SPAL vs Frosinone – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie B SPAL - Frosinone
Result
0:2
01/03/2023 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 27
  • Referee: Meraviglia F. (Ita)

Highlights

Chances of winning


SPAL
25.7%
Draw
29.2%
Frosinone
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.3% 28.3% 48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1% 28% 48.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • SPAL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • Frosinone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • SPAL - Frosinone Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.68
    (4)
    3.23
    (3.3)
    2.09
    (1.93)
    5.9%
    (7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for SPAL - Frosinone?
  • Users Predictions: Frosinone will win (38 of 47 users predict this - 80.85%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.6%92.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).
    • SPAL has the most likely position - 19 (20.75%), has project points - 40, has currently - 25, has a good chance of relegated (66%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • Frosinone has the most likely position - 1 (85.39%), has project points - 76, has currently - 55, has not chance of relegated, has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (2%), has a very good chance of promoted (98%), has a good chance of win league (85%).
    • This event has quality 35, importance 54, match rating 44. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches SPAL won 2.
    • SPAL has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Frosinone is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Frosinone will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches SPAL won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 7-15.
    • Including matches at home between the teams SPAL won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-6.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between SPAL - Frosinone were as follows:
    08.10.2022 Frosinone - SPAL 2:0
    Latest results of SPAL
    25.02.2023 Genoa - SPAL 3:0
    18.02.2023 SPAL - Como 1:1
    11.02.2023 Venezia - SPAL 2:1
    04.02.2023 SPAL - Bari 3:4
    27.01.2023 Cagliari - SPAL 2:1
    Latest results of Frosinone
    24.02.2023 Frosinone - Parma 3:4
    18.02.2023 Palermo - Frosinone 1:1
    11.02.2023 Frosinone - Cittadella 3:0
    04.02.2023 Como - Frosinone 0:2
    29.01.2023 Frosinone - Benevento 1:0
    Draw
    Play Out

    Final
    1Salernitana (16)Sampdoria (17)0 : 3, 0 : 2