Gabala vs Şəfa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
04/12/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Azerbaijan Cup - 1/8-finals

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Sangare I. ,
  • 6', 1 - 1, Zamanov E. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 53', 2 - 1, Sangare I. ,

Chances of winning


Gabala
48.3%
Draw
26%
Şəfa
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57% 25.2% 17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5% 24.1% 18.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gabala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gabala's form might have worsened.
  • Şəfa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Şəfa's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gabala than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gabala, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Şəfa than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Şəfa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Gabala - Şəfa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (1.59)
    3.48
    (3.6)
    3.52
    (5.09)
    10.5%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • Recent performances by Gabala have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Şəfa is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Gabala is a strong favorite.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Gabala
    30.11.2025 Gabala - Araz Naxçıvan 2:1
    22.11.2025 Zira - Gabala 1:0
    07.11.2025 Gabala - Sumgayit 0:2
    03.11.2025 Sabah - Gabala 1:0
    29.10.2025 Gabala - Mingachevir 5:1
    Latest results of Şəfa
    27.11.2025 Shahdag Qusar - Şəfa 0:2
    22.11.2025 Şəfa - Difai Ağsu 1:1
    05.11.2025 Mingachevir - Şəfa 2:3
    28.10.2025 Cəbrayıl - Şəfa 0:3
    23.10.2025 Şəfa - Səbail 2:2
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/16-finals
    1SabailShamakhi0 : 1
    2GoygolBaku Sporting0 : 2
    3QarabagBye
    4KarvanSheki City3 : 1
    5LokbatanImisli FK2 : 3
    6ByeSabah Baku
    7GabalaMingachevir5 : 1
    8CebrayilSafa Baku0 : 3
    9ShimalSahdag Qusar0 : 2
    10Dinamo BakiTuran Tovuz0 : 5
    11ArazBye
    12KapazAgstafa Gencleri6 : 1
    13KhankendiDifai Agsu1 : 2
    14ZaqatalaSumqayit0 : 3
    15ZiraBye
    16Neftci BakuMOIK Baku6 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1ShamakhiBaku Sporting1 : 0
    2QarabagKarvan3 : 0
    3Imisli FKSabah Baku1 : 2
    4GabalaSafa Baku2 : 1
    5Sahdag QusarTuran Tovuz1 : 2
    6ArazKapaz0 : 1
    7Difai AgsuSumqayit1 : 3
    8ZiraNeftci Baku1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1ShamakhiQarabag2 : 1
    2Sabah BakuGabala0 : 0
    3Turan TovuzKapaz1 : 0
    4SumqayitZira0 : 0