Result
2:0
22/06/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Australia | Optus Sport |
China | K-Ball |
India | FanCode, FanCode |
Indonesia | PSJ TV |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.89 | 1.11 |
Ball Possession |
---|
44% | 56% |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 1 |
Passes |
---|
77% (225/292) | 83% (318/384) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.89 | 1.11 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.74 | 0.87 |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
4 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
10 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 1 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
17 | 15 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 10 |
Passes |
---|
77% (225/292) | 83% (318/384) |
Long passes |
---|
38% (18/48) | 31% (11/36) |
Passes in final third |
---|
63% (69/109) | 57% (56/98) |
Crosses |
---|
0% (0/13) | 50% (5/10) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.51 | 0.41 |
Throw-ins |
---|
17 | 26 |
Fouls |
---|
10 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
63% (15/24) | 69% (9/13) |
Duels won |
---|
46 | 43 |
Clearances |
---|
23 | 30 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.87 | 1.74 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.87 | -0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', Abe S. 🟨,
- 18', Shirai K. ↓, Bangnagande K. ↑,
- 32', Higashi K. 🟨,
- 33', 1 - 0, Usami T. ⚽,
- 40', Marcelo Ryan 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', Marcelo Ryan (Pen),
- 64', Yamashita R. ↓, Juan Alano ↑,
- 64', Lavi N. ↓, Suzuki T. ↑,
- 65', Higashi K. ↓, Nagakura M. ↑,
- 65', Endo K. ↓, Anzai S. ↑,
- 65', Tawaratsumida K. ↓, Sato K. ↑,
- 78', Usami T. ↓, Mitsuta M. ↑,
- 78', Welton ↓, Kishimoto T. ↑,
- 84', Marcelo Ryan ↓, Nakagawa T. ↑,
- 85', Abe S. ↓, Kurata S. ↑,
- 90+4', 2 - 0, Kishimoto T. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Gamba Osaka 50.7% | Draw 26.3% | Tokyo 23% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gamba Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Tokyo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (-8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gamba Osaka that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Gamba Osaka - Tokyo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.88 ↓ (2) |
3.62 ↑ (3.47) |
4.08 ↑ (3.91) |
5.2% (4.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Gamba Osaka - Tokyo?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Tokyo will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gamba Osaka: 42% – 87.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
- BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 17).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 2.
- Gamba Osaka has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Tokyo is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Gamba Osaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Gamba Osaka is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Okunuki K.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Tokyo: Arai Y.
(Inactive)
Henrique Trevisan
(Inactive)
Kobayashi M.
(Inactive)
Ogashiwa T.
(Injury)
Yamaguchi T.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:23. (average 0.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gamba Osaka won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 1.1:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Gamba Osaka won against Tokyo?
Gamba Osaka has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo won against Gamba Osaka?
Tokyo has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gamba Osaka - Tokyo were as follows:
25.04.2025
Tokyo
-
Gamba Osaka
3:0
07.08.2024
Gamba Osaka
-
Tokyo
0:0
26.05.2024
Tokyo
-
Gamba Osaka
0:1
01.10.2023
Tokyo
-
Gamba Osaka
3:0
11.06.2023
Gamba Osaka
-
Tokyo
3:1
Latest results of Gamba Osaka
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Vissel Kobe | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 46 |
2 | Kashima Antlers | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 44 |
3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 33:23 | 10 | 44 |
4 | Kyoto | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 42 |
5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 29:18 | 11 | 42 |
6 | Machida | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 40 |
7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 38 |
8 | Urawa Reds | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 32:24 | 8 | 37 |
9 | Cerezo Osaka | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 34 |
10 | Gamba Osaka | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 29:31 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 31 |
12 | Okayama | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 30 |
13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 30 |
14 | FC Tokyo | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
15 | Nagoya Grampus | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 28 |
16 | Verdy | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 15:24 | -9 | 28 |
17 | Shonan Bellmare | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 20:37 | -17 | 24 |
18 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23:32 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Yokohama FC | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 14:30 | -16 | 19 |
20 | Albirex Niigata | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 19 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League