Result
0:0
14/02/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Cymru Premier - Championship Group - Round 25
- Referee: Markham-Jones B. (Wal)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | BBC iPlayer, S4C Clic, S4C |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 55', Poole D. ↓, Bratley C. ↑,
- 60', Williams N. ↓, Warlow O. ↑,
- 66', Hughes R. 🟨,
- 68', Sharif A. ↓, Kenny J. ↑,
- 75', Baker A. ↓, Cvetkovic A. ↑,
- 75', Cann E. ↓, Daley N. ↑,
- 83', Woodcock M. ↓, Ismail Z. ↑,
- 87', Wood N. ↓, Phillips I. ↑,
- 90+4', Woodiwiss J. 🟨,
- 90+4', 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/5d7n43kc
Chances of winning
Pen-y-Bont
25.4% | Draw
27.5% | Gap Connahs Quay
47% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pen-y-Bont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pen-y-Bont's form might have worsened.Gap Connahs Quay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gap Connahs Quay's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pen-y-Bont than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pen-y-Bont, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gap Connahs Quay than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gap Connahs Quay, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Pen-y-Bont - Gap Connahs Quay Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.64 ↑
(2.79) |
3.36 ↑
(3.34) |
1.97 ↓
(2.3) |
8.1%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pen-y-Bont won 2.
- Recent performances by Pen-y-Bont have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Connahs Quay is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Connahs Quay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Connahs Quay will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Pen-y-Bont won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 10:21. (average 0.5:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pen-y-Bont won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Pen-y-Bont won against Gap Connahs Quay?
Pen-y-Bont has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gap Connahs Quay won against Pen-y-Bont?
Gap Connahs Quay has won 6 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pen-y-Bont - Gap Connahs Quay were as follows:
08.11.2025
Gap Connahs Quay
-
Pen-y-Bont
4:0
30.08.2025
Pen-y-Bont
-
Gap Connahs Quay
0:1
04.01.2025
Pen-y-Bont
-
Gap Connahs Quay
1:0
15.09.2024
Gap Connahs Quay
-
Pen-y-Bont
0:1
13.01.2024
Pen-y-Bont
-
Gap Connahs Quay
0:1
Latest results of Pen-y-Bont
Latest results of Gap Connahs Quay
Welsh Cymru Premier Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | TNS | 27 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 72:21 | 51 | 68 |
| 2 | Connahs Q | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 52:31 | 21 | 50 |
| 3 | Penybont | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 37:41 | -4 | 40 |
| 4 | Caernarfon | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 49:37 | 12 | 39 |
| 5 | Barry | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 37:27 | 10 | 39 |
| 6 | Colwyn Bay | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 37 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
