Alianza San Miguel vs Fuerte San Francisco – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football El Salvador Primera Division Alianza San Miguel - Fuerte San Francisco
Result
2:0
18/05/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Division - Clausura - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
el-salvadorEl-salvadorCanal 4, TCS GO
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaCentro America TV

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 55', 1 - 0, Mauricio E. ,
  • 65', 2 - 0, Mercado M. ,

Chances of winning


Alianza San Miguel
61.2%
Draw
24.4%
Fuerte San Francisco
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.3% 24.8% 13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3% 23.6% 13.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alianza San Miguel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Fuerte San Francisco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza San Miguel than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fuerte San Francisco than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • Alianza San Miguel - Fuerte San Francisco Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.48)
    3.77
    (3.67)
    6.43
    (6.57)
    8.5%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.
    • Alianza is Qualified for Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 4.
    • Alianza is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Fuerte is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Alianza is the obvious favorite.
    • We predict that Alianza will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:6. (average 1.5:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Alianza won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:3. (average 2.4:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza San Miguel - Fuerte San Francisco were as follows:
    15.05.2025 Fuerte San Francisco - Alianza San Miguel 0:1
    23.04.2025 Fuerte San Francisco - Alianza San Miguel 1:0
    26.02.2025 Alianza San Miguel - Fuerte San Francisco 2:0
    31.10.2024 Alianza San Miguel - Fuerte San Francisco 2:0
    19.09.2024 Fuerte San Francisco - Alianza San Miguel 0:2
    El Salvador Primera Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FAS431011:11010
    2Luis Angel Firpo43109:4510
    3Aguila42113:217
    4Alianza FC41306:516
    5Cacahuatique42024:5-16
    6Fuerte San Francisco41212:8-65
    7Municipal Limeno31117:614
    8Metapan31112:204
    9Zacatecoluca41032:4-23
    10Platense Municipal40222:4-22
    11Inter F.A40221:4-32
    12Hercules40224:8-42

          Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )