Result
1:0
11/04/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Relegation Group - Round 2
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Egypt | On Time Sports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.20 | 0.34 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (262/349) | 77% (340/443) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.20 | 0.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.26 | 0.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (262/349) | 77% (340/443) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (27/59) | 49% (38/77) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (46/80) | 51% (69/135) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/15) | 23% (5/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.20 | 0.45 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (14/16) | 56% (10/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 47 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 47 | 9 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.11 | 0.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.11 | -0.74 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', Amer M. ↓, Ahmed El Nafarawy ↑,
- 16', Fawzi A. 🟨,
- 37', 1 - 0, Ben Hammouda M. ⚽, Fawzi A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 69', Gaber I. ↓, Amadi S. ↑,
- 69', Salim M. ↓, Amr A. ↑,
- 74', Arfaoui R. ↓, Mayhob E. ↑,
- 77', Dodo D. 🟨,
- 78', El Ouadi A. ↓, Magdy A. ↑,
- 85', Yehia A. ↓, Essam M. ↑,
- 86', Ashraf M. ↓, Yasin A. ↑,
- 86', Canaria ↓, Reda S. ↑,
- 87', Hesham H. ↓, El Badry M. ↑,
- 90+1', Toure M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ghazl El Mahalla
37.7% | Draw
34.5% | Smouha
27.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ghazl El Mahalla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)Smouha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ghazl El Mahalla than the current prediction. (-7.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ghazl El Mahalla that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smouha than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Ghazl El Mahalla - Smouha Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.46 ↓
(2.75) |
2.68 ↑
(2.47) |
3.33 ↑
(3.2) |
8%
(8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Ghazl El Mahalla - Smouha?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Ghazl El Mahalla will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Smouha will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Ghazl El Mahalla won 2.
- One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.
- Recently Smouha have a series of guest games.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- Last 13 head-to-head matches Ghazl El Mahalla won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 10:21 (average 0.8:1.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Ghazl El Mahalla won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2:7 (average 0.3:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Ghazl El Mahalla won against Smouha?
Ghazl El Mahalla has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Smouha won against Ghazl El Mahalla?
Smouha has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ghazl El Mahalla - Smouha were as follows:
26.12.2024
Smouha
-
Ghazl El Mahalla
2:4
02.05.2023
Ghazl El Mahalla
-
Smouha
0:2
30.12.2022
Smouha
-
Ghazl El Mahalla
0:0
Latest results of Ghazl El Mahalla
Egyptian Premier League Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Ahly | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22:9 | 13 | 58 |
| 2 | Pyramids | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 56 |
| 3 | Zamalek | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:6 | 8 | 47 |
| 4 | Al Masry | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 42 |
| 5 | National Bank Egypt | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 38 |
| 6 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 37 |
| 7 | Pharco | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:16 | -8 | 32 |
| 8 | Petrojet | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:17 | -10 | 27 |
| 9 | Haras El Hodood | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3:16 | -13 | 24 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
