Result
1:1
29/11/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 14
- Referee: Hensgens R. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Indonesia | Kompas TV, Vidio |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 0.57 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (258/330) | 77% (196/256) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 0.57 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (258/330) | 77% (196/256) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (25/61) | 45% (23/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (73/110) | 60% (45/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (5/25) | 12% (2/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.72 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 22 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.01 | -0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', Adewoye S. 🟨,
- 25', 1 - 0, Peterson K. ⚽, Ihattaren M. (A),
- 31', Kulenovic L. ↓, Engels M. ↑,
- 44', te Wierik M. 🟨,
- 45+1', Hrustic A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', te Wierik M. ↓, Benita M. ↑,
- 51', Zamburek J. 🟨,
- 55', Benita M. 🟨,
- 57', Michut E. 🟨,
- 58', 1 - 1, Hornkamp J. ⚽, Ould Chikh W. (A),
- 64', Zamburek J. ↓, Bruns T. ↑,
- 65', Limbombe B. ↓, van Gilst T. ↑,
- 67', Ihattaren M. 🟨,
- 68', Peterson K. ↓, Aiko M. ↑,
- 68', Sierhuis K. ↓, Gladon P. ↑,
- 68', Limnios D. ↓, Brittijn P. ↑,
- 71', Dahlhaus J. ↓, Hubner J. ↑,
- 88', Ihattaren M. ↓, Tunjic L. ↑,
- 90+1', van Gilst T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fortuna Sittard
47.3% | Draw
25.7% | Heracles Almelo
27% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Fortuna Sittard - Heracles Almelo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.02 ↑
(1.9) |
3.71 ↓
(3.83) |
3.54 ↓
(3.73) |
4.7%
(5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Fortuna Sittard - Heracles Almelo?
Users Predictions:
Fortuna Sittard will win
(14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fortuna Sittard will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Sittard won 2.
- Recent performances by Fortuna Sittard have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Heracles is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Fortuna Sittard might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Fortuna Sittard: Bayram R.
(Knee Injury)
Halilovic A.
(Ankle Injury)
Kerkez M.
(Inactive)
Sinkgraven D.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Heracles: Cestic S.
(Broken ankle)
Reine-Adelaide J.
(Knee Injury)
Scheperman S.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Sittard won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 1.2:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fortuna Sittard won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Fortuna Sittard won against Heracles Almelo?
Fortuna Sittard has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Heracles Almelo won against Fortuna Sittard?
Heracles Almelo has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fortuna Sittard - Heracles Almelo were as follows:
08.03.2025
Fortuna Sittard
-
Heracles Almelo
1:0
07.12.2024
Heracles Almelo
-
Fortuna Sittard
2:2
19.05.2024
Heracles Almelo
-
Fortuna Sittard
0:0
10.11.2023
Fortuna Sittard
-
Heracles Almelo
4:1
Latest results of Fortuna Sittard
Latest results of Heracles Almelo
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 16 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 50:20 | 30 | 43 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 16 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 41:20 | 21 | 34 |
| 3 | Ajax | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 30:20 | 10 | 29 |
| 4 | Nijmegen | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 41:27 | 14 | 28 |
| 5 | Groningen | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 24:21 | 3 | 26 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28:24 | 4 | 25 |
| 7 | Twente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 25:20 | 5 | 24 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 27:21 | 6 | 23 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 26:26 | 0 | 20 |
| 10 | Sparta Rotterdam | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 17:31 | -14 | 20 |
| 11 | Zwolle | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 20:36 | -16 | 19 |
| 12 | G.A. Eagles | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 25:28 | -3 | 18 |
| 13 | Sittard | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 |
| 14 | Excelsior | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 14:26 | -12 | 16 |
| 15 | FC Volendam | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19:30 | -11 | 14 |
| 16 | Heracles | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 26:41 | -15 | 14 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 16:25 | -9 | 13 |
| 18 | Telstar | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 19:27 | -8 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
