Result
0:0
03/03/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- AFC Champions League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2 |
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 China | iQIYI |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV, M Plus Live |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
 Malaysia | Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Russia | TV Start |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Vietnam | TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.68 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (415/510) | 79% (294/372) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.68 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.28 | 0.71 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (415/510) | 79% (294/372) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (20/59) | 46% (29/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (68/110) | 57% (54/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 37% (7/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.25 | 0.91 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (14/16) | 36% (4/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 24', Nakamura H. 🟨,
- 31', Seo Min-Woo 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 52', Mo Jae-Hyeon 🟨,
- 59', Na Sang-Ho ↓, Nishimura T. ↑,
- 59', Yengi T. ↓, Fujio S. ↑,
- 60', Park Sang-Hyeok ↓, Hleihel A. ↑,
- 71', Goh Young-Jun ↓, Kim Dae-Won ↑,
- 71', Mo Jae-Hyeon ↓, Kang Y. ↑,
- 81', Seo Min-Woo ↓, Lee You-Hyeon ↑,
- 81', Song Jun-Seok ↓, Kim Do-Hyun ↑,
- 86', Shimoda H. ↓, Lavi N. ↑,
- 86', Nakamura H. ↓, Hayashi K. ↑,
- 90+1', Soma Y. ↓, Kuwayama K. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/4ckkdex6
Chances of winning
Gangwon
21.5% | Draw
31% | Machida Zelvia
47.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gangwon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gangwon's form might have worsened.Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Machida Zelvia's recent form is better than expected.
Gangwon - Machida Zelvia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.37 ↑
(3.28) |
3.03 ↓
(3.15) |
1.98 ↓
(2.22) |
6.4%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Gangwon - Machida Zelvia?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Gangwon will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 7 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Machida Zelvia: 23.8% – 76.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- First leg.
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Machida Zelvia is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Machida Zelvia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Machida Zelvia might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gangwon won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
- Including home match between the teams, Gangwon won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Gangwon won against Machida Zelvia?
Gangwon has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Machida Zelvia won against Gangwon?
Machida Zelvia has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gangwon - Machida Zelvia were as follows:
25.11.2025
Gangwon
-
Machida Zelvia
1:3
Latest results of Gangwon
Latest results of Machida Zelvia
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Al Hilal (1) | Al-Sadd (8) | |
| 2 | Al Ahli SC (2) | Al-Duhail (7) | |
| 3 | Tractor (3) | Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai (6) | |
| 4 | Al Ittihad (4) | Al Wahda (5) | |
| 5 | Machida (1) | Gangwon (8) | 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Vissel Kobe (2) | Seoul (7) | 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (3) | Johor DT (6) | 1 : 3 |
| 8 | Buriram (4) | Melbourne City (5) | 1 : 1 |
