Result
1:0
14/09/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Division - Apertura - Round 11
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 71', 1 - 0, Duenas E. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Alianza San Miguel
68.3% | Draw
21.5% | Fuerte San Francisco
10.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Fuerte San Francisco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza San Miguel than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fuerte San Francisco than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Alianza San Miguel - Fuerte San Francisco Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.33 ↓
(1.38) |
4.23 ↓
(4.43) |
8.86 ↑
(6.44) |
10.1%
(10.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ Play Offs: ) and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 4.
- Recent performances by Alianza have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Fuerte is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Alianza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Alianza is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:6. (average 1.6:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alianza won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:3. (average 2.3:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza San Miguel won against Fuerte San Francisco?
Alianza San Miguel has won 8 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fuerte San Francisco won against Alianza San Miguel?
Fuerte San Francisco has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza San Miguel - Fuerte San Francisco were as follows:
18.05.2025
Alianza San Miguel
-
Fuerte San Francisco
2:0
15.05.2025
Fuerte San Francisco
-
Alianza San Miguel
0:1
23.04.2025
Fuerte San Francisco
-
Alianza San Miguel
1:0
26.02.2025
Alianza San Miguel
-
Fuerte San Francisco
2:0
31.10.2024
Alianza San Miguel
-
Fuerte San Francisco
2:0
Latest results of Alianza San Miguel
Latest results of Fuerte San Francisco
El Salvador Primera Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Luis Angel Firpo | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 23:10 | 13 | 27 |
| 2 | Alianza FC | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 21:11 | 10 | 27 |
| 3 | FAS | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 30:14 | 16 | 24 |
| 4 | Cacahuatique | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 19 |
| 5 | Metapan | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17:16 | 1 | 18 |
| 6 | Platense Municipal | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 17:13 | 4 | 16 |
| 7 | Municipal Limeno | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 17:21 | -4 | 14 |
| 8 | Aguila | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 8:13 | -5 | 14 |
| 9 | Fuerte San Francisco | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6:17 | -11 | 10 |
| 10 | Inter F.A | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 8 |
| 11 | Zacatecoluca | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6:14 | -8 | 8 |
| 12 | Hercules | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12:27 | -15 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
