Result
2:0
13/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.58 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (324/395) | 85% (362/426) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.58 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 0.69 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (324/395) | 85% (362/426) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (25/46) | 41% (13/32) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (114/157) | 78% (93/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.81 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 9 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (15/23) | 63% (5/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 67 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.33 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.69 | -1.67 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 31', 1 - 0, Breno Lopes ⚽, Mancuso E. (A),
- 34', Lucero J. 🟨,
- 37', Camutanga 🟨,
- 41', Baralhas 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 47', 2 - 0, Bruno Pacheco ⚽, Pereira M. (A),
- 50', Pierre 🟨,
- 52', Renato Kayzer 🟨,
- 54', Cantalapiedra A. 🟨,
- 56', Britez E. 🟨,
- 61', Caceres R. 🟨,
- 61', Osvaldo ↓, Matheuzinho ↑,
- 61', Willian Oliveira ↓, Dudu ↑,
- 62', Pierre ↓, Rodrigo ↑,
- 62', Lucca Prior ↓, Lucas Crispim ↑,
- 66', Dudu 🟨,
- 70', Breno Lopes ↓, Pochettino T. ↑,
- 70', Yago Pikachu ↓, Marinho ↑,
- 77', Cantalapiedra A. ↓, Romarinho ↑,
- 77', Erick ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
- 82', Lucero J. ↓, Bareiro A. ↑,
- 87', Renato Kayzer ↓, Fabricio ↑,
Chances of winning
Fortaleza
64.4% | Draw
24% | Vitória Salvador
11.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fortaleza's performance.Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vitória Salvador might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-12.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fortaleza that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+9.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vitória Salvador could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Fortaleza - Vitória Salvador Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↓
(1.85) |
4.82 ↑
(3.41) |
10.36 ↑
(4.41) |
-11.1%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Fortaleza - Vitória Salvador?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Vitória will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fortaleza: 32% – 80.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Vitória (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 1.
- Fortaleza has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Vitória has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Fortaleza is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Fortaleza: Benevenuto
(Inactive)
Herrera J.
(Knee Injury)
Lucas Sasha
(Calf Injury)
Moises
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Vitória: Claudinho
(Ankle Injury)
Jamerson
(Ankle Injury)
Lopez R.
(Thigh Injury)
Ramos R.
(Injury)
Romarinho
(Calf Injury)
- There are questionable in Fortaleza: Brenno
(Finger Injury)
Kuscevic B.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Vitória: Caceres R.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.3:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza won against Vitória Salvador?
Fortaleza has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitória Salvador won against Fortaleza?
Vitória Salvador has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza - Vitória Salvador were as follows:
16.04.2025
Vitória Salvador
-
Fortaleza
2:1
19.02.2025
Fortaleza
-
Vitória Salvador
1:2
01.12.2024
Vitória Salvador
-
Fortaleza
2:0
17.07.2024
Fortaleza
-
Vitória Salvador
3:1
23.03.2024
Fortaleza
-
Vitória Salvador
0:1
Latest results of Fortaleza
Latest results of Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 28 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 53:26 | 27 | 61 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 56:15 | 41 | 61 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 42:21 | 21 | 56 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 52:31 | 21 | 55 |
| 5 | Bahia | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 40:34 | 6 | 49 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 39:26 | 13 | 46 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 44 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:33 | 0 | 41 |
| 9 | Vasco | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 46:41 | 5 | 39 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 39 |
| 11 | Bragantino | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 34:44 | -10 | 36 |
| 12 | Atletico-MG | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 27:32 | -5 | 36 |
| 13 | Gremio | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 30:37 | -7 | 36 |
| 14 | Ceara | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 27:28 | -1 | 35 |
| 15 | Internacional | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35:43 | -8 | 35 |
| 16 | Santos | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 28:40 | -12 | 31 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 27:44 | -17 | 31 |
| 18 | Juventude | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 23:53 | -30 | 26 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 26:44 | -18 | 24 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 29 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 22:46 | -24 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
