Result
2:1
18/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 31
- Referee: Maresca F. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belarus | Sport TV |
 Israel | 5 STARS Israel |
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Slovakia | Sport TV2 |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 7, Blue Sport 7 |
 United-kingdom | DCTV |
 Usa | DCTV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.24 | 0.62 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (411/464) | 72% (226/315) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.24 | 0.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.06 | 0.87 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 19 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 43 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (411/464) | 72% (226/315) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 70% (35/50) | 31% (17/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 84% (176/209) | 45% (34/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (8/33) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 0.18 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 89% (8/9) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.87 | 2.06 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.13 | 0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', 0 - 1, Rao E. ⚽, Moncini G. (A),
- 8', 1 - 1, Fini S. ⚽, Oyono A. (A),
- 29', Fiori A. 🟨,
- 33', Dorval M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 51', Odenthal C. 🟨,
- 53', 2 - 1, Corrado N. ⚽, Fini S. (A),
- 57', Rao E. ↓, De Pieri G. ↑,
- 64', Gelli J. ↓, Monterisi I. ↑,
- 64', Fiori A. ↓, Kvernadze G. ↑,
- 72', Dorval M. ↓, Traore D. ↑,
- 72', Maggiore G. ↓, Bellomo N. ↑,
- 76', Gelli F. ↓, Koutsoupias I. ↑,
- 81', Calvani G. 🟨,
- 83', Mane M. ↓, Stabile G. ↑,
- 83', Esteves T. ↓, Gytkjaer C. ↑,
- 84', Corrado N. ↓, Bracaglia G. ↑,
- 84', Raimondo A. ↓, Vergani E. ↑,
- 90+5', De Pieri G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Frosinone
62.3% | Draw
22.1% | Bari
15.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Frosinone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Bari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bari than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Frosinone - Bari Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.51 ↓
(1.57) |
4.24 ↑
(4.03) |
5.93 ↑
(5.31) |
6.7%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Frosinone - Bari?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Frosinone will win (votes: 12 - 85.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Frosinone: 67.4% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- EH -2 - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
- AH -1.5 - Bari (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Bari (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Frosinone won 1.
- Recent performances by Frosinone have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Bari is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Frosinone is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Frosinone: Cittadini G.
(Injury)
Marchizza R.
(Inactive)
Zilli M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Bari: Burgio R.
(Inactive)
Darboe E.
(Thigh Injury)
Sibilli G.
(Suspended)
Stabile G.
(Inactive)
Verreth M.
(Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Frosinone won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:21. (average 1.3:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Frosinone won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.8:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Frosinone won against Bari?
Frosinone has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bari won against Frosinone?
Bari has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Frosinone - Bari were as follows:
22.11.2025
Bari
-
Frosinone
2:3
02.02.2025
Bari
-
Frosinone
2:1
22.09.2024
Frosinone
-
Bari
0:3
24.07.2024
Frosinone
-
Bari
3:4
11.03.2023
Bari
-
Frosinone
0:0
Latest results of Frosinone
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 63:26 | 37 | 67 |
| 2 | Monza | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 49:25 | 24 | 64 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 31 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 59:31 | 28 | 62 |
| 4 | Palermo | 31 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 51:27 | 24 | 58 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 48:35 | 13 | 52 |
| 6 | Modena | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 40:24 | 16 | 47 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 31 | 9 | 15 | 7 | 35:37 | -2 | 42 |
| 8 | Cesena | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38:46 | -8 | 40 |
| 9 | Avellino | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 36:49 | -13 | 39 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 31 | 8 | 14 | 9 | 33:32 | 1 | 38 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 38:42 | -4 | 36 |
| 12 | Padova | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 32:42 | -10 | 34 |
| 13 | Mantova | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 35:46 | -11 | 34 |
| 14 | Empoli | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 39:45 | -6 | 33 |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 29:42 | -13 | 31 |
| 16 | Bari | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 30:47 | -17 | 31 |
| 17 | Entella | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 28:45 | -17 | 31 |
| 18 | Spezia | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 30:43 | -13 | 30 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 30:46 | -16 | 30 |
| 20 | Pescara | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 41:54 | -13 | 29 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
