Fiorentina vs Genoa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie A Fiorentina - Genoa
Result
2:1
02/02/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: Serie A - Round 23
  • Referee: Collu G. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaNew World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 4
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY
austriaAustriaDAZN
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2, Moja TV
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 2
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
hungaryHungaryNet4+
indiaIndiaGXR World
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItaly214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoART Motion Sport 1, ART Sport 1
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
maldivesMaldivesICE Sports
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 2
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 3, Ziggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalSport TV2
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 5
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 4 South
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
tanzaniaTanzaniaAzam Sports 4
turkeyTurkeyExxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3
united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesAbu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus, TV 360
worldWorldDisney+, Onefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.641.30
Ball Possession
40%60%
Goal Attempts
717
Shots on Goal
63
Shots off Goal
011
Blocked Shots
13
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
18
Shots inside the Box
611
Shots outside the Box
16
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Goalkeeper Saves
24
Free Kicks
1417
Offsides
30
Fouls
1714
Yellow Cards
31
Throw-ins
1824
Touches in the Opposition Box
1232
Passes
75% (223/298)79% (331/421)
Passes in the final third
72% (53/74)65% (75/116)
Crosses
14% (1/7)35% (12/34)
Tackles
53% (9/17)40% (4/10)
Clearances Total
376
Interceptions
62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Kean M. , Mandragora R. (A),
  • 17', Beltran L. 🟨,
  • 30', 2 - 0, Gudmundsson A. , Gosens R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Cornet M. , Vitinha ,
  • 48', Folorunsho M. 🟨,
  • 55', 2 - 1, De Winter K. , Martin A. (A),
  • 56', Richardson A. , Comuzzo P. ,
  • 66', Miretti F. , Messias J. ,
  • 66', Thorsby M. , Ekuban C. ,
  • 71', Beltran L. , Parisi F. ,
  • 74', Comuzzo P. 🟨,
  • 79', De Winter K. 🟨,
  • 82', Sabelli S. , Ekhator J. ,
  • 82', Masini P. , Badelj M. ,
  • 83', Kean M. , Kouame C. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Fiorentina
50.2%
Draw
27.5%
Genoa
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.3% 23.9% 16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3% 23.1% 17.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fiorentina's form might have worsened.
  • Genoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Genoa's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fiorentina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • Fiorentina - Genoa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (1.61)
    3.47
    (3.99)
    4.31
    (5.64)
    4.5%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Fiorentina - Genoa?
  • Users Predictions: 61 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 32 - 52.5%). Genoa will win (votes: 9 - 14.8%). It will Tie (votes: 20 - 32.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 40%65%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 7 and 12).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Fiorentina won 4.
    • Recent matches Fiorentina is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Genoa is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Fiorentina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Fiorentina is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Fiorentina: Adli Y. (Red Card) Bove E. (Heart Problems) Cataldi D. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Genoa: Malinovsky R. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Fiorentina: Mari P. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Genoa: Bani M. (Thigh Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Fiorentina won 6 matches, drawn 12 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 28:17 (average 1.4:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Fiorentina won 2 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15:8 (average 1.5:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentina - Genoa were as follows:
    31.10.2024 Genoa - Fiorentina 0:1
    15.04.2024 Fiorentina - Genoa 1:1
    19.08.2023 Genoa - Fiorentina 1:4
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    26.01.2025 Lazio - Fiorentina 1:2
    19.01.2025 Fiorentina - Torino 1:1
    13.01.2025 Monza - Fiorentina 2:1
    04.01.2025 Fiorentina - Napoli 0:3
    29.12.2024 Juventus - Fiorentina 2:2
    Latest results of Genoa
    27.01.2025 Genoa - Monza 2:0
    17.01.2025 Roma - Genoa 3:1
    12.01.2025 Genoa - Parma 1:0
    05.01.2025 Lecce - Genoa 0:0
    28.12.2024 Empoli - Genoa 1:2
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Napoli22003:036
    2Juventus22003:036
    3Cremonese22005:326
    4AS Roma22002:026
    5Udinese21103:214
    6Inter21016:243
    7Lazio21014:223
    8AC Milan21013:213
    9Como21012:113
    10Bologna21011:103
    11Atalanta20202:202
    12Fiorentina20201:102
    13Pisa20111:2-11
    14Cagliari20111:2-11
    15Genoa20110:1-11
    16Parma20111:3-21
    17Lecce20110:2-21
    18Verona20111:5-41
    19Torino20110:5-51
    20Sassuolo20022:5-30

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          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B