Result
1:0
11/01/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 16
- Referee: Guelho S. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Portugal | TVI |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.49 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (481/559) | 84% (333/398) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (481/559) | 84% (333/398) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (22/52) | 38% (26/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (84/125) | 64% (65/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 12% (2/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.64 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (4/6) | 71% (5/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 26 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.12 | 0.71 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.12 | -0.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 30', Hodge J. 🟨,
- 42', Assis A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Teguia C. ↓, Landerson ↑,
- 62', 1 - 0, Maracas ⚽, Alanzinho (A),
- 67', Hodge J. ↓, Aiko M. ↑,
- 69', Assis A. ↓, Stjepanovic M. ↑,
- 69', Semedo L. ↓, Yan Maranhao ↑,
- 76', Michel ↓, Marcelo ↑,
- 76', Kiko Bondoso ↓, Batista G. ↑,
- 77', Rodriguez J. ↓, Rodrigues A. ↑,
- 77', Felix H. ↓, Sithole S. ↑,
- 82', Cicero ↓, Tavares H. ↑,
- 82', Bebeto ↓, Conceicao R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Moreirense
41.4% | Draw
30.6% | Tondela
28.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Moreirense have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Tondela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Moreirense - Tondela Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.27 ↓
(2.28) |
3.08 ↓
(3.18) |
3.35 ↑
(3.26) |
6.4%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Moreirense - Tondela?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Moreirense (1.42) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Tondela (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Tondela (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Tondela (2.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Moreirense will win
(35 of 38 users predict this - 92.11%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.54% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Moreirense will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Moreirense (votes: 12 - 80%). Tondela (votes: 3 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Moreirense won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Moreirense will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Moreirense: Jorquera Romero J.
(Ankle Injury)
Pinto D.
(Yellow Cards)
Sousa V.
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in Moreirense: Ofori L.
(Inactive)
Yan Maranhao
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Moreirense won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:21. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Moreirense won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Moreirense won against Tondela?
Moreirense has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tondela won against Moreirense?
Tondela has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Moreirense - Tondela were as follows:
14.11.2022
Tondela
-
Moreirense
1:1
Latest results of Moreirense
Latest results of Tondela
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 31 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 63:15 | 48 | 82 |
| 2 | Benfica | 31 | 22 | 9 | 0 | 67:20 | 47 | 75 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 31 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 77:22 | 55 | 73 |
| 4 | Braga | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 59:31 | 28 | 56 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 39:27 | 12 | 51 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 46:32 | 14 | 49 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 38:43 | -5 | 42 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 34:45 | -11 | 39 |
| 9 | Alverca | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 34:49 | -15 | 38 |
| 10 | Estoril | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 51:52 | -1 | 37 |
| 11 | Arouca | 31 | 10 | 5 | 16 | 39:60 | -21 | 35 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 33:52 | -19 | 34 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 28:38 | -10 | 32 |
| 14 | Nacional | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 34:41 | -7 | 31 |
| 15 | Estrela | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 34:51 | -17 | 28 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 29:55 | -26 | 26 |
| 17 | Tondela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 23:52 | -29 | 22 |
| 18 | AFS ✔ | 31 | 1 | 11 | 19 | 22:65 | -43 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
AFS is Relegated to Liga Portugal 2
