Result
1:0
06/04/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Australia | Optus Sport |
China | QQ Sports |
Hong-kong | myTV SUPER |
India | FanCode, FanCode |
Indonesia | PSJ TV |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.74 | 0.59 |
Ball Possession |
---|
63% | 37% |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
88% (616/700) | 81% (328/403) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.74 | 0.59 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.61 | 0.06 |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
42 | 21 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
8 | 9 |
Passes |
---|
88% (616/700) | 81% (328/403) |
Long passes |
---|
60% (25/42) | 30% (14/47) |
Passes in final third |
---|
81% (216/266) | 77% (82/107) |
Crosses |
---|
13% (2/15) | 29% (4/14) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.84 | 0.95 |
Fouls |
---|
9 | 8 |
Tackles |
---|
69% (11/16) | 55% (11/20) |
Duels won |
---|
39 | 44 |
Clearances Total |
---|
25 | 30 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 13 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.06 | 0.61 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.06 | -0.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 30', Lavi N. 🟨,
- 37', Jebali I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Inukai T. ↓, Harada W. ↑,
- 57', Jebali I. ↓, Usami T. ↑,
- 57', Juan Alano ↓, Yamashita R. ↑,
- 57', Harakawa R. ↓, Yamada Y. ↑,
- 64', Watai M. ↓, Nakama H. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 0, Koizumi Y. ⚽,
- 66', Lavi N. ↓, Suzuki T. ↑,
- 66', Mitsuta M. ↓, Kurata S. ↑,
- 77', Hummet D. ↓, Minamino H. ↑,
- 85', Koizumi Y. ↓, Shirai E. ↑,
- 85', Kakita Y. ↓, Hosoya M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Kashiwa Reysol 37.4% | Draw 30.1% | Gamba Osaka 32.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kashiwa Reysol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kashiwa Reysol's form might have worsened.Gamba Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kashiwa Reysol, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gamba Osaka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Kashiwa Reysol - Gamba Osaka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.47 ↑ (2.2) |
3.1 ↓ (3.18) |
2.93 ↓ (3.4) |
6.9% (6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Kashiwa Reysol - Gamba Osaka?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Kashiwa will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Kashiwa (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 and 13).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Kashiwa won 0.
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- Kashiwa will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Kashiwa: Sugioka D.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Egawa Y.
(Injury)
Welton
(Ankle Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Kashiwa won 9 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 28:26 (average 1.4:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Kashiwa won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:10 (average 1.7:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Kashiwa Reysol won against Gamba Osaka?
Kashiwa Reysol has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gamba Osaka won against Kashiwa Reysol?
Gamba Osaka has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kashiwa Reysol - Gamba Osaka were as follows:
11.08.2024
Kashiwa Reysol
-
Gamba Osaka
0:0
16.06.2024
Gamba Osaka
-
Kashiwa Reysol
2:1
16.07.2023
Gamba Osaka
-
Kashiwa Reysol
3:1
18.02.2023
Kashiwa Reysol
-
Gamba Osaka
2:2
01.10.2022
Gamba Osaka
-
Kashiwa Reysol
0:0
Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol
Latest results of Gamba Osaka
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Vissel Kobe | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 46 |
2 | Kashima Antlers | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 44 |
3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 33:23 | 10 | 44 |
4 | Kyoto | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 42 |
5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 29:18 | 11 | 42 |
6 | Machida | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 40 |
7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 38 |
8 | Urawa Reds | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 32:24 | 8 | 37 |
9 | Cerezo Osaka | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 34 |
10 | Gamba Osaka | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 29:31 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 31 |
12 | Okayama | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 30 |
13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 30 |
14 | FC Tokyo | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
15 | Nagoya Grampus | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 28 |
16 | Verdy | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 15:24 | -9 | 28 |
17 | Shonan Bellmare | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 20:37 | -17 | 24 |
18 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23:32 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Yokohama FC | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 14:30 | -16 | 19 |
20 | Albirex Niigata | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 19 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League