Result
2:0
22/06/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Optus Sport |
 China | K-Ball |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Indonesia | PSJ TV |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.11 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (225/292) | 83% (318/384) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 0.87 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (225/292) | 83% (318/384) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (18/48) | 31% (11/36) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (69/109) | 57% (56/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/13) | 50% (5/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.41 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (15/24) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.74 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.87 | -0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', Abe S. 🟨,
- 18', Shirai K. ↓, Bangnagande K. ↑,
- 32', Higashi K. 🟨,
- 33', 1 - 0, Usami T. ⚽,
- 40', Marcelo Ryan 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', Marcelo Ryan (Pen),
- 64', Yamashita R. ↓, Juan Alano ↑,
- 64', Lavi N. ↓, Suzuki T. ↑,
- 65', Higashi K. ↓, Nagakura M. ↑,
- 65', Endo K. ↓, Anzai S. ↑,
- 65', Tawaratsumida K. ↓, Sato K. ↑,
- 78', Usami T. ↓, Mitsuta M. ↑,
- 78', Welton ↓, Kishimoto T. ↑,
- 84', Marcelo Ryan ↓, Nakagawa T. ↑,
- 85', Abe S. ↓, Kurata S. ↑,
- 90+4', 2 - 0, Kishimoto T. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Gamba Osaka
50.7% | Draw
26.3% | Tokyo
23% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Gamba Osaka - Tokyo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.88 ↓
(2) |
3.62 ↑
(3.47) |
4.08 ↑
(3.91) |
5.2%
(4.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Gamba Osaka - Tokyo?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Tokyo will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gamba Osaka: 42% – 87.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 17).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 2.
- Gamba Osaka has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Tokyo is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Gamba Osaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Gamba Osaka is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Okunuki K.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Tokyo: Arai Y.
(Inactive)
Henrique Trevisan
(Inactive)
Kobayashi M.
(Inactive)
Ogashiwa T.
(Injury)
Yamaguchi T.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:23. (average 0.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gamba Osaka won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 1.1:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Gamba Osaka won against Tokyo?
Gamba Osaka has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo won against Gamba Osaka?
Tokyo has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gamba Osaka - Tokyo were as follows:
25.04.2025
Tokyo
-
Gamba Osaka
3:0
07.08.2024
Gamba Osaka
-
Tokyo
0:0
26.05.2024
Tokyo
-
Gamba Osaka
0:1
01.10.2023
Tokyo
-
Gamba Osaka
3:0
11.06.2023
Gamba Osaka
-
Tokyo
3:1
Latest results of Gamba Osaka
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 58:31 | 27 | 76 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 38 | 21 | 12 | 5 | 60:34 | 26 | 75 |
| 3 | Kyoto | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 62:40 | 22 | 68 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 46:28 | 18 | 68 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 46:33 | 13 | 64 |
| 6 | Machida | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 52:38 | 14 | 60 |
| 7 | Urawa Reds | 38 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 45:39 | 6 | 59 |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 38 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 67:57 | 10 | 57 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 38 | 17 | 6 | 15 | 53:55 | -2 | 57 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 60:57 | 3 | 52 |
| 11 | FC Tokyo | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 41:48 | -7 | 50 |
| 12 | Avispa Fukuoka | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 34:38 | -4 | 48 |
| 13 | Okayama | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 34:43 | -9 | 45 |
| 14 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 41:51 | -10 | 44 |
| 15 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 46:47 | -1 | 43 |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 44:56 | -12 | 43 |
| 17 | Verdy | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 23:41 | -18 | 43 |
| 18 | Yokohama FC | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 27:45 | -18 | 35 |
| 19 | Shonan Bellmare | 38 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 36:63 | -27 | 32 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 38 | 4 | 12 | 22 | 36:67 | -31 | 24 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
