Francis Tiafoe vs Alexandre Muller – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
29/04/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
34
Double Faults
21
1st Serve Percentage
56%71%
1st Serve Points Won
87% (27/31)65% (30/46)
2nd Serve Points Won
54% (13/24)32% (6/19)
Break Points Saved
100% (2/2)70% (7/10)
1st Return Points Won
35% (16/46)32% (10/31)
2nd Return Points Won
68% (13/19)46% (11/24)
Break Points Converted
30% (3/10)0% (0/2)
Winners
1717
Unforced Errors
1722
Net Points Won
67% (4/6)63% (5/8)
Service Points Won
73% (40/55)55% (36/65)
Return Points Won
45% (29/65)27% (15/55)
Total Points Won
58% (69/120)43% (51/120)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
100% (9/9)67% (6/9)
Return Games Won
33% (3/9)0% (0/9)
Total Games Won
67% (12/18)33% (6/18)

Chances of winning


Francis Tiafoe
57.7%
Alexandre Muller
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9% 52.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Francis Tiafoe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Francis Tiafoe's performance.
  • Alexandre Muller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexandre Muller might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (-9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Francis Tiafoe that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexandre Muller could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Francis Tiafoe - Alexandre Muller Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.66
    (1.91)

    2.24
    (1.91)
    4.9%
    (5%)
    What is the prediction for Francis Tiafoe - Alexandre Muller?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -3 Games - Muller (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Francis Tiafoe will win (32 of 40 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.6%92.4%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Francis Tiafoe will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Tiafoe (votes: 15 - 83.3%). Muller (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 17. Muller is ranked ATP: 39.
    • One and the other player get a very uncertain game.
    • Tiafoe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Tiafoe won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Francis Tiafoe - Alexandre Muller were as follows:
    26.02.2025 Francis Tiafoe - Alexandre Muller 2:0
    Latest results of Francis Tiafoe
    26.04.2025 Francis Tiafoe - Luciano Darderi Darderi L. retired
    14.04.2025 Tomas Machac - Francis Tiafoe Canceled
    Latest results of Alexandre Muller
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Bye
    2Bonzi B. (Q)Droguet T. (Q)2 : 1
    3Moller E. (Q)Cina F. (WC)2 : 0
    4ByeDiallo G. (32)
    5Norrie C. (19)Bye
    6Machac T.Comesana F.2 : 1
    7Bautista-Agut R.Tirante T. A.0 : 2
    8ByePaul T. (15)
    9Rublev A. (9)Bye
    10Zhang Z. (PR)Kopriva V.0 : 2
    11Sonego L.Lajovic D. (Q)0 : 2
    12ByeRinderknech A. (22)
    13Fonseca J. (27)Bye
    14Bergs Z.Cilic M.1 : 2
    15Jodar R. (WC)De Jong J.2 : 1
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (5)
    17Shelton B. (4)Bye
    18Prizmic D. (Q)Berrettini M.2 : 0
    19Basilashvili N. (Q)Ofner S.0 : 2
    20ByeEtcheverry T. M. (25)
    21Fils A. (21)Bye
    22Buse I.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    23Brooksby J.Nava E.0 : 2
    24ByeVacherot V. (14)
    25Lehecka J. (11)Bye
    26Tabilo A.Royer V.2 : 0
    27Muller A.Struff J-L.0 : 2
    28ByeMichelsen A. (33)
    29Griekspoor T. (29)Bye
    30Dzumhur D.Bellucci M.2 : 0
    31Faria J. (Q)Hurkacz H.0 : 2
    32ByeMusetti L. (6)
    33Bublik A. (8)Bye
    34Kypson P. (LL)Tsitsipas S.1 : 2
    35Trungelliti M. (LL)Merida Aguilar D. (Q)1 : 2
    36ByeMoutet C. (26)
    37Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Bye
    38Carreno-Busta P. (WC)Fucsovics M.2 : 1
    39Munar J.Shevchenko A.2 : 0
    40ByeRuud C. (12)
    41Cerundolo F. (16)Bye
    42Hanfmann Y.Giron M.2 : 1
    43Altmaier D.Cerundolo J. M.0 : 2
    44ByeDarderi L. (18)
    45Nakashima B. (28)Bye
    46Garin C. (LL)Blockx A.1 : 2
    47Gaubas V. (Q)Baez S.2 : 0
    48ByeAuger-Aliassime F. (3)
    49Medvedev D. (7)Bye
    50Marozsan F.Quinn E.2 : 0
    51Budkov Kjaer N. (Q)Opelka R. (RET.)0 : 0
    52ByeShapovalov D. (31)
    53Tien L. (17)Bye
    54Vallejo D. (Q)Dimitrov G.2 : 0
    55Ugo Carabelli C.Monfils G. (WC)2 : 0
    56ByeCobolli F. (10)
    57Khachanov K. (13)Bye
    58Landaluce M. (WC)Walton A.0 : 2
    59Popyrin A.Damm M. (Q)0 : 2
    60ByeMensik J. (23)
    61Humbert U. (30)Bye
    62Atmane T.Kecmanovic M.2 : 0
    63Borges N.Navone M.0 : 2
    64ByeZverev A. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Bonzi B. (Q)2 : 1
    2Moller E. (Q)Diallo G. (RET.) (32)1 : 0
    3Norrie C. (19)Machac T.2 : 1
    4Tirante T. A.Paul T. (15)2 : 0
    5Rublev A. (9)Kopriva V.0 : 2
    6Lajovic D.Rinderknech A. (22)0 : 2
    7Fonseca J. (WO.) (27)Cilic M.
    8Jodar R.De Minaur A. (5)2 : 0
    9Shelton B. (4)Prizmic D.1 : 2
    10Ofner S.Etcheverry T. M. (25)0 : 2
    11Fils A. (21)Buse I.2 : 1
    12Nava E.Vacherot V. (14)2 : 1
    13Lehecka J. (11)Tabilo A.2 : 1
    14Struff J-L.Michelsen A. (33)0 : 2
    15Griekspoor T. (29)Dzumhur D.2 : 0
    16Hurkacz H.Musetti L. (6)0 : 2
    17Bublik A. (8)Tsitsipas S.0 : 2
    18Merida Aguilar D.Moutet C. (26)2 : 0
    19Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Carreno-Busta P.2 : 0
    20Munar J.Ruud C. (12)0 : 2
    21Cerundolo F. (16)Hanfmann Y.2 : 0
    22Cerundolo J. M.Darderi L. (18)0 : 2
    23Nakashima B. (28)Blockx A.1 : 2
    24Gaubas V.Auger-Aliassime F. (3)0 : 2
    25Medvedev D. (7)Marozsan F.2 : 1
    26Budkov Kjaer N.Shapovalov D. (31)2 : 0
    27Tien L. (17)Vallejo D.0 : 2
    28Ugo Carabelli C.Cobolli F. (10)1 : 2
    29Khachanov K. (13)Walton A.2 : 0
    30Damm M.Mensik J. (23)0 : 2
    31Humbert U. (30)Atmane T.0 : 2
    32Navone M.Zverev A. (2)1 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Moller E.
    2Norrie C. (19)Tirante T. A.
    3Kopriva V.Rinderknech A. (22)
    4Fonseca J. (27)Jodar R.
    5Prizmic D.Etcheverry T. M. (25)
    6Fils A. (21)Nava E.
    7Lehecka J. (11)Michelsen A. (33)
    8Griekspoor T. (29)Musetti L. (6)
    9Tsitsipas S.Merida Aguilar D.
    10Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Ruud C. (12)
    11Cerundolo F. (16)Darderi L. (18)
    12Blockx A.Auger-Aliassime F. (3)
    13Medvedev D. (7)Budkov Kjaer N.
    14Vallejo D.Cobolli F. (10)
    15Khachanov K. (13)Mensik J. (23)
    16Atmane T.Zverev A. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2