Fortaleza vs Vitória Salvador – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Fortaleza - Vitória Salvador
Result
2:0
13/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 23
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.960.58
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
82% (324/395)85% (362/426)
Yellow Cards
36
Expected Goals (xG)
0.960.58
xG on target (xGOT)
0.330.69
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
106
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
2420
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1514
Passes
82% (324/395)85% (362/426)
Long passes
54% (25/46)41% (13/32)
Passes in final third
73% (114/157)78% (93/120)
Crosses
21% (4/19)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.970.81
Throw-ins
920
Fouls
1415
Tackles
65% (15/23)63% (5/8)
Duels won
6743
Clearances
2724
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.690.33
Goals prevented
0.69-1.67

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 31', 1 - 0, Breno Lopes , Mancuso E. (A),
  • 34', Lucero J. 🟨,
  • 37', Camutanga 🟨,
  • 41', Baralhas 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 47', 2 - 0, Bruno Pacheco , Pereira M. (A),
  • 50', Pierre 🟨,
  • 52', Renato Kayzer 🟨,
  • 54', Cantalapiedra A. 🟨,
  • 56', Britez E. 🟨,
  • 61', Caceres R. 🟨,
  • 61', Osvaldo , Matheuzinho ,
  • 61', Willian Oliveira , Dudu ,
  • 62', Pierre , Rodrigo ,
  • 62', Lucca Prior , Lucas Crispim ,
  • 66', Dudu 🟨,
  • 70', Breno Lopes , Pochettino T. ,
  • 70', Yago Pikachu , Marinho ,
  • 77', Cantalapiedra A. , Romarinho ,
  • 77', Erick , Lopez R. ,
  • 82', Lucero J. , Bareiro A. ,
  • 87', Renato Kayzer , Fabricio ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Fortaleza
64.4%
Draw
24%
Vitória Salvador
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.9% 27.7% 21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52% 27.1% 20.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fortaleza's performance.
  • Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vitória Salvador might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-12.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fortaleza that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vitória Salvador could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Fortaleza - Vitória Salvador Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.85)
    4.82
    (3.41)
    10.36
    (4.41)
    -11.1%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Fortaleza - Vitória Salvador?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Vitória will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fortaleza: 32%80.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Vitória (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 1.
    • Fortaleza has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Vitória has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Fortaleza is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Fortaleza: Benevenuto (Inactive) Herrera J. (Knee Injury) Lucas Sasha (Calf Injury) Moises (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Vitória: Claudinho (Ankle Injury) Jamerson (Ankle Injury) Lopez R. (Thigh Injury) Ramos R. (Injury) Romarinho (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Fortaleza: Brenno (Finger Injury) Kuscevic B. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Vitória: Caceres R. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.3:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza - Vitória Salvador were as follows:
    16.04.2025 Vitória Salvador - Fortaleza 2:1
    19.02.2025 Fortaleza - Vitória Salvador 1:2
    01.12.2024 Vitória Salvador - Fortaleza 2:0
    17.07.2024 Fortaleza - Vitória Salvador 3:1
    23.03.2024 Fortaleza - Vitória Salvador 0:1
    Latest results of Fortaleza
    Latest results of Vitória Salvador
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras28194553:262761
    2Flamengo RJ28187356:154161
    3Cruzeiro29168542:212156
    4Mirassol301510552:312155
    5Bahia30147940:34649
    6Botafogo RJ29137939:261346
    7Fluminense291351136:35144
    8Sao Paulo301181133:33041
    9Vasco291161246:41539
    10Corinthians301091132:35-339
    11Bragantino291061334:44-1036
    12Atletico-MG29991127:32-536
    13Gremio29991130:37-736
    14Ceara29981227:28-135
    15Internacional30981335:43-835
    16Santos28871328:40-1231
    17Vitoria307101327:44-1731
    18Juventude29751723:53-3026
    19Fortaleza28661626:44-1824
    20Sport Recife292111622:46-2417

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet