Result
0:1
14/09/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 5
- Referee: Bessa J. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | ZAP |
 Croatia | SportKlub |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Serbia | Sportklub |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 1.39 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (451/550) | 72% (224/312) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 1.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 2.51 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (451/550) | 72% (224/312) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 27% (13/48) | 42% (21/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (106/159) | 62% (45/73) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (10/25) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.84 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 32 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.51 | 0.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.51 | 0.86 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 18', Gorby 🟨,
- 45+2', 0 - 1, Pablo ⚽, Moreira A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Gorby ↓, Gabriel Moscardo ↑,
- 46', Victor P. ↓, Zalazar R. ↑,
- 50', Garcia S. 🟨,
- 55', Moreira A. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
- 55', Garcia S. ↓, Ze Carlos ↑,
- 59', Pablo 🟨,
- 65', Navarro F. ↓, Grillitsch F. ↑,
- 70', Pablo ↓, Varela G. ↑,
- 70', Murilo de Souza ↓, Bermejo ↑,
- 73', Konan G. 🟨,
- 80', Oliveira P. ↓, Horta R. ↑,
- 80', Esteves L. ↓, Espigares A. ↑,
- 90+7', Niakate S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Braga
48.1% | Draw
28.9% | Gil Vicente
23% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Braga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Braga's form might have worsened.Gil Vicente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gil Vicente's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga than the current prediction. (+18.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Braga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gil Vicente than the current prediction. (-9.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gil Vicente, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Braga - Gil Vicente Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.36 ↑
(1.46) |
3.74 ↓
(4.29) |
4.69 ↓
(6.62) |
-9.6%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Braga - Gil Vicente?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Braga will win (votes: 12 - 80%). Gil Vicente will win (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Braga: 59.8% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Braga won 3.
- Braga is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Gil Vicente has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Braga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Braga is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Braga: Noro J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Gil Vicente: Bamba M.
(Inactive)
Carlos Eduardo
(Inactive)
Toure T.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Braga: Dorgeles M.
(Inactive)
Horta R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Gil Vicente: Mutombo J.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Braga will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Braga won 12 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 32:15. (average 1.6:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Braga won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 18:6. (average 1.8:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Braga won against Gil Vicente?
Braga has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gil Vicente won against Braga?
Gil Vicente has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Braga - Gil Vicente were as follows:
09.02.2025
Braga
-
Gil Vicente
2:0
01.09.2024
Gil Vicente
-
Braga
0:0
16.03.2024
Braga
-
Gil Vicente
2:1
28.10.2023
Gil Vicente
-
Braga
3:3
16.04.2023
Braga
-
Gil Vicente
1:0
Latest results of Gil Vicente
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 19:1 | 18 | 22 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 20:5 | 15 | 19 |
| 3 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:4 | 10 | 19 |
| 4 | Benfica | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 13:4 | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Moreirense | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 15 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 |
| 8 | Braga | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Nacional | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 10 | Alverca | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 10 |
| 11 | Arouca | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:19 | -9 | 9 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 11:13 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | Casa Pia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Estrela | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | Estoril | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Tondela | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:14 | -10 | 5 |
| 18 | AFS | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:20 | -15 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
