Result
0:2
01/03/2023 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 27
- Referee: Meraviglia F. (Ita)
Chances of winning
SPAL
25.7% | Draw
29.2% | Frosinone
45.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SPAL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Frosinone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
SPAL - Frosinone Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.68 ↓
(4) |
3.23 ↓
(3.3) |
2.09 ↑
(1.93) |
5.9%
(7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for SPAL - Frosinone?
Users Predictions:
Frosinone will win
(38 of 47 users predict this - 80.85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.6% – 92.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).
- SPAL has the most likely position - 19 (20.75%), has project points - 40, has currently - 25, has a good chance of relegated (66%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Frosinone has the most likely position - 1 (85.39%), has project points - 76, has currently - 55, has not chance of relegated, has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (2%), has a very good chance of promoted (98%), has a good chance of win league (85%).
- This event has quality 35, importance 54, match rating 44. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches SPAL won 2.
- SPAL has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Frosinone is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Frosinone will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 9 head-to-head matches SPAL won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 7-15.
- Including matches at home between the teams SPAL won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-6.
How many head-to-head matches has SPAL won against Frosinone?
SPAL has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Frosinone won against SPAL?
Frosinone has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between SPAL - Frosinone were as follows:
08.10.2022
Frosinone
-
SPAL
2:0
Latest results of Frosinone
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cesena | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Empoli | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Modena | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Carrarese | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Venezia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Palermo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Monza | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Juve Stabia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Catanzaro | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Entella | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Bari | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Reggiana | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Mantova | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Padova | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Pescara | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 18 | Avellino | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 19 | Spezia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 20 | Sampdoria | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
