Fortaleza vs Vitória Salvador – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Fortaleza - Vitória Salvador
Result
2:0
13/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 23
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.960.58
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
82% (324/395)85% (362/426)
Yellow Cards
36
Expected Goals (xG)
0.960.58
xG on target (xGOT)
0.330.69
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
106
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
2420
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1514
Passes
82% (324/395)85% (362/426)
Long passes
54% (25/46)41% (13/32)
Passes in final third
73% (114/157)78% (93/120)
Crosses
21% (4/19)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.970.81
Throw-ins
920
Fouls
1415
Tackles
65% (15/23)63% (5/8)
Duels won
6743
Clearances
2724
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.690.33
Goals prevented
0.69-1.67

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 31', 1 - 0, Breno Lopes , Mancuso E. (A),
  • 34', Lucero J. 🟨,
  • 37', Camutanga 🟨,
  • 41', Baralhas 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 47', 2 - 0, Bruno Pacheco , Pereira M. (A),
  • 50', Pierre 🟨,
  • 52', Renato Kayzer 🟨,
  • 54', Cantalapiedra A. 🟨,
  • 56', Britez E. 🟨,
  • 61', Caceres R. 🟨,
  • 61', Osvaldo , Matheuzinho ,
  • 61', Willian Oliveira , Dudu ,
  • 62', Pierre , Rodrigo ,
  • 62', Lucca Prior , Lucas Crispim ,
  • 66', Dudu 🟨,
  • 70', Breno Lopes , Pochettino T. ,
  • 70', Yago Pikachu , Marinho ,
  • 77', Cantalapiedra A. , Romarinho ,
  • 77', Erick , Lopez R. ,
  • 82', Lucero J. , Bareiro A. ,
  • 87', Renato Kayzer , Fabricio ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Fortaleza
64.4%
Draw
24%
Vitória Salvador
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.9% 27.7% 21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52% 27.1% 20.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fortaleza's performance.
  • Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vitória Salvador might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-12.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fortaleza that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vitória Salvador could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Fortaleza - Vitória Salvador Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.85)
    4.82
    (3.41)
    10.36
    (4.41)
    -11.1%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Fortaleza - Vitória Salvador?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Vitória will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fortaleza: 32%80.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Vitória (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 1.
    • Fortaleza has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Vitória has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Fortaleza is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Fortaleza: Benevenuto (Inactive) Herrera J. (Knee Injury) Lucas Sasha (Calf Injury) Moises (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Vitória: Claudinho (Ankle Injury) Jamerson (Ankle Injury) Lopez R. (Thigh Injury) Ramos R. (Injury) Romarinho (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Fortaleza: Brenno (Finger Injury) Kuscevic B. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Vitória: Caceres R. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.3:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza - Vitória Salvador were as follows:
    16.04.2025 Vitória Salvador - Fortaleza 2:1
    19.02.2025 Fortaleza - Vitória Salvador 1:2
    01.12.2024 Vitória Salvador - Fortaleza 2:0
    17.07.2024 Fortaleza - Vitória Salvador 3:1
    23.03.2024 Fortaleza - Vitória Salvador 0:1
    Latest results of Fortaleza
    Latest results of Vitória Salvador
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ25167250:123855
    2Palmeiras24164439:192052
    3Cruzeiro26156539:192051
    4Botafogo RJ27127837:231443
    5Mirassol251110442:251743
    6Bahia25117733:30340
    7Fluminense25115933:31238
    8Sao Paulo26108829:25438
    9Bragantino271061133:38-536
    10Gremio27891028:33-533
    11Internacional26881032:38-632
    12Ceara25871023:24-131
    13Vasco26861238:38030
    14Corinthians26791026:32-630
    15Atletico-MG25781022:29-729
    16Santos25771125:35-1028
    17Vitoria265101121:38-1725
    18Juventude25651420:46-2623
    19Fortaleza25561424:40-1621
    20Sport Recife24291318:37-1915

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