Gamba Osaka vs Tokyo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

22/06/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Panasonic Stadium Suita (Suita).

J1 League - Round 21
Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Optus Sport
China	K-Ball
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	PSJ TV
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.89	1.11
Ball Possession
44%	56%
Total shots
14	7
Shots on target
5	2
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
5	1
Passes
77% (225/292)	83% (318/384)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89	1.11
xG on target (xGOT)
1.74	0.87
Total shots
14	7
Shots on target
5	2
Shots off target
5	5
Blocked Shots
4	0
Shots inside the Box
4	4
Shots outside the Box
10	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
5	1
Touches in opposition box
17	15
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	1
Free Kicks
11	10
Passes
77% (225/292)	83% (318/384)
Long passes
38% (18/48)	31% (11/36)
Passes in final third
63% (69/109)	57% (56/98)
Crosses
0% (0/13)	50% (5/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.51	0.41
Throw-ins
17	26
Fouls
10	11
Tackles
63% (15/24)	69% (9/13)
Duels won
46	43
Clearances
23	30
Interceptions
9	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	3
xGOT faced
0.87	1.74
Goals prevented
0.87	-0.26

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Abe S. 🟨,
18', Shirai K. ↓, Bangnagande K. ↑,
32', Higashi K. 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Usami T. ⚽,
40', Marcelo Ryan 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Marcelo Ryan (Pen),
64', Yamashita R. ↓, Juan Alano ↑,
64', Lavi N. ↓, Suzuki T. ↑,
65', Higashi K. ↓, Nagakura M. ↑,
65', Endo K. ↓, Anzai S. ↑,
65', Tawaratsumida K. ↓, Sato K. ↑,
78', Usami T. ↓, Mitsuta M. ↑,
78', Welton ↓, Kishimoto T. ↑,
84', Marcelo Ryan ↓, Nakagawa T. ↑,
85', Abe S. ↓, Kurata S. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 0, Kishimoto T. ⚽,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning

Gamba Osaka
50.7%

Draw
26.3%

Tokyo
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

27.6%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

24.6%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gamba Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Tokyo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gamba Osaka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Gamba Osaka - Tokyo Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2)	3.62 ↑ (3.47)	4.08 ↑ (3.91)	5.2% (4.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Gamba Osaka - Tokyo?

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Tokyo will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gamba Osaka: 42% – 87.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).

BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 17).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 2.
Gamba Osaka has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Tokyo is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Gamba Osaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Gamba Osaka is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Okunuki K. (Injury)
There will not play in Tokyo: Arai Y. (Inactive) Henrique Trevisan (Inactive) Kobayashi M. (Inactive) Ogashiwa T. (Injury) Yamaguchi T. (Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:23. (average 0.8:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Gamba Osaka won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 1.1:0.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Gamba Osaka won against Tokyo?

Gamba Osaka has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo won against Gamba Osaka?

Tokyo has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Gamba Osaka - Tokyo were as follows:

25.04.2025 Tokyo - Gamba Osaka 3:0

07.08.2024 Gamba Osaka - Tokyo 0:0

26.05.2024 Tokyo - Gamba Osaka 0:1

01.10.2023 Tokyo - Gamba Osaka 3:0

11.06.2023 Gamba Osaka - Tokyo 3:1

Latest results of Gamba Osaka

18.06.2025 Gamba Osaka - Veertien Mie 2:1 ✺

15.06.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Gamba Osaka 0:0 ✺

31.05.2025 Gamba Osaka - Kashima Antlers 0:1 ✺

25.05.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Gamba Osaka 2:2 ✺

21.05.2025 Júbilo Iwata - Gamba Osaka 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Tokyo

18.06.2025 Tokyo - Zweigen Kanazawa 3:1 ✺

14.06.2025 Tokyo - Cerezo Osaka 2:2 ✺

31.05.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Tokyo 3:0 ✺

25.05.2025 Tokyo - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0:3 ✺

21.05.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo 1:0 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kyoto	28	16	6	6	52:30	22	54
2	Kashiwa Reysol	28	15	8	5	42:28	14	53
3	Vissel Kobe	29	16	5	8	37:26	11	53
4	Kashima Antlers	28	16	4	8	41:27	14	52
5	Machida	29	15	5	9	45:31	14	50
6	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	29	15	5	9	34:20	14	50
7	Urawa Reds	28	13	8	7	39:30	9	47
8	Kawasaki Frontale	28	12	9	7	50:38	12	45
9	Gamba Osaka	29	12	4	13	38:44	-6	40
10	Cerezo Osaka	28	10	9	9	42:39	3	39
11	Okayama	28	11	6	11	26:28	-2	39
12	Avispa Fukuoka	28	9	10	9	28:28	0	37
13	Shimizu S-Pulse	28	8	9	11	31:36	-5	33
14	Verdy	28	8	8	12	16:28	-12	32
15	FC Tokyo	28	8	7	13	30:42	-12	31
16	Nagoya Grampus	28	7	8	13	34:42	-8	29
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	28	6	7	15	26:35	-9	25
18	Shonan Bellmare	28	6	7	15	26:47	-21	25
19	Yokohama FC	28	6	5	17	18:35	-17	23
20	Albirex Niigata	28	4	8	16	27:48	-21	20

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League