Francesco Maestrelli vs Miguel Damas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
28/04/2026 at 09:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mauthausen, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
31
Double Faults
63
1st serve percentage
59%50%
1st serve points won
57% (25/44)62% (23/37)
2nd serve points won
33% (10/30)51% (19/37)
Break Points Saved
6/114/8
1st return points won
38% (14/37)43% (19/44)
2nd return points won
49% (18/37)67% (20/30)
Break Points Converted
4/85/11
Winners
2211
Unforced errors
5131
Net points won
100% (5/5)0% (0/1)
Service Points Won
47% (35/74)57% (42/74)
Return Points Won
43% (32/74)53% (39/74)
Total Points Won
45% (67/148)55% (81/148)
Last 10 balls
37
Match points saved
00
Service games won
55% (6/11)64% (7/11)
Return games won
36% (4/11)45% (5/11)
Total games won
45% (10/22)55% (12/22)

Chances of winning


Francesco Maestrelli
66.1%
Miguel Damas
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.8% 33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.4% 25.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Francesco Maestrelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Miguel Damas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Maestrelli than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Francesco Maestrelli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miguel Damas than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Miguel Damas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Francesco Maestrelli - Miguel Damas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.42
    (1.38)

    2.77
    (2.78)
    6.6%
    (8.4%)
    Preview Facts
    • Maestrelli is ranked ATP: 112. Damas is ranked ATP: 271.
    • Maestrelli has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Damas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Maestrelli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Maestrelli could have a small edge in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Miguel Damas