Gorilla vs Gasogi United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Rwanda Premier League Gorilla - Gasogi United
Result
2:1
20/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 25', 0 - 1, Ndikumana D. ,
  • 42', 1 - 1, Nsanzimfura K. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 86', 2 - 1, Nduwimana F. ,

Chances of winning


Gorilla
42.3%
Draw
28.8%
Gasogi United
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.7% 30.9% 33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6% 32.6% 31.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gorilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gorilla's performance.
  • Gasogi United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gorilla than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gasogi United than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • Gorilla - Gasogi United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.21
    (2.54)
    3.15
    (2.93)
    3.09
    (2.72)
    9.4%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 and 8)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gorilla won 1.
    • Recent form of Gorilla has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Gasogi United is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Gorilla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Gasogi United has had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Gorilla won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.8:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gorilla won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gorilla - Gasogi United were as follows:
    30.11.2024 Gasogi United - Gorilla 2:2
    17.02.2024 Gasogi United - Gorilla 1:0
    10.10.2023 Gorilla - Gasogi United 2:2
    03.02.2023 Gorilla - Gasogi United 1:2
    12.11.2022 Gasogi United - Gorilla 2:3
    Latest results of Gorilla
    17.05.2025 APR - Gorilla 1:0
    12.05.2025 Gorilla - Etincelles 2:1
    02.05.2025 Gorilla - Bugesera 0:1
    19.04.2025 Marines - Gorilla 2:1
    05.04.2025 Amagaju - Gorilla 1:0
    Latest results of Gasogi United
    Rwanda Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Police33004:139
    2Marines22004:046
    3Gorilla31204:225
    4Gasogi United31205:415
    5Mukura Victory Sports31202:115
    6Bugesera31202:115
    7Rayon Sport31114:314
    8Musanze31112:204
    9Amagaju31112:3-14
    10Kiyovu31111:2-14
    11APR11002:113
    12Gicumbi31023:303
    13Etincelles20110:2-21
    14AS Kigali30122:4-21
    15Rutsiro30033:7-40
    16Muhanga30030:4-40

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