Moreirense vs Gil Vicente – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/02/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas (Moreira de Conegos).

Liga Portugal - Round 21
Referee: Silva D. (Por)
Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	TVI, V+ TVI

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.12	2.45
Ball possession
42%	58%
Total shots
3	15
Shots on target
1	4
Big chances
0	4
Corner kicks
3	6
Passes
79% (298/377)	88% (439/500)
Yellow cards
3	1
Red cards
1	0
Expected goals (xG)
0.12	2.45
xG on target (xGOT)
0.09	1.92
Total shots
3	15
Shots on target
1	4
Shots off target
0	5
Blocked shots
2	6
Shots inside the box
2	12
Shots outside the box
1	3
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
0	1
Big chances
0	4
Corner kicks
3	6
Touches in opposition box
9	21
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	4
Free kicks
15	18
Passes
79% (298/377)	88% (439/500)
Long passes
30% (19/63)	55% (33/60)
Passes in final third
54% (35/65)	77% (120/156)
Crosses
14% (1/7)	18% (6/34)
Expected assists (xA)
0.42	1.32
Throw ins
15	25
Fouls
18	15
Tackles
69% (11/16)	68% (13/19)
Duels won
41	58
Clearances
34	15
Interceptions
4	4
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	0
xGOT faced
1.92	0.09
Goals prevented
-0.08	-0.91

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', Konan G. 🟨,
39', Maracas 🟨,
40', Martinez A. 🟥,
42', Costa V. 🟥,
43', 0 - 1, Murilo de Souza (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Landerson ↓, Kiko Bondoso ↑,
55', Carlos Eduardo ↓, Varela G. ↑,
55', Toure T. ↓, Fernandes J. ↑,
59', Yan Maranhao 🟨,
59', Pinto D. 🟨,
60', Yan Maranhao ↓, Semedo L. ↑,
66', Esteves L. ↓, Ze Carlos ↑,
67', 1 - 1, Travassos ⚽,
74', Pinto D. ↓, Kevyn Monteiro ↑,
74', Rodri ↓, John N. ↑,
75', Caseres F. ↓, Moreira A. ↑,
75', Murilo de Souza ↓, Hernandez H. ↑,
85', Alanzinho ↓, Kiko ↑,
88', 1 - 2, Hernandez H. ⚽,

Chances of winning

Moreirense
24.6%

Draw
30.8%

Gil Vicente
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

31.4%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

32.4%

37.8%

Moreirense - Gil Vicente Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.84 ↑ (3.19)	3.06 ↑ (3.01)	2.12 ↓ (2.42)	5.8% (5.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Moreirense - Gil Vicente?

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Moreirense will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Gil Vicente will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.5% – 74.5%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Gil Vicente (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

DNB - Moreirense (2.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Gil Vicente (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Moreirense (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Moreirense (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Gil Vicente (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 5).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Moreirense won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Gil Vicente may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Gil Vicente will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Moreirense won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:22. (average 1.5:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Moreirense won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 1.4:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Moreirense won against Gil Vicente?

Moreirense has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Gil Vicente won against Moreirense?

Gil Vicente has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Moreirense - Gil Vicente were as follows:

29.08.2025 Gil Vicente - Moreirense 2:0

06.04.2025 Gil Vicente - Moreirense 0:1

12.01.2025 Gil Vicente - Moreirense 1:0

08.11.2024 Moreirense - Gil Vicente 3:2

20.04.2024 Moreirense - Gil Vicente 0:1

Latest results of Moreirense

30.01.2026 Vitoria Guimarães - Moreirense 1:0 ✺

24.01.2026 Moreirense - Santa Clara 1:0 ✺

17.01.2026 Alverca - Moreirense 2:1 ✺

11.01.2026 Moreirense - Tondela 1:0 ✺

03.01.2026 AVS - Moreirense 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Gil Vicente

01.02.2026 Gil Vicente - Famalicão 5:0 ✺

26.01.2026 Porto - Gil Vicente 3:0 ✺

17.01.2026 Gil Vicente - Nacional 2:1 ✺

02.01.2026 Gil Vicente - Sporting Lisbon 1:1 ✺

28.12.2025 Arouca - Gil Vicente 2:2 ✺

Liga Portugal Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Porto	21	18	2	1	42:7	35	56
2	Sporting CP	21	16	4	1	55:12	43	52
3	Benfica	21	14	7	0	44:12	32	49
4	Braga	21	11	6	4	44:18	26	39
5	Gil Vicente	21	10	7	4	31:17	14	37
6	Famalicao	21	9	5	7	27:20	7	32
7	Estoril	21	8	6	7	43:35	8	30
8	Moreirense	21	9	3	9	27:29	-2	30
9	Vitoria Guimaraes	21	8	4	9	23:30	-7	28
10	Alverca	21	7	3	11	21:36	-15	24
11	Estrela	21	5	8	8	25:37	-12	23
12	Arouca	21	6	5	10	26:46	-20	23
13	Nacional	21	5	6	10	27:30	-3	21
14	Rio Ave	21	4	8	9	22:41	-19	20
15	Casa Pia	21	4	7	10	22:39	-17	19
16	Santa Clara	21	4	5	12	16:26	-10	17
17	Tondela	21	3	5	13	14:35	-21	14
18	AFS	21	0	5	16	15:54	-39	5

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Liga Portugal (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2