Gamba Osaka vs Tokyo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

22/06/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Panasonic Stadium Suita (Suita).

J1 League - Round 21
Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Optus Sport
China	K-Ball
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	PSJ TV
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.89	1.11
Ball Possession
44%	56%
Total shots
14	7
Shots on target
5	2
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
5	1
Passes
77% (225/292)	83% (318/384)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89	1.11
xG on target (xGOT)
1.74	0.87
Total shots
14	7
Shots on target
5	2
Shots off target
5	5
Blocked Shots
4	0
Shots inside the Box
4	4
Shots outside the Box
10	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
5	1
Touches in opposition box
17	15
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	1
Free Kicks
11	10
Passes
77% (225/292)	83% (318/384)
Long passes
38% (18/48)	31% (11/36)
Passes in final third
63% (69/109)	57% (56/98)
Crosses
0% (0/13)	50% (5/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.51	0.41
Throw-ins
17	26
Fouls
10	11
Tackles
63% (15/24)	69% (9/13)
Duels won
46	43
Clearances
23	30
Interceptions
9	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	3
xGOT faced
0.87	1.74
Goals prevented
0.87	-0.26

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Abe S. 🟨,
18', Shirai K. ↓, Bangnagande K. ↑,
32', Higashi K. 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Usami T. ⚽,
40', Marcelo Ryan 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Marcelo Ryan (Pen),
64', Yamashita R. ↓, Juan Alano ↑,
64', Lavi N. ↓, Suzuki T. ↑,
65', Higashi K. ↓, Nagakura M. ↑,
65', Endo K. ↓, Anzai S. ↑,
65', Tawaratsumida K. ↓, Sato K. ↑,
78', Usami T. ↓, Mitsuta M. ↑,
78', Welton ↓, Kishimoto T. ↑,
84', Marcelo Ryan ↓, Nakagawa T. ↑,
85', Abe S. ↓, Kurata S. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 0, Kishimoto T. ⚽,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning

Gamba Osaka
50.7%

Draw
26.3%

Tokyo
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

27.6%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

24.6%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gamba Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Tokyo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gamba Osaka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Gamba Osaka - Tokyo Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2)	3.62 ↑ (3.47)	4.08 ↑ (3.91)	5.2% (4.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Gamba Osaka - Tokyo?

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Tokyo will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gamba Osaka: 42% – 87.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).

BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 17).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 2.
Gamba Osaka has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Tokyo is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Gamba Osaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Gamba Osaka is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Okunuki K. (Injury)
There will not play in Tokyo: Arai Y. (Inactive) Henrique Trevisan (Inactive) Kobayashi M. (Inactive) Ogashiwa T. (Injury) Yamaguchi T. (Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:23. (average 0.8:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Gamba Osaka won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 1.1:0.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Gamba Osaka won against Tokyo?

Gamba Osaka has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo won against Gamba Osaka?

Tokyo has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Gamba Osaka - Tokyo were as follows:

25.04.2025 Tokyo - Gamba Osaka 3:0

07.08.2024 Gamba Osaka - Tokyo 0:0

26.05.2024 Tokyo - Gamba Osaka 0:1

01.10.2023 Tokyo - Gamba Osaka 3:0

11.06.2023 Gamba Osaka - Tokyo 3:1

Latest results of Gamba Osaka

18.06.2025 Gamba Osaka - Veertien Mie 2:1 ✺

15.06.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Gamba Osaka 0:0 ✺

31.05.2025 Gamba Osaka - Kashima Antlers 0:1 ✺

25.05.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Gamba Osaka 2:2 ✺

21.05.2025 Júbilo Iwata - Gamba Osaka 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Tokyo

18.06.2025 Tokyo - Zweigen Kanazawa 3:1 ✺

14.06.2025 Tokyo - Cerezo Osaka 2:2 ✺

31.05.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Tokyo 3:0 ✺

25.05.2025 Tokyo - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0:3 ✺

21.05.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo 1:0 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	31	19	4	8	48:28	20	61
2	Vissel Kobe	31	17	6	8	41:26	15	57
3	Kyoto	31	16	8	7	54:33	21	56
4	Kashiwa Reysol	31	15	11	5	43:29	14	56
5	Machida	31	15	7	9	47:33	14	52
6	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	31	15	7	9	35:21	14	52
7	Kawasaki Frontale	31	14	9	8	55:40	15	51
8	Urawa Reds	31	13	9	9	39:32	7	48
9	Gamba Osaka	31	14	4	13	42:45	-3	46
10	Cerezo Osaka	31	11	10	10	48:45	3	43
11	Shimizu S-Pulse	31	10	10	11	33:36	-3	40
12	Okayama	31	11	7	13	28:33	-5	40
13	FC Tokyo	31	11	7	13	33:42	-9	40
14	Avispa Fukuoka	31	9	10	12	30:35	-5	37
15	Nagoya Grampus	31	9	9	13	38:43	-5	36
16	Verdy	31	9	8	14	20:35	-15	35
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	31	7	7	17	29:41	-12	28
18	Yokohama FC	31	7	7	17	20:36	-16	28
19	Shonan Bellmare	31	6	7	18	28:55	-27	25
20	Albirex Niigata	31	4	9	18	27:50	-23	21

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