-417
    16Vasco1543816:20-415
    17Santos1643915:21-615
    18Fortaleza1635817:23-614
    19Juventude15321010:32-2211
    20Sport Recife1505109:25-165

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet