Rayos de Hermosillo vs Frayles de Guasave – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
79:90
15/04/2026 at 23:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CIBACOPA

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
6754
Field goals made
2731
Field goals %
40.3%57.41%
2-point field goals attempts
3533
2-point field goals made
1923
2-point field goals %
54.29%69.7%
3-point field goals attempts
3221
3-point field goals made
88
3-point field goals %
25%38.1%
Free throws attempts
2330
Free throws made
1720
Free throws %
73.9%66.7%
Offensive rebounds
117
Defensive rebounds
2033
Total rebounds
3140
Assists
1817
Blocks
28
Turnovers
1621
Steals
1210
Personal fouls
2422

Chances of winning


Rayos de Hermosillo
43.9%
Frayles de Guasave
56.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.2% 52.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7% 48.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rayos de Hermosillo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • Frayles de Guasave has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayos de Hermosillo than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rayos de Hermosillo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frayles de Guasave than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Frayles de Guasave, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Rayos de Hermosillo - Frayles de Guasave Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.09
    (1.92)

    1.64
    (1.72)
    8.9%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 183.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rayos de Hermosillo won 4.
    • Rayos de Hermosillo is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Guasave is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Recently, Rayos de Hermosillo has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Guasave has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Rayos de Hermosillo won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1046:936. (average 95.1:85.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rayos de Hermosillo won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 472:397. (average 94.4:79.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rayos de Hermosillo - Frayles de Guasave were as follows:
    14.04.2026 Rayos de Hermosillo - Frayles de Guasave 87:84
    18.02.2026 Frayles de Guasave - Rayos de Hermosillo 111:114
    17.02.2026 Frayles de Guasave - Rayos de Hermosillo 98:86
    14.05.2025 Rayos de Hermosillo - Frayles de Guasave 87:65
    13.05.2025 Rayos de Hermosillo - Frayles de Guasave 108:72
    Latest results of Rayos de Hermosillo
    Mexican CIBACOPA Table
    2026
    PlWLPCT
    1Astros262422519:21640.923
    2Halcones de Obregon3018122882:28420.600
    3Frayles de Guasave3219133099:29860.594
    4Angeles CDMX3218143001:29590.563
    5Zonkeys de Tijuana3216162809:27770.500
    6Toros Laguna3014162702:27000.467
    7Pioneros de Los Mochis2813152627:26900.464
    8Caballeros de Culiacan3213192959:30680.406
    9Rayos de Hermosillo3213192795:29090.406
    10Ostioneros de Guaymas3012182842:29140.400
    11Venados de Mazatlan286222418:26440.214

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