Genoa vs Fiorentina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie A
Result
2:2
09/11/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 11
  • Referee: Guida M. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport Variety 2
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
brazilBrazilDisney+
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 4
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
israelIsraelONE Sport 2
italyItaly215 DAZN Zona, DAZN 2, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kuwaitKuwaitShasha
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 3
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 6
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime+
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 2
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
thailandThailandTrue ID, True Premier Football 4
tunisiaTunisiaDiwan Sport
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN, DAZN UK
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaDAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.721.55
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
107
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
37
Passes
77% (215/281)82% (344/421)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.721.55
xG on target (xGOT)
2.931.64
Total shots
107
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
95
Shots outside the Box
12
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
1812
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1520
Passes
77% (215/281)82% (344/421)
Long passes
39% (19/49)47% (26/55)
Passes in final third
63% (52/83)56% (45/81)
Crosses
36% (8/22)12% (2/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.741.00
Throw-ins
2414
Fouls
2015
Tackles
67% (6/9)56% (9/16)
Duels won
4464
Clearances
2926
Interceptions
75
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
1.642.93
Goals prevented
-0.360.93

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Ostigard L. ⚽, Martin A. (A),
  • 20', 1 - 1, Gudmundsson A. (Pen),
  • 23', Pongracic M. 🟨,
  • 26', Vanoli P. 🟨,
  • 42', Ranieri L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 50', Colombo L. (Pen),
  • 57', 1 - 2, Piccoli R. ⚽, Sohm S. (A),
  • 60', 2 - 2, Colombo L. ⚽,
  • 66', Fortini N. ↓, Parisi F. ↑,
  • 66', Ranieri L. ↓, Viti M. ↑,
  • 67', Colombo L. ↓, Ekhator J. ↑,
  • 68', Martin A. 🟨,
  • 75', Sohm S. ↓, Ndour C. ↑,
  • 75', Gudmundsson A. ↓, Dzeko E. ↑,
  • 76', Vitinha ↓, Carboni V. ↑,
  • 76', Martin A. ↓, Masini P. ↑,
  • 84', Piccoli R. ↓, Fazzini J. ↑,
  • 84', Ellertsson M. E. 🟨,
  • 89', Dodo 🟨,

Chances of winning


Genoa
33.5%		Draw
32.6%		Fiorentina
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32% 29.9% 38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7% 30.2% 38.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Genoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
    •

    Genoa - Fiorentina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.87 ↓
    (2.97)    		 3.01 ↓
    (3.18)    		 2.84 ↑
    (2.49)    		 3.3%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Genoa - Fiorentina?
  • Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Genoa will win (votes: 11 - 25.6%). Fiorentina will win (votes: 13 - 30.2%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 44.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.4% – 59%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Genoa (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Fiorentina (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH 0 - Fiorentina (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Genoa (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Fiorentina (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Genoa won 0.
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • Fiorentina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Genoa: Malinovskyi R. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Fiorentina: Gosens R. (Muscle Injury) Kouame C. (Knee Injury) Lamptey T. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Genoa: Otoa S. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Genoa won 2 matches, drew 11 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:27. (average 0.8:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Genoa won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 0.9:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Genoa - Fiorentina were as follows:
    02.02.2025 Fiorentina - Genoa 2:1
    31.10.2024 Genoa - Fiorentina 0:1
    15.04.2024 Fiorentina - Genoa 1:1
    19.08.2023 Genoa - Fiorentina 1:4
    Latest results of Genoa
    03.11.2025 Sassuolo - Genoa 1:2 ✺
    29.10.2025 Genoa - Cremonese 0:2 ✺
    26.10.2025 Torino - Genoa 2:1 ✺
    19.10.2025 Genoa - Parma 0:0 ✺
    05.10.2025 Napoli - Genoa 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    06.11.2025 Mainz - Fiorentina 2:1 ✺
    02.11.2025 Fiorentina - Lecce 0:1 ✺
    29.10.2025 Inter Milan - Fiorentina 3:0 ✺
    26.10.2025 Fiorentina - Bologna 2:2 ✺
    23.10.2025 Rapid Wien - Fiorentina 0:3 ✺
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter26211462:214164
    2AC Milan26159241:202154
    3Napoli26155639:271250
    4AS Roma26162834:161850
    5Juventus26137643:251846
    6Como26129541:192245
    7Atalanta26129536:221445
    8Bologna261061035:32336
    9Sassuolo261051132:35-335
    10Lazio26810826:25134
    11Udinese26951228:39-1132
    12Parma26881019:31-1232
    13Cagliari26781128:35-729
    14Genoa26691132:37-527
    15Torino26761325:47-2227
    16Fiorentina26591230:39-924
    17Cremonese26591221:36-1524
    18Lecce26661417:33-1624
    19Pisa261121320:43-2315
    20Verona26291519:46-2715

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

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