Result
1:3
25/11/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 China | iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | SportKlub 2 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Georgia | Silk Sport 1 |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV, M Plus Live |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Malaysia | Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Russia | TV Start |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Ukraine | Sport 1 |
 World | Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (458/575) | 71% (195/276) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.31 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (458/575) | 71% (195/276) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (35/80) | 46% (25/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (77/137) | 54% (52/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (4/27) | 25% (1/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 1.00 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 2 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (3/6) | 71% (5/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 57 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.31 | 1.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.69 | 0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 24', 0 - 1, Sento K. ⚽, Masuyama A. (A),
- 27', Lee Seung-Won 🟨,
- 28', 0 - 2, Shimoda H. ⚽,
- 39', 0 - 3, Oh Se-Hun ⚽, Sento K. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Lee Seung-Won ↓, Kim Kang-Guk ↑,
- 46', Na Sang-Ho ↓, Soma Y. ↑,
- 46', Shin Min-Ha ↓, Lee Gi-Hyuk ↑,
- 46', Tuci M. ↓, Park H. ↑,
- 55', 1 - 3, Park H. ⚽, Kim Dae-Won (A),
- 64', Oh Se-Hun ↓, Fujio S. ↑,
- 72', Masuyama A. ↓, Shoji G. ↑,
- 72', Sento K. ↓, Duke M. ↑,
- 74', Song Jun-Seok ↓, Kim Do-Hyun ↑,
- 76', Nakayama Y. 🟨,
- 90', Shimoda H. ↓, Lavi N. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/muaut7f8
Chances of winning
Gangwon
28.9% | Draw
31.6% | Machida Zelvia
39.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Gangwon - Machida Zelvia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.26 ↑
(3) |
2.98 ↓
(3.3) |
2.39 ↓
(2.43) |
6.1%
(4.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Gangwon - Machida Zelvia?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Gangwon will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Machida Zelvia: 46.4% – 99%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Gangwon (votes: 1 - 20%). Machida Zelvia (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.25 - Machida Zelvia (2.01) (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Gangwon (votes: 2 - 20%). Machida Zelvia (votes: 6 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Machida Zelvia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Gangwon has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Machida Zelvia has had a series of home games.
- Machida Zelvia might have a minor edge in this game.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Gangwon won against Machida Zelvia?
Gangwon has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Machida Zelvia won against Gangwon?
Machida Zelvia has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gangwon - Machida Zelvia were as follows:
Latest results of Gangwon
Latest results of Machida Zelvia
AFC Champions League Table
League phaseEast | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe ✔ | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14:6 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 | Machida ✔ | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima ✔ | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 14 |
| 4 | Melbourne City | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 13 |
| 5 | Buriram | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 11 |
| 6 | Seoul | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 9 |
| 7 | Johor DT | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:7 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | Gangwon | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 8 |
| 9 | Ulsan HD | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 6 |
| 11 | Shanghai Shenhua | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:11 | -6 | 4 |
| 12 | Shanghai Port | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2:11 | -9 | 3 |
West | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Hilal ✔ | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15:5 | 10 | 19 |
| 2 | Al Ahli SC ✔ | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 17:6 | 11 | 14 |
| 3 | Tractor ✔ | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Al Wahda ✔ | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 14 |
| 5 | Al Ittihad ✔ | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 18:8 | 10 | 12 |
| 6 | Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 11 |
| 7 | Al-Duhail | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | Al-Sadd | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 8 |
| 9 | Al Sharjah | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:14 | -7 | 8 |
| 10 | Al-Gharafa | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7:19 | -12 | 6 |
| 11 | Al Shorta | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3:18 | -15 | 2 |
| 12 | Nasaf Qarshi | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7:16 | -9 | 1 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Vissel Kobe is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Machida is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Al Hilal is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Al Ahli SC is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Tractor is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Al Wahda is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Al Ittihad is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
