Ceramica Cleopatra vs Ghazl El Mahalla – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Egyptian Premier League
Result
3:2
05/02/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
egyptEgyptKora Plus, On Time Sports 1

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.300.32
Ball possession
61%39%
Total shots
179
Shots on target
83
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
33
Passes
85% (470/552)76% (257/337)
Yellow cards
41
Expected goals (xG)
1.300.32
xG on target (xGOT)
1.160.81
Total shots
179
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
65
Blocked shots
31
Shots inside the box
122
Shots outside the box
57
Hit the woodwork
20
Headed goals
10
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
266
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free kicks
1311
Passes
85% (470/552)76% (257/337)
Long passes
47% (26/55)42% (33/78)
Passes in final third
75% (86/114)60% (59/99)
Crosses
13% (1/8)13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.190.39
Throw ins
1624
Fouls
1113
Tackles
50% (4/8)75% (9/12)
Duels won
4238
Clearances
2919
Interceptions
718
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
13
xGOT faced
0.811.16
Goals prevented
-1.19-1.84

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Lakay F. ⚽, Issa I. (A),
  • 23', Kouablan F. M. ↓, Amr K. ↑,
  • 28', 1 - 1, Ineza A. ⚽, Arfaoui R. (A),
  • 32', 2 - 1, Amr K. ⚽, Awujoola S. (A),
  • 45+2', El Debes K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', El Moghzi M. ↓, Saidi K. ↑,
  • 54', Arfaoui R. ↓, Ashraf M. ↑,
  • 54', Williams S. ↓, Bolbol M. ↑,
  • 60', Toure M. ↓, Yasser A. ↑,
  • 63', Amr K. 🟨,
  • 64', Awujoola S. ↓, Abdallah M. ↑,
  • 74', Belhadji A. ↓, Mohamed I. ↑,
  • 74', El Debes K. ↓, El Sayed H. ↑,
  • 77', Abdelsalam M. ↓, Mwanga J. ↑,
  • 79', Abdallah M. 🟨,
  • 83', Arthur J. 🟨,
  • 89', Amoory A. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 3 - 1, Lakay F. ⚽,
  • 90+3', 3 - 2, Mwanga J. ⚽,

Chances of winning


Ceramica Cleopatra
61.9%		Draw
25.1%		Ghazl El Mahalla
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.3% 27.9% 18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7% 27.2% 18.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ceramica Cleopatra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ceramica Cleopatra's performance.
  • Ghazl El Mahalla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ghazl El Mahalla might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceramica Cleopatra than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ceramica Cleopatra that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ghazl El Mahalla than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ghazl El Mahalla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Ceramica Cleopatra - Ghazl El Mahalla Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.5 ↓
    (1.74)    		 3.7 ↑
    (3.32)    		 7.12 ↑
    (4.94)    		 7.8%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Ceramica Cleopatra - Ghazl El Mahalla?
  • Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Ceramica Cleopatra will win (votes: 21 - 77.8%). Ghazl El Mahalla will win (votes: 2 - 7.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 14.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ceramica Cleopatra: 62.1% – 93.5%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Ceramica Cleopatra (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Ceramica Cleopatra (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Ceramica Cleopatra (1.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Ceramica Cleopatra (1.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ceramica Cleopatra will win (20 of 20 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 24 high ROI users predict this event. Ceramica Cleopatra (votes: 24 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: ) and 14 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ceramica Cleopatra won 3.
    • Ceramica Cleopatra is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Ghazl El Mahalla's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Ceramica Cleopatra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Ceramica Cleopatra has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Ceramica Cleopatra is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Ceramica Cleopatra won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:4. (average 1.2:0.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ceramica Cleopatra won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 1.2:0.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ceramica Cleopatra - Ghazl El Mahalla were as follows:
    12.01.2026 Ghazl El Mahalla - Ceramica Cleopatra 1:0
    22.03.2025 Ceramica Cleopatra - Ghazl El Mahalla 3:0
    26.01.2025 Ghazl El Mahalla - Ceramica Cleopatra 0:1
    14.05.2023 Ceramica Cleopatra - Ghazl El Mahalla 0:0
    03.01.2023 Ghazl El Mahalla - Ceramica Cleopatra 0:3
    Latest results of Ceramica Cleopatra
    28.01.2026 Al Masry - Ceramica Cleopatra 3:2 ✺
    21.01.2026 Ceramica Cleopatra - Al-Ittihad Alexandria 3:1 ✺
    15.01.2026 El Mokawloon El Arab - Ceramica Cleopatra 1:0
    12.01.2026 Ghazl El Mahalla - Ceramica Cleopatra 1:0 ✺
    06.01.2026 ENPPI - Ceramica Cleopatra 2:0
    Latest results of Ghazl El Mahalla
    29.01.2026 Ghazl El Mahalla - Tala`ea El-Gaish 0:0 ✺
    22.01.2026 Wadi Degla - Ghazl El Mahalla 3:2 ✺
    16.01.2026 ENPPI - Ghazl El Mahalla 0:0
    12.01.2026 Ghazl El Mahalla - Ceramica Cleopatra 1:0 ✺
    05.01.2026 El Mokawloon El Arab - Ghazl El Mahalla 1:1 ✺
    Egyptian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Zamalek ✔ 18124231:121940
    2Pyramids ✔ 18114329:141537
    3Al Ahly ✔ 18107129:161337
    4Ceramica Cleopatra ✔ 19114427:141337
    5Al Masry1878327:19829
    6Smouha1977518:13528
    7Wadi Degla1977523:20328
    8ZED1968519:16326
    9National Bank Egypt18510316:11525
    10Petrojet19510420:21-125
    11Enppi1859417:15224
    12El Gouna1859415:15024
    13Modern Sport1858518:19-123
    14Al Ittihad ✔ 19621115:23-820
    15Ghazl El Mahallah ✔ 19212512:15-318
    16Arab Contractors ✔ 1939712:18-618
    17Haras El Hodood ✔ 19451014:26-1217
    18El Gaish ✔ 1837810:22-1216
    19Kahrabaa Ismailia ✔ 19441121:35-1416
    20Pharco ✔ 192898:22-1414
    21El Ismaily ✔ 19321411:26-1511

          Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )
          Premier League (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Zamalek is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
    Pyramids is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
    Al Ahly is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
    Ceramica Cleopatra is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
    Al Ittihad is Premier League (Relegation Group )
    Ghazl El Mahallah is Premier League (Relegation Group )
    Arab Contractors is Premier League (Relegation Group )
    Haras El Hodood is Premier League (Relegation Group )
    El Gaish is Premier League (Relegation Group )
    Kahrabaa Ismailia is Premier League (Relegation Group )
    Pharco is Premier League (Relegation Group )
    El Ismaily is Premier League (Relegation Group )
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