Result
2:1
21/03/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Cymru Premier - Championship Group - Round 29
- Referee: Livesey A. D. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DAZN App |
 Ecuador | DAZN App |
 Mexico | DAZN App |
 Paraguay | DAZN App |
 Peru | DAZN App |
 World | FIFA+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Woodcock M. ⚽,
- 21', Owen K. 🟨,
- 36', Franklin H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 48', 🟨,
- 52', Redshaw F. ↓, Edwards N. ↑,
- 58', Owen K. ↓, Borge B. ↑,
- 58', Franklin H. ↓, Kenny J. ↑,
- 58', Venables C. ↓, Jones J. ↑,
- 77', Green C. ↓, Phillips I. ↑,
- 78', Bratley C. ↓, Partridge C. ↑,
- 78', Woodcock M. ↓, Hughes R. ↑,
- 78', West C. ↓, Oswell J. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 1, Cvetkovic A. ⚽,
- 84', 🟨,
- 90+1', Kenny J. 🟥,
- 90+5', 2 - 1, Hughes R. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Gap Connahs Quay
52.4% | Draw
25.3% | Pen-y-Bont
22.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gap Connahs Quay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Pen-y-Bont has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gap Connahs Quay than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gap Connahs Quay that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pen-y-Bont than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Gap Connahs Quay - Pen-y-Bont Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.77 ↑
(1.63) |
3.67 ↓
(3.97) |
4.15 ↓
(4.91) |
7.9%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Connahs Quay is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Connahs Quay won 2.
- Connahs Quay has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Pen-y-Bont has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Connahs Quay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Connahs Quay is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Connahs Quay won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:10. (average 1.1:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Connahs Quay won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 1.6:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Gap Connahs Quay won against Pen-y-Bont?
Gap Connahs Quay has won 6 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pen-y-Bont won against Gap Connahs Quay?
Pen-y-Bont has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gap Connahs Quay - Pen-y-Bont were as follows:
14.02.2026
Pen-y-Bont
-
Gap Connahs Quay
0:0
08.11.2025
Gap Connahs Quay
-
Pen-y-Bont
4:0
30.08.2025
Pen-y-Bont
-
Gap Connahs Quay
0:1
04.01.2025
Pen-y-Bont
-
Gap Connahs Quay
1:0
15.09.2024
Gap Connahs Quay
-
Pen-y-Bont
0:1
Latest results of Gap Connahs Quay
Latest results of Pen-y-Bont
Welsh Cymru Premier Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | TNS ✔ | 29 | 23 | 2 | 4 | 74:24 | 50 | 71 |
| 2 | Connahs Q. ✔ | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 58:34 | 24 | 56 |
| 3 | Colwyn Bay ✔ | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 40:34 | 6 | 43 |
| 4 | Barry ✔ | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 42 |
| 5 | Penybont ✔ | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 39:45 | -6 | 40 |
| 6 | Caernarfon ✔ | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 52:43 | 9 | 39 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
TNS is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )
Connahs Q. is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
Colwyn Bay is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Barry is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Penybont is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Caernarfon is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
