Gençlerbirliği vs Fatih Karagümrükspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
07/12/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Super Lig - Round 15
  • Referee: Yilmaz A. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.140.41
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
198
Shots on target
72
Big Chances
61
Corner Kicks
74
Passes
73% (193/265)81% (324/399)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
2.140.41
xG on target (xGOT)
2.270.80
Total shots
198
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
85
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
135
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
61
Corner Kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
2917
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
1114
Passes
73% (193/265)81% (324/399)
Long passes
53% (34/64)46% (19/41)
Passes in final third
71% (62/87)58% (61/106)
Crosses
9% (1/11)39% (7/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.900.67
Throw-ins
1316
Fouls
1411
Tackles
75% (9/12)43% (6/14)
Duels won
4646
Clearances
3018
Interceptions
1010
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.802.27
Goals prevented
0.80-0.73

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', Doh M. 🟨,
  • 29', 1 - 0, Ulgun O. , Pereira P. (A),
  • 40', Ulgun O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 56', Ulgun O. , Mimaroglu M. ,
  • 62', Johnson D. , Kalayci B. ,
  • 65', 2 - 0, Koita S. , Mimaroglu M. (A),
  • 72', Doh M. , Gray A. ,
  • 74', 3 - 0, Mimaroglu M. ,
  • 76', Grbic I. 🟨,
  • 77', Gurpuz G. , Onyekuru H. ,
  • 81', Roco E. , Kurukalip C. ,
  • 86', Tongya F. , Varesanovic D. ,
  • 86', Koita S. , Onur S. ,
  • 86', Niang M. , Ayaz Ozcan F. ,

Chances of winning


Gençlerbirliği
45.7%
Draw
27.9%
Fatih Karagümrükspor
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.3% 28.3% 30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4% 28.2% 30.2%

Gençlerbirliği - Fatih Karagümrükspor Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.08
(2.29)
3.4
(3.34)
3.57
(3.12)
5.5%
(5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Gençlerbirliği - Fatih Karagümrükspor?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Gençlerbirliği will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Karagümrük will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 46.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Gençlerbirliği: 21.5%71.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Gençlerbirliği (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Karagümrük may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Gençlerbirliği has had a series of away games.
    • Gençlerbirliği will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Gençlerbirliği: Durmaz E. (Suspended) Etebo P. (Muscle Injury) Kyabou M. (Knee Injury) Sahindere A. (Knee Injury) Unal E. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Karagümrük: Balkovec J. (Yellow Cards) Beklevic F. (Suspended) Sivri A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Gençlerbirliği: Akkan G. (Injury) Kemaloglu E. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Karagümrük: Larsson S. (Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Gençlerbirliği won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.8:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gençlerbirliği won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gençlerbirliği - Fatih Karagümrükspor were as follows:
    13.04.2025 Fatih Karagümrükspor - Gençlerbirliği 0:0
    08.12.2024 Gençlerbirliği - Fatih Karagümrükspor 1:0
    Latest results of Gençlerbirliği
    Latest results of Fatih Karagümrükspor
    Turkish Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Galatasaray15113132:112136
    2Fenerbahce1596032:141833
    3Trabzonspor1494125:121331
    4Goztepe1475217:71026
    5Samsunspor1567222:16625
    6Besiktas1473424:17724
    7Gaziantep1464421:22-122
    8Kocaelispor1554612:15-319
    9Basaksehir1545620:17317
    10Alanyaspor1437414:15-116
    11Konyaspor1544720:24-416
    12Rizespor1536617:23-615
    13Genclerbirligi1542917:21-414
    14Kasimpasa1535714:21-714
    15Antalyaspor1442814:25-1114
    16Eyupspor1534810:18-813
    17Kayserispor1527615:32-1713
    18Karagumruk15221113:29-168

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig