Result
1:0
19/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 28
- Referee: Hasanli V. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 19', 1 - 0, Haqverdi H. ⚽,
- 28', Ba Loua A. 🟨,
- 31', Ahmadzada R. 🟨,
- 33', Ninkovic N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Keffel ↓, Pashayev V. ↑,
- 66', 🟨,
- 66', Vasquez R. ↓, Ramalingom A. ↑,
- 66', Ninkovic N. ↓, Abdullazada S. ↑,
- 73', Badolo C. ↓, Mustafaev E. ↑,
- 75', Aliyev N. ↓, Sangare I. ↑,
- 80', Orujov N. ↓, Ahmadzada N. ↑,
- 81', Massoumou D. J. ↓, Rashidov N. ↑,
- 84', Keita S. ↓, Shahniyarov S. ↑,
- 90+4', Sierra J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sumgayit
42.4% | Draw
29.8% | Gabala
27.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sumgayit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Gabala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sumgayit than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gabala than the current prediction. (+1%)
Sumgayit - Gabala Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.17 ↓
(2.2) |
3.09 ↑
(3.05) |
3.31 ↑
(3) |
8.7%
(11.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sumgayit won 3.
- Sumgayit is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Gabala is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sumgayit won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:20. (average 0.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sumgayit won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sumgayit won against Gabala?
Sumgayit has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gabala won against Sumgayit?
Gabala has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sumgayit - Gabala were as follows:
20.02.2026
Sumgayit
-
Gabala
0:0
07.11.2025
Gabala
-
Sumgayit
0:2
25.05.2024
Sumgayit
-
Gabala
1:0
23.01.2024
Gabala
-
Sumgayit
0:1
29.10.2023
Sumgayit
-
Gabala
0:0
Latest results of Sumgayit
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 29 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 69:21 | 48 | 72 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 61:22 | 39 | 59 |
| 3 | Turan Tovuz | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 39:20 | 19 | 56 |
| 4 | Neftci Baku | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 48:31 | 17 | 47 |
| 5 | Zira | 29 | 11 | 13 | 5 | 38:32 | 6 | 46 |
| 6 | Araz | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 38:53 | -15 | 40 |
| 7 | Sumqayit | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 38:40 | -2 | 38 |
| 8 | Shamakhi | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 27:29 | -2 | 35 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 21:39 | -18 | 29 |
| 10 | Kapaz | 29 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 22:57 | -35 | 21 |
| 11 | Gabala | 29 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 26:45 | -19 | 20 |
| 12 | Karvan | 29 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 21:59 | -38 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
