Result
2:3
22/11/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 13
- Referee: Perri M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Israel | 5 GOLD Israel |
 Italy | DAZN Italia, Destination Calcio, LAB Channel |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 7, Blue Sport 7 |
 United-kingdom | DCTV |
 Usa | DCTV, Fox Soccer Plus |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 2.62 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 28 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (314/394) | 79% (293/370) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 2.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 2.52 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 28 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 23 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 60 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (314/394) | 79% (293/370) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (16/51) | 46% (16/35) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (32/52) | 73% (111/153) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 39% (9/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.97 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.52 | 0.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.48 | -1.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 3)
- 12', 0 - 1, Raimondo A. ⚽, Monterisi I. (A),
- 21', 1 - 1, Verreth M. ⚽,
- 27', 1 - 2, Bracaglia G. ⚽, Calo G. (A),
- 34', Vicari F. 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 3, Ghedjemis F. ⚽,
- 42', Dickmann L. 🟨,
- 45+3', 2 - 3, Castrovilli G. ⚽, Antonucci M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Gytkjaer C. ↓, Partipilo A. ↑,
- 46', Oyono A. 🟨,
- 62', Pagano R. ↓, Maggiore G. ↑,
- 62', Antonucci M. ↓, Rao E. ↑,
- 65', Kvernadze G. ↓, Corrado N. ↑,
- 69', Bracaglia G. 🟨,
- 75', Bracaglia G. ↓, Cittadini G. ↑,
- 75', Kone B. L. ↓, Cichella M. ↑,
- 80', Vicari F. ↓, Cerri L. ↑,
- 80', Castrovilli G. ↓, Braunoder M. ↑,
- 86', Raimondo A. ↓, Zilli M. ↑,
- 86', Calo G. ↓, Gelli F. ↑,
- 86', Monterisi I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Bari
30.9% | Draw
28.6% | Frosinone
40.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Frosinone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bari than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (-1%)
Bari - Frosinone Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.02 ↑
(2.78) |
3.28 ↑
(3.26) |
2.37 ↓
(2.5) |
5.9%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Bari - Frosinone?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Frosinone will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6% – 90.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Frosinone (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Bari (2.30) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DNB - Frosinone (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Bari (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Frosinone (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bari won 3.
- Bari is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Frosinone's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Bari may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Bari: Darboe E.
(Injury)
Vicari F.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Frosinone: Barcella K.
(Muscle Injury)
Biraschi D.
(Knee Injury)
Gelli F.
(Injury)
Gori L.
(Knee Injury)
Monterisi I.
(Muscle Injury)
Selvini A.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Bari won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:12. (average 1.7:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bari won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 1.6:0.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Bari won against Frosinone?
Bari has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Frosinone won against Bari?
Frosinone has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bari - Frosinone were as follows:
02.02.2025
Bari
-
Frosinone
2:1
22.09.2024
Frosinone
-
Bari
0:3
24.07.2024
Frosinone
-
Bari
3:4
11.03.2023
Bari
-
Frosinone
0:0
22.10.2022
Frosinone
-
Bari
1:0
Latest results of Frosinone
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 53:24 | 29 | 56 |
| 2 | Monza | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 39:20 | 19 | 54 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48:24 | 24 | 53 |
| 4 | Palermo | 26 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 45:19 | 26 | 51 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 37:27 | 10 | 44 |
| 6 | Modena | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 35:20 | 15 | 43 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 38 |
| 8 | Cesena | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 34:37 | -3 | 37 |
| 9 | Sudtirol | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 26:27 | -1 | 33 |
| 10 | Empoli | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 32:36 | -4 | 30 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 31:36 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 | Padova | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 30 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 28:34 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | Avellino | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 30:42 | -12 | 29 |
| 15 | Reggiana | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 28:36 | -8 | 26 |
| 16 | Mantova | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 17 | Spezia | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 23:34 | -11 | 25 |
| 18 | Entella | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 24:37 | -13 | 25 |
| 19 | Bari | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 21:39 | -18 | 22 |
| 20 | Pescara | 26 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 30:51 | -21 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
