Génesis PN vs Real España – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Honduras Liga Nacional Génesis PN - Real España
Result
1:1
15/09/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 9
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hondurasHondurasDeportes TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
67
Shots on target
54
Corner Kicks
15
Yellow Cards
56
Red Cards
01
Total shots
67
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
13
Corner Kicks
15
Goalkeeper Saves
34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 21', Aparicio D. 🟨,
  • 30', 🟨,
  • 31', 1 - 0, Moncada W. (Pen),
  • 33', Moncada W. 🟨,
  • 37', Benavidez J. 🟨,
  • 45', Nunez Ramirez H. J. 🟨,
  • 45+4', 1 - 1, Aparicio D. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 54', Garcia D. 🟨,
  • 54', Benavidez J. , Nunez M. ,
  • 57', Cruz N. 🟨,
  • 63', Arana M. , Romero C. ,
  • 65', Miranda J. , Castellanos H. ,
  • 66', Morazan O. , Arzu Zapata C. I. ,
  • 74', Nunez Ramirez H. J. , Maldonado M. ,
  • 78', Garcia D. 🟨,
  • 81', Vuelto D. , Decas W. ,
  • 81', Cruz N. , Tatum Ferrera A. K. ,
  • 86', 🟨,
  • 87', Carter D. , Moreno Y. ,
  • 90+2', Nunez D. , Ramos J. ,
  • 90+2', Ramos J. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Castellanos H. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Génesis PN
22.8%
Draw
27.4%
Real España
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.7% 27.5% 44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28% 27.8% 44.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Génesis PN has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • Real España has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Génesis PN than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Génesis PN, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real España than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real España, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Génesis PN - Real España Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4
    (3.27)
    3.31
    (3.3)
    1.83
    (2.02)
    10%
    (10.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Génesis PN - Real España?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Real España (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 9 and 8)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Génesis won 1.
    • Génesis is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Real España has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Real España may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Real España has had a series of home games.
    • Real España could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Génesis won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 0.9:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Génesis won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.4:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Génesis PN - Real España were as follows:
    06.03.2025 Génesis PN - Real España 2:0
    18.01.2025 Real España - Génesis PN 1:1
    07.12.2024 Real España - Génesis PN 2:0
    04.12.2024 Génesis PN - Real España 1:1
    26.10.2024 Génesis PN - Real España 1:1
    Latest results of Génesis PN
    Latest results of Real España
    Honduras Liga Nacional Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpia1173126:131324
    2Marathon1265126:111523
    3Olancho1256126:17921
    4Motagua1153321:19218
    5UPNFM1144318:19-116
    6Platense1143419:13615
    7Real Espana1143416:13315
    8Juticalpa1245315:21-613
    9Genesis1223716:22-69
    10Choloma1121812:32-207
    11Victoria1212912:27-155

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