Result
0:1
20/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 26
- Referee: Boterberg J. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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|---|
 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Sporza, Sporza |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 2.49 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (230/336) | 78% (323/413) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 2.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.05 | 1.70 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
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| 2 | 10 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 20 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
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| 1 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 52 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
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| 3 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (230/336) | 78% (323/413) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (35/85) | 42% (18/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (44/87) | 68% (106/157) |
| Crosses |
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| 16% (3/19) | 35% (11/31) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 0.53 | 2.35 |
| Throw ins |
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| 25 | 29 |
| Fouls |
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| 7 | 10 |
| Tackles |
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| 56% (10/18) | 83% (15/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 60 |
| Clearances |
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| 26 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
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| 15 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.70 | 0.05 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 14', Nazinho 🟨,
- 33', Paskotsi M. ↓, Essaouabi H. ↑,
- 45+1', 0 - 1, Vanzeir D. ⚽, Nazinho (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Hashioka D. ↓, Kanga W. ↑,
- 52', Essaouabi H. 🟥,
- 54', Sonko M. ↓, Van Der Heyden S. ↑,
- 54', Agyekum L. ↓, Herrmann C. ↑,
- 58', Kakou E. 🟨,
- 62', Magnee G. (Penalty Awarded),
- 77', Kadri A. ↓, Diop M. ↑,
- 77', Ito A. ↓, Omgba A. ↑,
- 82', van der Bruggen H. ↓, Diaby I. ↑,
- 85', Diaby I. 🟨,
- 86', Diop E. 🟨,
- 88', Diop E. ↓, Valy K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Gent
41.5% | Draw
27.2% | Cercle Brugge
31.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gent has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Cercle Brugge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gent than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cercle Brugge than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Gent - Cercle Brugge Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.28 ↑
(2.21) |
3.45 ↓
(3.51) |
3.02 ↓
(3.03) |
6%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Gent - Cercle Brugge?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Gent will win (votes: 17 - 73.9%). Cercle Brugge will win (votes: 5 - 21.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gent: 56% – 91.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Gent (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Gent (1.66) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Gent (1.69) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Gent (votes: 4 - 80%). Cercle Brugge (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 15 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gent won 2.
- Gent is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Cercle Brugge has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gent won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 41:32. (average 2.1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gent won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 2.1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Gent won against Cercle Brugge?
Gent has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cercle Brugge won against Gent?
Cercle Brugge has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gent - Cercle Brugge were as follows:
03.12.2025
Cercle Brugge
-
Gent
1:3
28.09.2025
Cercle Brugge
-
Gent
2:4
15.12.2024
Gent
-
Cercle Brugge
1:1
26.09.2024
Cercle Brugge
-
Gent
2:1
11.02.2024
Gent
-
Cercle Brugge
1:2
Latest results of Cercle Brugge
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 36 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 35 |
| 3 | St. Truiden | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 29 |
| 4 | Gent | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 24 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 24 |
| 6 | Anderlecht | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
