Fortuna Sittard vs Heracles Almelo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

08/03/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Fortuna Sittard Stadion (Sittard).

NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie - Round 25
Referee: Kooij J. (Ned)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.48	0.19
Ball Possession
46%	54%
Goal Attempts
12	5
Shots on Goal
5	0
Shots off Goal
4	2
Blocked Shots
3	3
Big Chances
4	0
Corner Kicks
2	6
Shots inside the Box
10	2
Shots outside the Box
2	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	4
Free Kicks
19	11
Offsides
2	1
Fouls
11	19
Throw-ins
27	30
Touches in the Opposition Box
22	13
Passes
70% (239/342)	74% (289/388)
Passes in the final third
55% (58/105)	61% (63/104)
Crosses
50% (7/14)	4% (1/23)
Tackles
73% (16/22)	55% (6/11)
Clearances Total
17	21
Interceptions
10	6

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Halilovic A. ↓, Da Cruz A. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Talvitie J. ↓, Engels M. ↑,
65', Scheperman S. 🟨,
66', 1 - 0, Peterson K. (Pen),
70', Peterson K. ↓, Rosier L. ↑,
71', Radulovic B. ↓, Sierhuis K. ↑,
73', Hornkamp J. ↓, Limbombe B. ↑,
73', Bruns T. ↓, Zamburek J. ↑,
86', Wieckhoff J. ↓, Benita M. ↑,
87', Da Cruz A. ↓, Bastien S. ↑,
87', Michut E. ↓, Mitrovic J. ↑,

Chances of winning

Fortuna Sittard
40.1%

Draw
27.7%

Heracles Almelo
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

25.4%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

26%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortuna Sittard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fortuna Sittard's form might have worsened.

Heracles Almelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fortuna Sittard, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Fortuna Sittard - Heracles Almelo Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.05)	3.4 ↓ (3.73)	2.96 ↓ (3.33)	5.4% (5.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Fortuna Sittard - Heracles Almelo?

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Fortuna Sittard will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Heracles will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fortuna Sittard: 50.5% – 99.5%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 and 12).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Fortuna Sittard won 1.
Fortuna Sittard is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Heracles is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Heracles could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Heracles have a series of home games.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Fortuna Sittard: Bayram R. (Knee Injury) Sinkgraven D. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Heracles: Cestic S. (Broken ankle) Mesik I. (Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Fortuna Sittard: Demir O. (Injury) Sierhuis K. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Heracles: Laursen N. (Knee Injury)
Last 11 head-to-head matches Fortuna Sittard won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13:19 (average 1.2:1.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Fortuna Sittard won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:5 (average 1.6:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Fortuna Sittard won against Heracles Almelo?

Fortuna Sittard has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Heracles Almelo won against Fortuna Sittard?

Heracles Almelo has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Fortuna Sittard - Heracles Almelo were as follows:

07.12.2024 Heracles Almelo - Fortuna Sittard 2:2

19.05.2024 Heracles Almelo - Fortuna Sittard 0:0

10.11.2023 Fortuna Sittard - Heracles Almelo 4:1

Latest results of Fortuna Sittard

28.02.2025 Waalwijk - Fortuna Sittard 1:2 ✺

23.02.2025 AZ Alkmaar - Fortuna Sittard 1:0 ✺

09.02.2025 Fortuna Sittard - Ajax 0:2 ✺

01.02.2025 Heerenveen - Fortuna Sittard 2:2 ✺

26.01.2025 Fortuna Sittard - Zwolle 1:4 ✺

Latest results of Heracles Almelo

02.03.2025 Heracles Almelo - Zwolle 4:2 ✺

27.02.2025 Heracles Almelo - AZ Alkmaar 2:3 ✺

16.02.2025 Ajax - Heracles Almelo 4:0 ✺

08.02.2025 Heracles Almelo - Go Ahead Eagles 4:2 ✺

04.02.2025 Heracles Almelo - Utrecht 2:0 ✺

Dutch Eredivisie Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sittard	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Telstar	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	FC Volendam	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Zwolle	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	PSV	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	NAC Breda	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Twente	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Heerenveen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Feyenoord	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Nijmegen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Utrecht	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	AZ Alkmaar	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Sparta Rotterdam	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Heracles	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Excelsior	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	G.A. Eagles	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Groningen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
      Eredivisie (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie

Which TV channels are streaming of Fortuna Sittard - Heracles Almelo?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra