Kashiwa Reysol vs Gamba Osaka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

06/04/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium (Kashiwa).

J1 League - Round 9
Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Optus Sport
China	QQ Sports
Hong-kong	myTV SUPER
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	PSJ TV
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.74	0.59
Ball Possession
63%	37%
Total shots
13	7
Shots on target
2	1
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
8	2
Passes
88% (616/700)	81% (328/403)
Yellow Cards
0	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.74	0.59
xG on target (xGOT)
0.61	0.06
Total shots
13	7
Shots on target
2	1
Shots off target
6	2
Blocked Shots
5	4
Shots inside the Box
8	6
Shots outside the Box
5	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
8	2
Touches in opposition box
42	21
Offsides
0	3
Free Kicks
8	9
Passes
88% (616/700)	81% (328/403)
Long passes
60% (25/42)	30% (14/47)
Passes in final third
81% (216/266)	77% (82/107)
Crosses
13% (2/15)	29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.84	0.95
Fouls
9	8
Tackles
69% (11/16)	55% (11/20)
Duels won
39	44
Clearances Total
25	30
Interceptions
9	13
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	1
xGOT faced
0.06	0.61
Goals prevented
0.06	-0.39

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Lavi N. 🟨,
37', Jebali I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Inukai T. ↓, Harada W. ↑,
57', Jebali I. ↓, Usami T. ↑,
57', Juan Alano ↓, Yamashita R. ↑,
57', Harakawa R. ↓, Yamada Y. ↑,
64', Watai M. ↓, Nakama H. ↑,
65', 1 - 0, Koizumi Y. ⚽,
66', Lavi N. ↓, Suzuki T. ↑,
66', Mitsuta M. ↓, Kurata S. ↑,
77', Hummet D. ↓, Minamino H. ↑,
85', Koizumi Y. ↓, Shirai E. ↑,
85', Kakita Y. ↓, Hosoya M. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Kashiwa Reysol
37.4%

Draw
30.1%

Gamba Osaka
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

29.6%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

29.1%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kashiwa Reysol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kashiwa Reysol's form might have worsened.

Gamba Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kashiwa Reysol, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gamba Osaka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kashiwa Reysol - Gamba Osaka Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.2)	3.1 ↓ (3.18)	2.93 ↓ (3.4)	6.9% (6.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Kashiwa Reysol - Gamba Osaka?

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kashiwa will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Kashiwa (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 and 13).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Kashiwa won 0.
Two teams are playing changeable.
Kashiwa will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Kashiwa: Sugioka D. (Hamstring Injury)
There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Egawa Y. (Injury) Welton (Ankle Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Kashiwa won 9 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 28:26 (average 1.4:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Kashiwa won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:10 (average 1.7:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Kashiwa Reysol won against Gamba Osaka?

Kashiwa Reysol has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Gamba Osaka won against Kashiwa Reysol?

Gamba Osaka has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Kashiwa Reysol - Gamba Osaka were as follows:

11.08.2024 Kashiwa Reysol - Gamba Osaka 0:0

16.06.2024 Gamba Osaka - Kashiwa Reysol 2:1

16.07.2023 Gamba Osaka - Kashiwa Reysol 3:1

18.02.2023 Kashiwa Reysol - Gamba Osaka 2:2

01.10.2022 Gamba Osaka - Kashiwa Reysol 0:0

Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol

02.04.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Kashiwa Reysol 1:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Tokyo Verdy 0:0 ✺

20.03.2025 Azul Claro Numazu - Kashiwa Reysol 0:1 ✺

16.03.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kashiwa Reysol 1:1 ✺

08.03.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Kashima Antlers 1:3 ✺

Latest results of Gamba Osaka

02.04.2025 Gamba Osaka - Machida Zelvia 0:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Albirex Niigata - Gamba Osaka 3:3 ✺

20.03.2025 Kochi United - Gamba Osaka 1:2 ✺

16.03.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Gamba Osaka 2:0 ✺

08.03.2025 Gamba Osaka - Shimizu S-Pulse 1:0 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	24	14	4	6	34:22	12	46
2	Kashima Antlers	24	14	2	8	36:24	12	44
3	Kashiwa Reysol	24	12	8	4	33:23	10	44
4	Kyoto	24	12	6	6	40:29	11	42
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	24	13	3	8	29:18	11	42
6	Machida	24	12	4	8	34:25	9	40
7	Kawasaki Frontale	24	10	8	6	38:26	12	38
8	Urawa Reds	23	10	7	6	32:24	8	37
9	Cerezo Osaka	24	9	7	8	37:33	4	34
10	Gamba Osaka	24	10	4	10	29:31	-2	34
11	Avispa Fukuoka	23	8	7	8	21:23	-2	31
12	Okayama	24	8	6	10	20:22	-2	30
13	Shimizu S-Pulse	24	8	6	10	29:32	-3	30
14	FC Tokyo	24	8	5	11	27:34	-7	29
15	Nagoya Grampus	24	7	7	10	28:33	-5	28
16	Verdy	24	7	7	10	15:24	-9	28
17	Shonan Bellmare	24	6	6	12	20:37	-17	24
18	Yokohama F. Marinos	24	5	6	13	23:32	-9	21
19	Yokohama FC	24	5	4	15	14:30	-16	19
20	Albirex Niigata	24	4	7	13	24:41	-17	19

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League