Kashiwa Reysol vs Gamba Osaka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

06/04/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium (Kashiwa).

J1 League - Round 9
Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Optus Sport
China	QQ Sports
Hong-kong	myTV SUPER
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	PSJ TV
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.74	0.59
Ball Possession
63%	37%
Total shots
13	7
Shots on target
2	1
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
8	2
Passes
88% (616/700)	81% (328/403)
Yellow Cards
0	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.74	0.59
xG on target (xGOT)
0.61	0.06
Total shots
13	7
Shots on target
2	1
Shots off target
6	2
Blocked Shots
5	4
Shots inside the Box
8	6
Shots outside the Box
5	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
8	2
Touches in opposition box
42	21
Offsides
0	3
Free Kicks
8	9
Passes
88% (616/700)	81% (328/403)
Long passes
60% (25/42)	30% (14/47)
Passes in final third
81% (216/266)	77% (82/107)
Crosses
13% (2/15)	29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.84	0.95
Fouls
9	8
Tackles
69% (11/16)	55% (11/20)
Duels won
39	44
Clearances Total
25	30
Interceptions
9	13
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	1
xGOT faced
0.06	0.61
Goals prevented
0.06	-0.39

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Lavi N. 🟨,
37', Jebali I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Inukai T. ↓, Harada W. ↑,
57', Jebali I. ↓, Usami T. ↑,
57', Juan Alano ↓, Yamashita R. ↑,
57', Harakawa R. ↓, Yamada Y. ↑,
64', Watai M. ↓, Nakama H. ↑,
65', 1 - 0, Koizumi Y. ⚽,
66', Lavi N. ↓, Suzuki T. ↑,
66', Mitsuta M. ↓, Kurata S. ↑,
77', Hummet D. ↓, Minamino H. ↑,
85', Koizumi Y. ↓, Shirai E. ↑,
85', Kakita Y. ↓, Hosoya M. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Kashiwa Reysol
37.4%

Draw
30.1%

Gamba Osaka
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

29.6%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

29.1%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kashiwa Reysol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kashiwa Reysol's form might have worsened.

Gamba Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kashiwa Reysol, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gamba Osaka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kashiwa Reysol - Gamba Osaka Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.2)	3.1 ↓ (3.18)	2.93 ↓ (3.4)	6.9% (6.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Kashiwa Reysol - Gamba Osaka?

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kashiwa will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Kashiwa (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 and 13).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Kashiwa won 0.
Two teams are playing changeable.
Kashiwa will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Kashiwa: Sugioka D. (Hamstring Injury)
There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Egawa Y. (Injury) Welton (Ankle Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Kashiwa won 9 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 28:26 (average 1.4:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Kashiwa won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:10 (average 1.7:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Kashiwa Reysol won against Gamba Osaka?

Kashiwa Reysol has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Gamba Osaka won against Kashiwa Reysol?

Gamba Osaka has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Kashiwa Reysol - Gamba Osaka were as follows:

11.08.2024 Kashiwa Reysol - Gamba Osaka 0:0

16.06.2024 Gamba Osaka - Kashiwa Reysol 2:1

16.07.2023 Gamba Osaka - Kashiwa Reysol 3:1

18.02.2023 Kashiwa Reysol - Gamba Osaka 2:2

01.10.2022 Gamba Osaka - Kashiwa Reysol 0:0

Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol

02.04.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Kashiwa Reysol 1:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Tokyo Verdy 0:0 ✺

20.03.2025 Azul Claro Numazu - Kashiwa Reysol 0:1 ✺

16.03.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kashiwa Reysol 1:1 ✺

08.03.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Kashima Antlers 1:3 ✺

Latest results of Gamba Osaka

02.04.2025 Gamba Osaka - Machida Zelvia 0:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Albirex Niigata - Gamba Osaka 3:3 ✺

20.03.2025 Kochi United - Gamba Osaka 1:2 ✺

16.03.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Gamba Osaka 2:0 ✺

08.03.2025 Gamba Osaka - Shimizu S-Pulse 1:0 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kyoto	26	14	6	6	43:30	13	48
2	Kashima Antlers	26	15	3	8	38:25	13	48
3	Kashiwa Reysol	25	13	8	4	35:23	12	47
4	Machida	26	14	4	8	39:25	14	46
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	26	14	4	8	30:18	12	46
6	Vissel Kobe	26	14	4	8	34:25	9	46
7	Urawa Reds	26	12	8	6	36:26	10	44
8	Kawasaki Frontale	26	10	9	7	41:32	9	39
9	Cerezo Osaka	26	10	7	9	40:37	3	37
10	Avispa Fukuoka	26	9	9	8	27:26	1	36
11	Gamba Osaka	26	10	4	12	29:35	-6	34
12	Okayama	25	9	6	10	23:22	1	33
13	Shimizu S-Pulse	26	8	7	11	30:35	-5	31
14	Verdy	26	8	7	11	16:25	-9	31
15	FC Tokyo	26	8	6	12	29:37	-8	30
16	Nagoya Grampus	26	7	7	12	30:37	-7	28
17	Shonan Bellmare	26	6	7	13	22:41	-19	25
18	Yokohama F. Marinos	26	6	6	14	26:34	-8	24
19	Yokohama FC	26	6	4	16	16:32	-16	22
20	Albirex Niigata	26	4	8	14	26:45	-19	20

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League