Pen-y-Bont vs Gap Connahs Quay – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Welsh Cymru Premier Pen-y-Bont - Gap Connahs Quay
Result
1:0
04/01/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WALES: Cymru Premier - Round 19
  • Referee: McInch A. (Wal)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
46%54%
Goal Attempts
87
Shots on Goal
31
Shots off Goal
56
Corner Kicks
44
Goalkeeper Saves
12
Yellow Cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 40', Ludvigsen K. , Little M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Borge B. , Georgievsky K. ,
  • 54', 1 - 0, Reffell K. ,
  • 63', Roberts D. , Berry T. ,
  • 76', Williams A. , Maher B. ,
  • 79', Pritchard O. , Ware L. ,
  • 86', Little M. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Disney J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Pen-y-Bont
49.4%
Draw
27%
Gap Connahs Quay
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.6% 24.1% 19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4% 25.3% 18.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pen-y-Bont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pen-y-Bont's form might have worsened.
  • Gap Connahs Quay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pen-y-Bont than the current prediction. (+10%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pen-y-Bont, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gap Connahs Quay than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gap Connahs Quay, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Pen-y-Bont - Gap Connahs Quay Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.88
    (1.64)
    3.45
    (3.84)
    3.95
    (4.81)
    7.5%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Pen-y-Bont - Gap Connahs Quay?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Pen-y-Bont will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Connahs Quay will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Pen-y-Bont is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Championship Group )
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Pen-y-Bont won 1.
    • Now both teams are in good shape.
    • Pen-y-Bont could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Pen-y-Bont is a favorite.
    • Last 16 head-to-head matches Pen-y-Bont won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 9:16 (average 0.6:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Pen-y-Bont won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:6 (average 0.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pen-y-Bont - Gap Connahs Quay were as follows:
    15.09.2024 Gap Connahs Quay - Pen-y-Bont 0:1
    13.01.2024 Pen-y-Bont - Gap Connahs Quay 0:1
    30.09.2023 Gap Connahs Quay - Pen-y-Bont 4:2
    15.04.2023 Gap Connahs Quay - Pen-y-Bont 0:0
    11.03.2023 Pen-y-Bont - Gap Connahs Quay 1:1
    Latest results of Pen-y-Bont
    Latest results of Gap Connahs Quay
    Welsh Cymru Premier Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Colwyn Bay00000:000
    2Caernarfon00000:000
    3Connahs Q00000:000
    4Haverfordwest00000:000
    5Llanelli00000:000
    6TNS00000:000
    7Flint00000:000
    8Briton Ferry00000:000
    9Bala00000:000
    10Barry00000:000
    11Cardiff Metropolitan00000:000
    12Penybont00000:000

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