Result
2:1
02/02/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: Serie A - Round 23
- Referee: Collu G. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football |
 Albania | Tring Sport 1 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 Asia | STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | DAZN 1 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2, Moja TV |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4 |
 Czech-republic | Sport 2 |
 Denmark | TV2 Play |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2 |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV, M Plus Live |
 Hungary | Net4+ |
 India | GXR World |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Italy | 214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | ART Motion Sport 1, ART Sport 1 |
 Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
 Maldives | ICE Sports |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 3 |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 3, Ziggo Sport |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Romania | Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Saudi-arabia | STC TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 5 |
 South-america | ESPN 4 South |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Tanzania | Azam Sports 4 |
 Turkey | Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+ |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3 |
 United-arab-emirates | Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | CBS, Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 Vietnam | ON Plus, TV 360 |
 World | Disney+, Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 1.30 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 0 | 11 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 24 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 12 | 32 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (223/298) | 79% (331/421) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 72% (53/74) | 65% (75/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (1/7) | 35% (12/34) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (9/17) | 40% (4/10) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 37 | 6 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Kean M. ⚽, Mandragora R. (A),
- 17', Beltran L. 🟨,
- 30', 2 - 0, Gudmundsson A. ⚽, Gosens R. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Cornet M. ↓, Vitinha ↑,
- 48', Folorunsho M. 🟨,
- 55', 2 - 1, De Winter K. ⚽, Martin A. (A),
- 56', Richardson A. ↓, Comuzzo P. ↑,
- 66', Miretti F. ↓, Messias J. ↑,
- 66', Thorsby M. ↓, Ekuban C. ↑,
- 71', Beltran L. ↓, Parisi F. ↑,
- 74', Comuzzo P. 🟨,
- 79', De Winter K. 🟨,
- 82', Sabelli S. ↓, Ekhator J. ↑,
- 82', Masini P. ↓, Badelj M. ↑,
- 83', Kean M. ↓, Kouame C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Fiorentina
50.2% | Draw
27.5% | Genoa
22.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fiorentina's form might have worsened.Genoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Genoa's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fiorentina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Fiorentina - Genoa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↑
(1.61) |
3.47 ↓
(3.99) |
4.31 ↓
(5.64) |
4.5%
(5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Fiorentina - Genoa?
Users Predictions:
61 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 32 - 52.5%). Genoa will win (votes: 9 - 14.8%). It will Tie (votes: 20 - 32.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 40% – 65%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 7 and 12).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Fiorentina won 4.
- Recent matches Fiorentina is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Genoa is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Fiorentina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Fiorentina is a favorite.
- There will not play in Fiorentina: Adli Y.
(Red Card)
Bove E.
(Heart Problems)
Cataldi D.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Genoa: Malinovsky R.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Fiorentina: Mari P.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Genoa: Bani M.
(Thigh Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Fiorentina won 6 matches, drawn 12 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 28:17 (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Fiorentina won 2 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15:8 (average 1.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentina won against Genoa?
Fiorentina has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Genoa won against Fiorentina?
Genoa has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentina - Genoa were as follows:
31.10.2024
Genoa
-
Fiorentina
0:1
15.04.2024
Fiorentina
-
Genoa
1:1
19.08.2023
Genoa
-
Fiorentina
1:4
Latest results of Fiorentina
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Napoli | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | Juventus | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 11 |
| 3 | AC Milan | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:2 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | AS Roma | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | Atalanta | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 9 |
| 6 | Cremonese | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | Como | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
| 8 | Cagliari | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 9 | Udinese | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Inter | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 6 |
| 11 | Bologna | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 0 | 6 |
| 12 | Torino | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1:8 | -7 | 4 |
| 13 | Lazio | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 | Sassuolo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 | Verona | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
| 16 | Genoa | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
| 17 | Fiorentina | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 2 |
| 18 | Parma | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 2 |
| 19 | Pisa | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
| 20 | Lecce | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:8 | -6 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
