Result
0:5
18/10/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 34
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Brazil | Canal GOAT |
China | K-Ball |
India | FanCode, FanCode |
Japan | DAZN Japan, NHK BS1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 2.67 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (433/510) | 86% (513/599) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 2.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 3.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (433/510) | 86% (513/599) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (18/39) | 44% (22/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (86/124) | 72% (108/149) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (3/8) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 1.67 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 55% (12/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.15 | 0.41 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.85 | 0.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 7', 0 - 1, Koizumi Y. ⚽, Yamanouchi Y. (A),
- 15', 0 - 2, Nakagawa N. ⚽, Diego (A),
- 19', 0 - 3, Diego ⚽, Koyamatsu T. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Kakita Y. ↓, Hosoya M. ↑,
- 51', 0 - 4, Diego ⚽, Nakagawa N. (A),
- 56', Usami T. ↓, Jebali I. ↑,
- 56', Hummet D. ↓, Yamashita R. ↑,
- 56', Diego ↓, Nakama H. ↑,
- 56', Toshima S. ↓, Harakawa R. ↑,
- 64', Mitsumaru H. ↓, Sugioka D. ↑,
- 66', Kurokawa K. ↓, Hatsuse R. ↑,
- 66', Kishimoto T. ↓, Okunuki K. ↑,
- 73', 0 - 5, Hosoya M. (Pen),
- 77', Koizumi Y. ↓, Segawa Y. ↑,
- 80', Suzuki T. ↓, Mito R. ↑,
- 90+2', Harakawa R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Gamba Osaka 31.7% | Draw 27.7% | Kashiwa Reysol 40.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gamba Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gamba Osaka's form might have worsened.Kashiwa Reysol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kashiwa Reysol's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gamba Osaka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kashiwa Reysol, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Gamba Osaka - Kashiwa Reysol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.19 ↑ (2.49) |
3.59 ↑ (3.45) |
2.39 ↓ (2.68) |
1% (6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Gamba Osaka - Kashiwa Reysol?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Kashiwa will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 2.
- Gamba Osaka has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Kashiwa has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Gamba Osaka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Araki R.
(Inactive)
Hayashi D.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Kashiwa: Kumasaka K.
(Knee Injury)
Tezuka K.
(Knee Injury)
Watai M.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 26:28. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gamba Osaka won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.5:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Gamba Osaka won against Kashiwa Reysol?
Gamba Osaka has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kashiwa Reysol won against Gamba Osaka?
Kashiwa Reysol has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gamba Osaka - Kashiwa Reysol were as follows:
06.04.2025
Kashiwa Reysol
-
Gamba Osaka
1:0
11.08.2024
Kashiwa Reysol
-
Gamba Osaka
0:0
16.06.2024
Gamba Osaka
-
Kashiwa Reysol
2:1
16.07.2023
Gamba Osaka
-
Kashiwa Reysol
3:1
18.02.2023
Kashiwa Reysol
-
Gamba Osaka
2:2
Latest results of Gamba Osaka
Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 53:29 | 24 | 67 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 55:33 | 22 | 66 |
| 3 | Kyoto | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 59:37 | 22 | 62 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 43:28 | 15 | 61 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 39:26 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Machida | 35 | 16 | 9 | 10 | 49:35 | 14 | 57 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 35 | 15 | 11 | 9 | 65:50 | 15 | 56 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 40:36 | 4 | 53 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 35 | 16 | 5 | 14 | 48:52 | -4 | 53 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 54:50 | 4 | 49 |
| 11 | FC Tokyo | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 39:47 | -8 | 45 |
| 12 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 39:44 | -5 | 44 |
| 13 | Verdy | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 22:36 | -14 | 42 |
| 14 | Avispa Fukuoka | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 32:37 | -5 | 41 |
| 15 | Okayama | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 31:40 | -9 | 41 |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 40 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 39:44 | -5 | 37 |
| 18 | Yokohama FC | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 23:41 | -18 | 32 |
| 19 | Shonan Bellmare | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29:58 | -29 | 26 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 34 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 30:56 | -26 | 22 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League