Result
3:2
05/02/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Egypt | Kora Plus, On Time Sports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.32 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (470/552) | 76% (257/337) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.81 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (470/552) | 76% (257/337) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (26/55) | 42% (33/78) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (86/114) | 60% (59/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (1/8) | 13% (2/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.39 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 18 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.81 | 1.16 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.19 | -1.84 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 16', 1 - 0, Lakay F. ⚽, Issa I. (A),
- 23', Kouablan F. M. ↓, Amr K. ↑,
- 28', 1 - 1, Ineza A. ⚽, Arfaoui R. (A),
- 32', 2 - 1, Amr K. ⚽, Awujoola S. (A),
- 45+2', El Debes K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', El Moghzi M. ↓, Saidi K. ↑,
- 54', Arfaoui R. ↓, Ashraf M. ↑,
- 54', Williams S. ↓, Bolbol M. ↑,
- 60', Toure M. ↓, Yasser A. ↑,
- 63', Amr K. 🟨,
- 64', Awujoola S. ↓, Abdallah M. ↑,
- 74', Belhadji A. ↓, Mohamed I. ↑,
- 74', El Debes K. ↓, El Sayed H. ↑,
- 77', Abdelsalam M. ↓, Mwanga J. ↑,
- 79', Abdallah M. 🟨,
- 83', Arthur J. 🟨,
- 89', Amoory A. 🟨,
- 90+1', 3 - 1, Lakay F. ⚽,
- 90+3', 3 - 2, Mwanga J. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Ceramica Cleopatra
61.9% | Draw
25.1% | Ghazl El Mahalla
13% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ceramica Cleopatra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ceramica Cleopatra's performance.Ghazl El Mahalla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ghazl El Mahalla might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceramica Cleopatra than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ceramica Cleopatra that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ghazl El Mahalla than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ghazl El Mahalla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ceramica Cleopatra - Ghazl El Mahalla Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.5 ↓
(1.74) |
3.7 ↑
(3.32) |
7.12 ↑
(4.94) |
7.8%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ceramica Cleopatra - Ghazl El Mahalla?
Users Predictions:
27 users predict this event. Ceramica Cleopatra will win (votes: 21 - 77.8%). Ghazl El Mahalla will win (votes: 2 - 7.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 14.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ceramica Cleopatra: 62.1% – 93.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Ceramica Cleopatra (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Ceramica Cleopatra (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Ceramica Cleopatra (1.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Ceramica Cleopatra (1.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ceramica Cleopatra will win (20 of 20 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 24 high ROI users predict this event. Ceramica Cleopatra (votes: 24 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: ) and 14 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ceramica Cleopatra won 3.
- Ceramica Cleopatra is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Ghazl El Mahalla's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Ceramica Cleopatra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Ceramica Cleopatra has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Ceramica Cleopatra is considered a favorite.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Ceramica Cleopatra won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:4. (average 1.2:0.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ceramica Cleopatra won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 1.2:0.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Ceramica Cleopatra won against Ghazl El Mahalla?
Ceramica Cleopatra has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ghazl El Mahalla won against Ceramica Cleopatra?
Ghazl El Mahalla has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ceramica Cleopatra - Ghazl El Mahalla were as follows:
12.01.2026
Ghazl El Mahalla
-
Ceramica Cleopatra
1:0
22.03.2025
Ceramica Cleopatra
-
Ghazl El Mahalla
3:0
26.01.2025
Ghazl El Mahalla
-
Ceramica Cleopatra
0:1
14.05.2023
Ceramica Cleopatra
-
Ghazl El Mahalla
0:0
03.01.2023
Ghazl El Mahalla
-
Ceramica Cleopatra
0:3
Latest results of Ceramica Cleopatra
Latest results of Ghazl El Mahalla
Egyptian Premier League Table
Relegation Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 8 | ZED | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 32 |
| 9 | Wadi Degla | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 30 |
| 10 | El Gouna | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 29 |
| 11 | National Bank Egypt | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 27 |
| 12 | Petrojet | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 26 |
| 13 | Modern Sport | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 24 |
| 14 | El Gaish | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 22 |
| 15 | Al Ittihad | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 21 |
| 16 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 20 |
| 17 | Arab Contractors | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 19 |
| 18 | Haras El Hodood | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 18 |
| 19 | Kahrabaa Ismailia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 17 |
| 20 | Pharco | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 16 |
| 21 | El Ismaily | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 12 |
Relegation ~ Division 2 A
