Pen-y-Bont vs Gap Connahs Quay – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Welsh Cymru Premier Pen-y-Bont - Gap Connahs Quay
Result
0:1
30/08/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Cymru Premier - Round 5
  • Referee: Jones J. A. (Wal)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
711
Shots on target
24
Corner Kicks
46
Yellow Cards
65
Total shots
711
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
57
Corner Kicks
46
Goalkeeper Saves
32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 26', Kircough G. 🟨,
  • 29', Nash B. 🟨,
  • 29', Borge B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 54', Edwards N. 🟨,
  • 55', Hughes R. 🟨,
  • 69', Ismail Z. , Woodcock M. ,
  • 77', Daley N. , Venables C. ,
  • 79', Baker A. , Cvetkovic A. ,
  • 80', 0 - 1, Hughes R. ,
  • 81', Poole D. 🟨,
  • 83', Woodcock M. , Roberts D. ,
  • 83', Borge B. , Clay J. ,
  • 84', Green C. 🟨,
  • 85', Clay J. 🟨,
  • 87', Franklin H. , Oswell J. ,
  • 90+3', Daley N. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Sharif A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Pen-y-Bont
47.5%
Draw
26.9%
Gap Connahs Quay
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.9% 20.7% 18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63% 20% 17.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pen-y-Bont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pen-y-Bont's form might have worsened.
  • Gap Connahs Quay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gap Connahs Quay's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pen-y-Bont than the current prediction. (+15.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pen-y-Bont, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gap Connahs Quay than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gap Connahs Quay, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Pen-y-Bont - Gap Connahs Quay Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.94
    (1.5)
    3.43
    (4.43)
    3.6
    (4.97)
    8.5%
    (9.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Pen-y-Bont - Gap Connahs Quay?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Pen-y-Bont (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pen-y-Bont won 2.
    • Pen-y-Bont is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Connahs Quay has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Pen-y-Bont may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Connahs Quay has had a series of away games.
    • Pen-y-Bont is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Pen-y-Bont won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 0.6:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pen-y-Bont won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pen-y-Bont - Gap Connahs Quay were as follows:
    04.01.2025 Pen-y-Bont - Gap Connahs Quay 1:0
    15.09.2024 Gap Connahs Quay - Pen-y-Bont 0:1
    13.01.2024 Pen-y-Bont - Gap Connahs Quay 0:1
    30.09.2023 Gap Connahs Quay - Pen-y-Bont 4:2
    15.04.2023 Gap Connahs Quay - Pen-y-Bont 0:0
    Latest results of Pen-y-Bont
    Latest results of Gap Connahs Quay
    Welsh Cymru Premier Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1TNS1182130:72326
    2Penybont1172218:61223
    3Caernarfon1162327:161120
    4Connahs Q1043314:13115
    5Bala114349:14-515
    6Colwyn Bay1135313:9414
    7Barry1135314:14014
    8Flint1032519:24-511
    9Cardiff Metropolitan1125416:22-611
    10Briton Ferry1024416:17-110
    11Haverfordwest1022610:20-108
    12Llanelli112186:30-247

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