Result
2:1
10/01/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 16
- Referee: Gerach T. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena |
 Albania | Tring Sport 5 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4 |
 Belgium | Play Sports 2 |
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 Bulgaria | Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | DAZN Canada, OneSoccer |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 6, Oneplay |
 Denmark | See, Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports 3 |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 2 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Saudi-arabia | MBC Shahid |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 7 |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Slovakia | Sport TV2, Voyo |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 4 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.84 | 0.64 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (429/514) | 76% (260/341) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.84 | 0.64 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.35 | 1.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (429/514) | 76% (260/341) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (20/55) | 38% (24/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (119/164) | 44% (32/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 47% (7/15) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.04 | 0.53 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 40% (4/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.73 | 2.35 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 4', Elfadli D. 🟨,
- 39', Treu P. 🟨,
- 43', Lienhart P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Lienhart P. ↓, Jung A. ↑,
- 49', 0 - 1, Vuskovic L. ⚽, Muheim M. (A),
- 51', Elfadli D. 🟨,
- 53', 1 - 1, Grifo V. (Penalty Awarded),
- 57', Dompe J. ↓, Torunarigha J. ↑,
- 63', Vuskovic L. 🟨,
- 65', Holer L. ↓, Matanovic I. ↑,
- 65', Grifo V. ↓, Osterhage P. ↑,
- 77', Heuer Fernandes D. 🟨,
- 78', Downs D. ↓, Rossing-Lelesiit A. ↑,
- 78', Jatta B. ↓, Gocholeishvili G. ↑,
- 79', Vieira F. ↓, Ramos G. ↑,
- 79', Treu P. ↓, Beste J. ↑,
- 83', 2 - 1, Matanovic I. ⚽, Beste J. (A),
- 87', Polzin M. 🟨,
- 90+2', Lokonga A. S. ↓, Konigsdorffer R. ↑,
- 90+4', Manzambi J. ↓, Hofler N. ↑,
- 90+7', Osterhage P. 🟨,
- 90+12', Rossing-Lelesiit A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Freiburg
53% | Draw
26.7% | Hamburger SV
20.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Freiburg - Hamburger SV Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↓
(1.8) |
3.57 ↓
(3.58) |
4.67 ↑
(4.57) |
5.3%
(5.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Freiburg - Hamburger SV?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Freiburg (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Freiburg will win
(50 of 59 users predict this - 84.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.58% – 93.92%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Freiburg will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Freiburg (votes: 13 - 86.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 3.
- Freiburg is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Hamburg has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Hamburg has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Freiburg is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Freiburg: Kyereh D.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
- There will not play in Hamburg: Balde F.
(Illness)
Glatzel R.
(Thigh Injury)
Omari W.
(Knee Injury)
Philippe R.
(Illness)
Poulsen Y.
(Ankle Injury)
Soumahoro A.
(Knee Injury)
Suhonen A.
(Illness)
- There are questionable in Freiburg: Dinkci E.
(Muscle Injury)
Rosenfelder M.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Hamburg: Rossing-Lelesiit A.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:14. (average 1.3:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Freiburg won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Freiburg won against Hamburger SV?
Freiburg has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hamburger SV won against Freiburg?
Hamburger SV has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Freiburg - Hamburger SV were as follows:
30.10.2024
Freiburg
-
Hamburger SV
2:1
13.01.2023
Freiburg
-
Hamburger SV
5:2
Latest results of Freiburg
Latest results of Hamburger SV
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 21 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 79:19 | 60 | 54 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 21 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 43:20 | 23 | 48 |
| 3 | Hoffenheim | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 44:28 | 16 | 42 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 40:28 | 12 | 39 |
| 5 | Stuttgart | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 38:28 | 10 | 39 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 39:27 | 12 | 36 |
| 7 | Freiburg | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 32:33 | -1 | 30 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 41:46 | -5 | 28 |
| 9 | Union Berlin | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 26:34 | -8 | 25 |
| 10 | FC Koln | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 30:34 | -4 | 23 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 22 |
| 12 | B. Monchengladbach | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 25:34 | -9 | 22 |
| 13 | Augsburg | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 24:39 | -15 | 22 |
| 14 | Mainz | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 25:33 | -8 | 21 |
| 15 | Wolfsburg | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 29:44 | -15 | 19 |
| 16 | Werder Bremen | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 22:39 | -17 | 19 |
| 17 | St. Pauli | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 20:35 | -15 | 17 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 19:47 | -28 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
