Alianza San Miguel vs Fuerte San Francisco – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

08/03/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Alianza San Miguel
62.6%
Draw
23.5%
Fuerte San Francisco
13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.3% 22.5% 13.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Alianza San Miguel have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • The chances for Fuerte San Francisco have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza San Miguel than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fuerte San Francisco than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • Alianza San Miguel - Fuerte San Francisco Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.45
    (1.45)
    3.85
    (3.85)
    6.55
    (6.55)
    10.5%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: ) and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 4.
    • Alianza is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Fuerte has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Alianza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Alianza has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Alianza is the obvious favorite.
    • We predict that Alianza will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:7. (average 1.6:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Alianza won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:3. (average 2.1:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza San Miguel - Fuerte San Francisco were as follows:
    16.11.2025 Fuerte San Francisco - Alianza San Miguel 1:3
    14.09.2025 Alianza San Miguel - Fuerte San Francisco 1:0
    18.05.2025 Alianza San Miguel - Fuerte San Francisco 2:0
    15.05.2025 Fuerte San Francisco - Alianza San Miguel 0:1
    23.04.2025 Fuerte San Francisco - Alianza San Miguel 1:0
    Latest results of Alianza San Miguel
    El Salvador Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FAS1073019:61324
    2Luis Angel Firpo1062216:10620
    3Alianza FC1061319:12719
    4Aguila1061317:15219
    5Inter F.A1052315:9617
    6Metapan1044213:12116
    7Municipal Limeno1043312:8415
    8Cacahuatique1034311:11013
    9Platense Municipal1023511:15-49
    10Fuerte San Francisco100558:18-105
    11Hercules1012710:25-155
    12Zacatecoluca100288:18-102

          Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )