Result
2:0
02/03/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Egypt | Kora Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.19 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (281/357) | 74% (236/317) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.19 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.34 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (281/357) | 74% (236/317) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (26/57) | 47% (32/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (66/105) | 59% (57/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.27 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 94% (16/17) | 82% (14/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.34 | 1.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.66 | -0.99 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 17', Emad M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Arfaoui R. ↓, Saidi K. ↑,
- 47', Gamal A. 🟨,
- 52', El Moghzi M. 🟨,
- 57', 1 - 0, Liadi A. ⚽,
- 64', El Moghzi M. 🟨,
- 64', Farid F. ↓, Afsha ↑,
- 65', Abdelsalam M. ↓, El Azab Y. ↑,
- 66', 🟨,
- 66', Zakaria Y. 🟨,
- 68', Liadi A. ↓, Alaa N. ↑,
- 73', Gamal A. ↓, Yasser A. ↑,
- 78', Dunga M. 🟨,
- 83', Mwanga J. ↓, Etman A. ↑,
- 84', Toure M. ↓, Williams S. ↑,
- 84', Dunga M. ↓, Tony M. ↑,
- 84', Mabululu ↓, Ebuka J. ↑,
- 88', 2 - 0, Wahid Y. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Al-Ittihad Alexandria
42.9% | Draw
34.4% | Ghazl El Mahalla
22.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Ittihad Alexandria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)Ghazl El Mahalla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ittihad Alexandria than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ghazl El Mahalla than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Al-Ittihad Alexandria - Ghazl El Mahalla Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.15 ↓
(2.33) |
2.68 ↑
(2.65) |
4.07 ↑
(3.71) |
8.4%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
What is the prediction for Al-Ittihad Alexandria - Ghazl El Mahalla?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Ittihad (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/E Goals - odd (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Al-Ittihad Alexandria will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 16 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 14 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Ittihad won 0.
- Al-Ittihad has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Ghazl El Mahalla is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Al-Ittihad will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Al-Ittihad won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 0.9:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Ittihad won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ittihad Alexandria won against Ghazl El Mahalla?
Al-Ittihad Alexandria has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ghazl El Mahalla won against Al-Ittihad Alexandria?
Ghazl El Mahalla has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Ittihad Alexandria - Ghazl El Mahalla were as follows:
10.05.2025
Al-Ittihad Alexandria
-
Ghazl El Mahalla
0:0
21.12.2024
Ghazl El Mahalla
-
Al-Ittihad Alexandria
0:0
31.03.2023
Ghazl El Mahalla
-
Al-Ittihad Alexandria
2:0
30.11.2022
Al-Ittihad Alexandria
-
Ghazl El Mahalla
0:2
30.08.2022
Ghazl El Mahalla
-
Al-Ittihad Alexandria
1:1
Latest results of Al-Ittihad Alexandria
Latest results of Ghazl El Mahalla
Egyptian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Zamalek ✔ | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 31:12 | 19 | 40 |
| 2 | Pyramids ✔ | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 29:14 | 15 | 37 |
| 3 | Al Ahly ✔ | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 29:16 | 13 | 37 |
| 4 | Ceramica Cleopatra ✔ | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 27:14 | 13 | 37 |
| 5 | Al Masry | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 27:19 | 8 | 29 |
| 6 | Smouha | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 18:13 | 5 | 28 |
| 7 | Wadi Degla | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 23:20 | 3 | 28 |
| 8 | ZED | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 19:16 | 3 | 26 |
| 9 | National Bank Egypt | 18 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 25 |
| 10 | Petrojet | 19 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 20:21 | -1 | 25 |
| 11 | Enppi | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 17:15 | 2 | 24 |
| 12 | El Gouna | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 24 |
| 13 | Modern Sport | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 23 |
| 14 | Al Ittihad ✔ | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 15:23 | -8 | 20 |
| 15 | Ghazl El Mahallah ✔ | 19 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 18 |
| 16 | Arab Contractors ✔ | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 12:18 | -6 | 18 |
| 17 | Haras El Hodood ✔ | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 14:26 | -12 | 17 |
| 18 | El Gaish ✔ | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 10:22 | -12 | 16 |
| 19 | Kahrabaa Ismailia ✔ | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21:35 | -14 | 16 |
| 20 | Pharco ✔ | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 8:22 | -14 | 14 |
| 21 | El Ismaily ✔ | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 11:26 | -15 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )
Premier League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Zamalek is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Pyramids is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Al Ahly is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Ceramica Cleopatra is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Al Ittihad is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Ghazl El Mahallah is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Arab Contractors is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Haras El Hodood is Premier League (Relegation Group )
El Gaish is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Kahrabaa Ismailia is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Pharco is Premier League (Relegation Group )
El Ismaily is Premier League (Relegation Group )
