Result
1:1
15/09/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Honduras | Deportes TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 21', Aparicio D. 🟨,
- 30', 🟨,
- 31', 1 - 0, Moncada W. (Pen),
- 33', Moncada W. 🟨,
- 37', Benavidez J. 🟨,
- 45', Nunez Ramirez H. J. 🟨,
- 45+4', 1 - 1, Aparicio D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 54', Garcia D. 🟨,
- 54', Benavidez J. ↓, Nunez M. ↑,
- 57', Cruz N. 🟨,
- 63', Arana M. ↓, Romero C. ↑,
- 65', Miranda J. ↓, Castellanos H. ↑,
- 66', Morazan O. ↓, Arzu Zapata C. I. ↑,
- 74', Nunez Ramirez H. J. ↓, Maldonado M. ↑,
- 78', Garcia D. 🟨,
- 81', Vuelto D. ↓, Decas W. ↑,
- 81', Cruz N. ↓, Tatum Ferrera A. K. ↑,
- 86', 🟨,
- 87', Carter D. ↓, Moreno Y. ↑,
- 90+2', Nunez D. ↓, Ramos J. ↑,
- 90+2', Ramos J. 🟨,
- 90+3', Castellanos H. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Génesis PN
22.8% | Draw
27.4% | Real España
49.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Génesis PN has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)Real España has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Génesis PN than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Génesis PN, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real España than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real España, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Génesis PN - Real España Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4 ↑
(3.27) |
3.31 ↑
(3.3) |
1.83 ↓
(2.02) |
10%
(10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Génesis PN - Real España?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Real España (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 9 and 8)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Génesis won 1.
- Génesis is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Real España has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Real España may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Real España has had a series of home games.
- Real España could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Génesis won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 0.9:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Génesis won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.4:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Génesis PN won against Real España?
Génesis PN has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Real España won against Génesis PN?
Real España has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Génesis PN - Real España were as follows:
06.03.2025
Génesis PN
-
Real España
2:0
18.01.2025
Real España
-
Génesis PN
1:1
07.12.2024
Real España
-
Génesis PN
2:0
04.12.2024
Génesis PN
-
Real España
1:1
26.10.2024
Génesis PN
-
Real España
1:1
Latest results of Génesis PN
Latest results of Real España
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 34:17 | 17 | 34 |
| 2 | Marathon | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 30:11 | 19 | 30 |
| 3 | Olancho | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 28:20 | 8 | 22 |
| 4 | Real Espana | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22:16 | 6 | 22 |
| 5 | UPNFM | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22:27 | -5 | 20 |
| 6 | Platense | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 23:16 | 7 | 19 |
| 7 | Motagua | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 23:22 | 1 | 19 |
| 8 | Juticalpa | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 18:25 | -7 | 17 |
| 9 | Choloma | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 19:38 | -19 | 11 |
| 10 | Genesis | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 18:27 | -9 | 10 |
| 11 | Victoria | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 12:30 | -18 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: )
