Genoa vs Fiorentina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
09/11/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 11
  • Referee: Guida M. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport Variety 2
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
brazilBrazilDisney+
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 4
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
israelIsraelONE Sport 2
italyItaly215 DAZN Zona, DAZN 2, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kuwaitKuwaitShasha
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 3
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 6
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime+
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 2
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
thailandThailandTrue ID, True Premier Football 4
tunisiaTunisiaDiwan Sport
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN, DAZN UK
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaDAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.721.55
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
107
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
37
Passes
77% (215/281)82% (344/421)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.721.55
xG on target (xGOT)
2.931.64
Total shots
107
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
95
Shots outside the Box
12
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
1812
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1520
Passes
77% (215/281)82% (344/421)
Long passes
39% (19/49)47% (26/55)
Passes in final third
63% (52/83)56% (45/81)
Crosses
36% (8/22)12% (2/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.741.00
Throw-ins
2414
Fouls
2015
Tackles
67% (6/9)56% (9/16)
Duels won
4464
Clearances
2926
Interceptions
75
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
1.642.93
Goals prevented
-0.360.93

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Ostigard L. , Martin A. (A),
  • 20', 1 - 1, Gudmundsson A. (Pen),
  • 23', Pongracic M. 🟨,
  • 26', Vanoli P. 🟨,
  • 42', Ranieri L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 50', Colombo L. (Pen),
  • 57', 1 - 2, Piccoli R. , Sohm S. (A),
  • 60', 2 - 2, Colombo L. ,
  • 66', Fortini N. , Parisi F. ,
  • 66', Ranieri L. , Viti M. ,
  • 67', Colombo L. , Ekhator J. ,
  • 68', Martin A. 🟨,
  • 75', Sohm S. , Ndour C. ,
  • 75', Gudmundsson A. , Dzeko E. ,
  • 76', Vitinha , Carboni V. ,
  • 76', Martin A. , Masini P. ,
  • 84', Piccoli R. , Fazzini J. ,
  • 84', Ellertsson M. E. 🟨,
  • 89', Dodo 🟨,

Chances of winning


Genoa
33.5%
Draw
32.6%
Fiorentina
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32% 29.9% 38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7% 30.2% 38.5%

Genoa - Fiorentina Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.87
(2.97)
3.01
(3.18)
2.84
(2.49)
3.3%
(5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Genoa - Fiorentina?
  • Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Genoa will win (votes: 11 - 25.6%). Fiorentina will win (votes: 13 - 30.2%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 44.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.4%59%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Genoa (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Fiorentina (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH 0 - Fiorentina (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Genoa (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Fiorentina (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Genoa won 0.
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • Fiorentina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Genoa: Malinovskyi R. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Fiorentina: Gosens R. (Muscle Injury) Kouame C. (Knee Injury) Lamptey T. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Genoa: Otoa S. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Genoa won 2 matches, drew 11 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:27. (average 0.8:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Genoa won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 0.9:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Genoa - Fiorentina were as follows:
    02.02.2025 Fiorentina - Genoa 2:1
    31.10.2024 Genoa - Fiorentina 0:1
    15.04.2024 Fiorentina - Genoa 1:1
    19.08.2023 Genoa - Fiorentina 1:4
    Latest results of Genoa
    03.11.2025 Sassuolo - Genoa 1:2
    29.10.2025 Genoa - Cremonese 0:2
    26.10.2025 Torino - Genoa 2:1
    19.10.2025 Genoa - Parma 0:0
    05.10.2025 Napoli - Genoa 2:1
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    06.11.2025 Mainz - Fiorentina 2:1
    02.11.2025 Fiorentina - Lecce 0:1
    29.10.2025 Inter Milan - Fiorentina 3:0
    26.10.2025 Fiorentina - Bologna 2:2
    23.10.2025 Rapid Wien - Fiorentina 0:3
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter23181452:193355
    2AC Milan23148138:172150
    3Napoli23144533:211246
    4Juventus23136439:182145
    5AS Roma23141827:141343
    6Como23118437:162141
    7Atalanta2399530:201036
    8Lazio2388724:21332
    9Udinese2395926:34-832
    10Bologna2386932:30230
    11Sassuolo23851027:29-229
    12Cagliari2377928:31-328
    13Torino23751122:40-1826
    14Genoa23581027:34-723
    15Cremonese23581020:31-1123
    16Parma23581015:30-1523
    17Lecce23461313:30-1718
    18Fiorentina23381225:36-1117
    19Pisa231111119:40-2114
    20Verona23281318:41-2314

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B