Gangwon vs Machida Zelvia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football AFC Champions League
Result
1:3
25/11/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 5
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
australiaAustraliaParamount+
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
chinaChinaiQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 2
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 1
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
israelIsraelSport 3
japanJapanDAZN Japan
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
pakistanPakistanTapmad
russiaRussiaTV Start
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
ukraineUkraineSport 1
worldWorldSport 1 Baltic

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.761.38
Ball Possession
68%32%
Total shots
119
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
90
Passes
80% (458/575)71% (195/276)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.761.38
xG on target (xGOT)
1.181.31
Total shots
119
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
90
Touches in opposition box
2017
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
162
Passes
80% (458/575)71% (195/276)
Long passes
44% (35/80)46% (25/54)
Passes in final third
56% (77/137)54% (52/97)
Crosses
15% (4/27)25% (1/4)
Expected assists (xA)
0.901.00
Throw-ins
2214
Fouls
216
Tackles
50% (3/6)71% (5/7)
Duels won
5040
Clearances
1257
Interceptions
616
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
1.311.18
Goals prevented
-1.690.18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 24', 0 - 1, Sento K. ⚽, Masuyama A. (A),
  • 27', Lee Seung-Won 🟨,
  • 28', 0 - 2, Shimoda H. ⚽,
  • 39', 0 - 3, Oh Se-Hun ⚽, Sento K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Lee Seung-Won ↓, Kim Kang-Guk ↑,
  • 46', Na Sang-Ho ↓, Soma Y. ↑,
  • 46', Shin Min-Ha ↓, Lee Gi-Hyuk ↑,
  • 46', Tuci M. ↓, Park H. ↑,
  • 55', 1 - 3, Park H. ⚽, Kim Dae-Won (A),
  • 64', Oh Se-Hun ↓, Fujio S. ↑,
  • 72', Masuyama A. ↓, Shoji G. ↑,
  • 72', Sento K. ↓, Duke M. ↑,
  • 74', Song Jun-Seok ↓, Kim Do-Hyun ↑,
  • 76', Nakayama Y. 🟨,
  • 90', Shimoda H. ↓, Lavi N. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/muaut7f8

Official Live

Chances of winning


Gangwon
28.9%		Draw
31.6%		Machida Zelvia
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.8% 28.9% 39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8% 29.8% 38.1%

Gangwon - Machida Zelvia Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 3.26 ↑
(3)		 2.98 ↓
(3.3)		 2.39 ↓
(2.43)		 6.1%
(4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Gangwon - Machida Zelvia?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Gangwon will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Machida Zelvia: 46.4% – 99%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Gangwon (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Machida Zelvia (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.25 - Machida Zelvia (2.01) (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Machida Zelvia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Gangwon has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Machida Zelvia has had a series of home games.
    • Machida Zelvia might have a minor edge in this game.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Gangwon
    22.11.2025 Daejeon Citizen - Gangwon 1:1 ✺
    08.11.2025 Gimcheon Sangmu - Gangwon 0:1 ✺
    04.11.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Gangwon 1:0 ✺
    01.11.2025 Gangwon - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors 0:0 ✺
    26.10.2025 FC Seoul - Gangwon 4:2 ✺
    Latest results of Machida Zelvia
    22.11.2025 Machida Zelvia - Vissel Kobe 3:1 ✺
    15.11.2025 Machida Zelvia - Tokyo 2:0
    09.11.2025 Machida Zelvia - Tokyo 0:1
    04.11.2025 Machida Zelvia - Melbourne City 1:2 ✺
    25.10.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Machida Zelvia 0:0 ✺
    AFC Champions League Table
    League phase

    East
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vissel Kobe ✔ 641112:6613
    2Machida ✔ 632110:5511
    3Sanfrecce Hiroshima ✔ 63216:3311
    4Melbourne City ✔ 63127:6110
    5Seoul62318:539
    6Johor DT62226:518
    7Buriram62227:8-18
    8Ulsan HD62225:6-18
    9Gangwon62139:11-27
    10Chengdu Rongcheng61325:7-26
    11Shanghai Shenhua61145:9-44
    12Shanghai Port60242:11-92


    West
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Hilal ✔ 660015:51018
    2Tractor ✔ 642010:2814
    3Al Ahli SC641117:61113
    4Al Wahda ✔ 641110:5513
    5Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai631211:10110
    6Al Ittihad630311:839
    7Al-Duhail621313:1217
    8Al Sharjah62136:13-77
    9Al-Gharafa62047:12-56
    10Al-Sadd61239:12-35
    11Al Shorta60152:17-151
    12Nasaf Qarshi60066:15-90

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Vissel Kobe is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Machida is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Melbourne City is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Al Hilal is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Tractor is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Al Wahda is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
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