Result
2:1
16/04/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 4
- Referee: Claus R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.02 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (324/391) | 90% (523/579) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.02 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 1.79 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (324/391) | 90% (523/579) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (18/51) | 43% (16/37) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (63/93) | 76% (97/127) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (5/19) | 31% (9/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 1.14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 48 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 23 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.79 | 1.59 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.79 | -0.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 37', 1 - 0, Janderson ⚽, Erick (A),
- 42', Baralhas 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Marinho ↓, Deyverson ↑,
- 48', 1 - 1, Diogo Barbosa ⚽, Fernandez P. (A),
- 59', Ricardo Ryller ↓, Pepe ↑,
- 59', Erick ↓, Fabricio ↑,
- 67', Fernandez P. ↓, Calebe ↑,
- 71', Gustavo Silva ↓, Ronald Lopes ↑,
- 74', 2 - 1, Matheuzinho ⚽, Jamerson (A),
- 75', Mancuso E. ↓, Yago Pikachu ↑,
- 75', Matheus Rossetto ↓, Ze Welison ↑,
- 79', Emmanuel Martinez 🟨,
- 80', Kuscevic B. ↓, Andrade K. ↑,
- 82', Matheuzinho ↓, Osvaldo ↑,
- 83', Jamerson ↓, Edu ↑,
Chances of winning
Vitória Salvador
40.1% | Draw
31.2% | Fortaleza
28.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vitória Salvador's performance.Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fortaleza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-7.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vitória Salvador that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+9.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fortaleza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Vitória Salvador - Fortaleza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.38 ↓
(2.76) |
3.04 ↓
(3.21) |
3.3 ↑
(2.6) |
5.3%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Vitória Salvador - Fortaleza?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Vitória will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Fortaleza will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vitória: 15.4% – 84.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Vitória won 3.
- Vitória is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Fortaleza is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Vitória could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Vitória: Gabriel
(Inactive)
Renato Kayzer
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Fortaleza: Brenno
(Red Card)
Breno Lopes
(Forearm injury)
Britez E.
(Ankle Injury)
Pochettino T.
(Inactive)
Tinga
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Fortaleza: Moises
(Injury)
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Vitória won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6:11 (average 0.8:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Vitória won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:1 (average 0.7:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Vitória Salvador won against Fortaleza?
Vitória Salvador has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza won against Vitória Salvador?
Fortaleza has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vitória Salvador - Fortaleza were as follows:
19.02.2025
Fortaleza
-
Vitória Salvador
1:2
01.12.2024
Vitória Salvador
-
Fortaleza
2:0
17.07.2024
Fortaleza
-
Vitória Salvador
3:1
23.03.2024
Fortaleza
-
Vitória Salvador
0:1
Latest results of Vitória Salvador
Latest results of Fortaleza
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 36:9 | 27 | 43 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 24:15 | 9 | 39 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 32:14 | 18 | 38 |
| 4 | Bahia | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 25:17 | 8 | 33 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 23:11 | 12 | 29 |
| 6 | Mirassol | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 29:19 | 10 | 29 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 24:22 | 2 | 29 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 23:24 | -1 | 27 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 22:26 | -4 | 27 |
| 10 | Ceara | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 19:19 | 0 | 25 |
| 11 | Atletico-MG | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 20:21 | -1 | 24 |
| 12 | Internacional | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 22:26 | -4 | 24 |
| 13 | Gremio | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 22 |
| 15 | Santos | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 20:29 | -9 | 21 |
| 16 | Vasco | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 25:26 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 20 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 19 |
| 18 | Juventude | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 17:38 | -21 | 18 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 19:31 | -12 | 15 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 12:27 | -15 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
