Result
0:1
06/04/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 28
- Referee: Bessa J. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 8 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.77 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (424/496) | 82% (291/356) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (424/496) | 82% (291/356) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (29/52) | 44% (21/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (77/109) | 73% (56/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (7/23) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.84 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 57 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 19 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.15 | 1.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 17', Pinto D. 🟨,
- 31', Cruz S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 48', 0 - 1, Frimpong G. ⚽, Alanzinho (A),
- 53', Bamba M. A. 🟨,
- 57', Bermejo ↓, Marques J. ↑,
- 57', Pablo ↓, Aguirre J. ↑,
- 57', Mboula J. ↓, Correia F. ↑,
- 58', Marques J. 🟨,
- 67', Teguia C. ↓, Antonisse J. ↑,
- 69', Alanzinho 🟨,
- 76', Pinto D. ↓, Batista G. ↑,
- 76', Guilherme Schettine ↓, Jorquera Romero J. ↑,
- 79', Fujimoto K. ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
- 81', Alanzinho ↓, Michel ↑,
- 90+1', Maracas 🟨,
- 90+5', Batista G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Gil Vicente
38.7% | Draw
31.9% | Moreirense
29.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gil Vicente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Moreirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gil Vicente than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moreirense than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Gil Vicente - Moreirense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.43 ↓
(2.52) |
2.95 ↓
(3.08) |
3.22 ↑
(2.75) |
6.1%
(8.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Gil Vicente - Moreirense?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.25 - Gil Vicente (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Gil Vicente will win
(12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 10).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Gil Vicente won 2.
- Gil Vicente is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Moreirense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Gil Vicente could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Gil Vicente: Sithole S.
(Leg Injury)
Toure T.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Moreirense: Guilherme Liberato
(Knee Injury)
Hernani Infande
(Knee Injury)
Tavares S.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Gil Vicente: Elimbi M. G.
(Inactive)
- Last 18 head-to-head matches Gil Vicente won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 20:29 (average 1.1:1.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Gil Vicente won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14:18 (average 1.4:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Gil Vicente won against Moreirense?
Gil Vicente has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Moreirense won against Gil Vicente?
Moreirense has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gil Vicente - Moreirense were as follows:
12.01.2025
Gil Vicente
-
Moreirense
1:0
08.11.2024
Moreirense
-
Gil Vicente
3:2
20.04.2024
Moreirense
-
Gil Vicente
0:1
11.12.2023
Gil Vicente
-
Moreirense
1:1
Latest results of Gil Vicente
Latest results of Moreirense
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Braga | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Famalicao | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Sporting CP | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Arouca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Casa Pia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Estrela | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Estoril | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Benfica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Alverca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Nacional | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 | Santa Clara | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 17 | Tondela | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | AFS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
