Result
1:3
11/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 24
- Referee: Arena A. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 2.44 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (345/431) | 76% (220/291) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 2.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 3.14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (345/431) | 76% (220/291) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (32/61) | 39% (21/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (74/111) | 66% (80/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (12/28) | 8% (1/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.68 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 32 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (15/20) | 86% (18/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.14 | 0.97 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.14 | -0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 16', 0 - 1, Kvernadze G. ⚽, Oyono J. (A),
- 26', 0 - 2, Calo G. ⚽,
- 33', Palmiero L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 47', Koutsoupias I. 🟨,
- 58', Palmiero L. ↓, Russo R. ↑,
- 61', 0 - 3, Cichella M. ⚽, Zilli M. (A),
- 66', Koutsoupias I. ↓, Grosso F. ↑,
- 67', Ghedjemis F. ↓, Fini S. ↑,
- 68', Tutino G. ↓, Pandolfi L. ↑,
- 68', Besaggio M. ↓, Sounas D. ↑,
- 69', Palumbo M. 🟨,
- 74', Fontanarosa A. ↓, Milani A. ↑,
- 74', Palumbo M. ↓, Le Borgne A. ↑,
- 75', Calo G. ↓, Gelli J. ↑,
- 75', Zilli M. ↓, Vergani E. ↑,
- 77', 1 - 3, Enrici P. ⚽, Le Borgne A. (A),
- 85', Kvernadze G. ↓, Marchizza R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Avellino
27.7% | Draw
29% | Frosinone
43.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avellino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Avellino's form might have worsened.Frosinone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Avellino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Avellino - Frosinone Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.37 ↑
(2.78) |
3.25 ↓
(3.28) |
2.18 ↓
(2.41) |
6.4%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Avellino - Frosinone?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Avellino will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). Frosinone will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Frosinone: 48.9% – 92.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Frosinone (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Avellino (2.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH 0 - Frosinone (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Avellino (votes: 1 - 20%). Frosinone (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avellino won 0.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Avellino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Frosinone could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Avellino: Favilli A.
(Tendon Injury)
Izzo A.
(Inactive)
Kumi J.
(Injury)
Missori F.
(Yellow Cards)
Sounas D.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Frosinone: Barcella K.
(Inactive)
Gelli F.
(Inactive)
Oyono A.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Avellino won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 0.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Avellino won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Avellino won against Frosinone?
Avellino has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Frosinone won against Avellino?
Frosinone has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Avellino - Frosinone were as follows:
24.08.2025
Frosinone
-
Avellino
2:0
Latest results of Avellino
Latest results of Frosinone
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 53:24 | 29 | 56 |
| 2 | Monza | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 39:20 | 19 | 54 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48:24 | 24 | 53 |
| 4 | Palermo | 26 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 45:19 | 26 | 51 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 37:27 | 10 | 44 |
| 6 | Modena | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 35:20 | 15 | 43 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 38 |
| 8 | Cesena | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 34:37 | -3 | 37 |
| 9 | Sudtirol | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 26:27 | -1 | 33 |
| 10 | Empoli | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 32:36 | -4 | 30 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 31:36 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 | Padova | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 30 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 28:34 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | Avellino | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 30:42 | -12 | 29 |
| 15 | Reggiana | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 28:36 | -8 | 26 |
| 16 | Mantova | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 17 | Spezia | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 23:34 | -11 | 25 |
| 18 | Entella | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 24:37 | -13 | 25 |
| 19 | Bari | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 21:39 | -18 | 22 |
| 20 | Pescara | 26 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 30:51 | -21 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
